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Michael Saylor’s Strategy (MSTR) Reports $2.8B Q3 Net Income, Bitcoin Gains Soar

Michael Saylor’s Strategy (NASDAQ: MSTR) released its third-quarter earnings after market close on Oct. 30, posting net income of $2.8 billion. 

Diluted earnings per share (EPS) came in at $8.42, surpassing analyst expectations of $8.15. As of Oct. 26, 2025, Strategy held 640,808 BTC, acquired for a total of $47.44 billion at an average price of $74,032 per coin. 

The company reported a year-to-date Bitcoin yield of 26%, generating $12.9 billion in gains amid the ongoing 2025 crypto bull market.

Looking forward, Strategy projects full-year 2025 operating income of $34 billion and net income of $24 billion, or $80 per share — highlighting its transformation from a business intelligence firm into a de facto corporate Bitcoin investment vehicle.

Total revenues for Q3 reached $128.7 million, up 10.9% year-over-year and above the $118.43 million analysts had forecast.

The firm’s Bitcoin holdings have already produced gains of 116,555 BTC in 2025, translating to $12.9 billion in dollar terms based on an average BTC price of roughly $110,600 as of Oct. 24, nearing its full-year target of $20 billion.

Michael Saylor is the epitome of a bitcoin bull

Michael Saylor said recently at Money 20/20, “By the time the bankers tell you it’s a good idea, it’ll cost $10 million per Bitcoin.” He added that Bitcoin is currently at a “99% discount.”

And Saylor’s public discourse towards bitcoin backs this belief up. Saylor reiterated his bullish outlook on Bitcoin, projecting $150,000 by the end of 2025 and up to $1 million within four to eight years.

He cited growing institutional adoption, driven by industry shifts, new investment products, and Strategy’s recent B-minus credit rating, as key catalysts. 

Saylor highlighted Strategy’s digital credit instruments offering 8–12.5% yields, tax-efficient returns, and tailored risk profiles. He noted increasing acceptance of Bitcoin by major U.S. banks and praised supportive regulatory policies. 

Strategy with a trillion-dollar Bitcoin balance sheet

In a recent interview with Bitcoin Magazine, Michael Saylor outlined his ambitious vision for Strategy: building a trillion-dollar Bitcoin balance sheet to transform global finance. 

Saylor sees his firm — and potentially other Bitcoin treasury companies — accumulating massive Bitcoin holdings, leveraging the cryptocurrency’s historical 21% annual appreciation to supercharge capital growth.

Central to his plan is the creation of Bitcoin-backed credit markets offering yields significantly higher than traditional fiat debt. By over-collateralizing capital, Saylor argues the system could be safer than AAA corporate debt while providing healthier returns for investors. 

This approach, he suggests, could revitalize credit markets worldwide, offering alternatives to low-yield bonds that dominate Europe and Japan.

Saylor also envisions Bitcoin becoming embedded across corporate, banking, and sovereign balance sheets, gradually turning traditional equity indexes into indirect Bitcoin vehicles. 

This integration could boost public companies, redefine savings accounts and money market funds, and allow tech giants like Apple and Google to bring hundreds of millions into the digital economy.

Those interested in learning more about Strategy’s earnings report can watch in full detail here.

This post Michael Saylor’s Strategy (MSTR) Reports $2.8B Q3 Net Income, Bitcoin Gains Soar first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Coinbase Beats Q3 Estimates With $1.9B Revenue, Buys $300M in Bitcoin

Coinbase reported stronger-than-expected third-quarter earnings Thursday, posting $1.9 billion in revenue — up 26% from the previous quarter — as renewed crypto market momentum boosted both trading and stablecoin income. 

The San Francisco-based exchange notched $433 million in net profit, or $1.50 per share, surpassing Wall Street expectations of $1.10 per share on $1.8 billion in revenue.

Despite a sequential decline from its record $1.4 billion profit in Q2, Coinbase attributed the drop primarily to non-cash mark-to-market adjustments related to its holdings in Circle and its crypto portfolio. 

Shares of Coinbase Global (COIN) jumped more than 4% in after-hours trading to $341 following the results. 

The stock is up roughly 33% year-to-date after peaking above $440 in July.

Coinbase also bought almost $300 million in BTC in Q3. CEO Brian Armstrong confirmed via an X post that remains bullish on bitcoin, stating, “Coinbase is long Bitcoin. Our holding increased by 2,772 BTC in Q3. And we keep buying more.”

Coinbase trading activity surges due to crypto rally

The results came as Bitcoin hit fresh all-time highs during the quarter, fueling renewed retail and institutional activity after a quieter Q2 marked by macro headwinds. 

Coinbase reported $1.0 billion in transaction revenue, up 37% from the prior quarter and 83% from a year earlier, on trading volumes of $295 billion.

Institutional volume rose 22% sequentially to $236 billion, driven in part by the August acquisition of Deribit, the world’s largest crypto options exchange. 

Deribit contributed $52 million in revenue during Q3 as Coinbase expanded its derivatives business to include 24/7 perpetual futures trading in the U.S.

Retail activity also rebounded, with consumer trading volume climbing 37% to $59 billion. Coinbase said new listings and decentralized exchange (DEX) integrations helped boost activity among “advanced traders” the company said, while the company’s platform now supports trading for roughly 90% of all crypto assets by market capitalization.

Subscription and services strengthen

Coinbase continues to diversify beyond trading fees, with subscriptions and services revenue climbing 14% to $747 million. 

Stablecoin revenue — largely derived from its role in distributing and managing Circle’s USDC — rose to $355 million, a 43% increase year-over-year. Average USDC balances held in Coinbase products reached a record $15 billion, supported by rising market capitalization and new institutional reward programs.

Blockchain rewards, including staking income, grew 28% quarter-over-quarter to $185 million, aided by surging prices for Ethereum and Solana. 

Meanwhile, custodial fees and interest income both hit new highs as total assets on the platform reached $516 billion.

Building toward the “Everything Exchange”

Coinbase said it is progressing toward its vision of an “Everything Exchange” — a platform uniting spot, derivatives, and onchain services under one roof. 

The exchange also highlighted ongoing development of Base, its Ethereum layer-2 network, which has become the leading L2 for stablecoin adoption with $4.6 billion in dollar-pegged assets.

CEO Brian Armstrong said Coinbase is scaling payments by ‘advancing stablecoin adoption’ and building the foundation of the future financial system.

This post Coinbase Beats Q3 Estimates With $1.9B Revenue, Buys $300M in Bitcoin first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Bitcoin Price Crashes Down to $106,000 As Red Week Continues

Bitcoin price continued its slide through much of Thursday, dipping to as low as $106,290 as traders digested a wave of macro uncertainty — from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s cautious tone on future rate cuts to renewed volatility following U.S.–China trade talks.

The bitcoin price fell over 3% in early trading before stabilizing slightly above $107,000. The drop extends a multi-day long decline that began after the Federal Reserve delivered a widely expected 25 basis point rate cut but signaled that December’s meeting may not bring another.

Powell’s remarks at the post-meeting press conference struck a notably hawkish tone. While acknowledging progress toward the Fed’s 2% inflation goal, he emphasized that the committee had “strongly differing views” and that no decision had been made about a December cut. 

Traders quickly scaled back expectations — with futures now pricing roughly a 60% chance of another reduction, down from nearly full certainty just a day earlier.

“Powell’s comments created a bit of risk-off sentiment,” said Charlie Sherry, head of finance at BTC Markets, according to Bloomberg. “Add in the Trump–Xi meeting stirring markets today, and, unsurprisingly, you get some volatility. Some technology stocks are rallying, but crypto hasn’t followed — which shows some relative weakness and hesitation in digital assets right now.”

Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar climbed following Powell’s remarks, while risk assets broadly sold off. The two-year Treasury yield jumped nearly 10 basis points as traders reassessed the Fed’s trajectory.

Meanwhile, market attention also turned to Seoul, where U.S. President Donald Trump met with Chinese President Xi Jinping. Trump described the talks as “amazing” and announced a deal to halve tariffs on fentanyl-related goods, claiming the two sides were “pretty close” to a broader trade agreement involving rare earth materials and agricultural purchases.

While such developments have little direct impact on Bitcoin, risk sentiment tends to spill across markets — and Thursday’s pullback in equities appeared to drag digital assets with it.

SpaceX moves $471 million in Bitcoin

Amid the macro jitters, on-chain analysts also flagged large Bitcoin movements linked to Elon Musk’s SpaceX. Data from Arkham Intelligence shows the company moved 281 BTC (worth roughly $31 million) late on October 29 — its fifth transfer this month, totaling 4,337 BTC (about $472 million).

The transfers were routed through Coinbase Prime, suggesting institutional custody activity rather than market sales. Some believe SpaceX may be reorganizing its wallets from older Bitcoin address formats (“1”-prefix legacy types) to newer Taproot and SegWit formats.

Musk first confirmed SpaceX’s Bitcoin holdings in 2021, though the firm reportedly reduced its stack by about 70% during the 2022 market crash. 

As of this month, Arkham tracks roughly 7,258 BTC (about $799 million) still linked to SpaceX addresses, though that figure could rise as recent transfers are reclassified.

Tesla, meanwhile, retains 11,509 BTC, worth about $1.3 billion, according to the same data.

Bitcoin price is waiting for clarity

With U.S. monetary policy in flux, trade negotiations uncertain, and major corporate holders quietly reshuffling coins, Bitcoin’s latest move reflects a broader narrative: investors waiting for direction.

The next major catalyst may arrive in December — either from a Fed rate cut or from markets losing faith that one is coming. Until then, Bitcoin remains in a holding pattern between macro optimism and monetary restraint.

This post Bitcoin Price Crashes Down to $106,000 As Red Week Continues first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Bitcoin Price Crashes to $109,000 Then Rebounds as Jerome Powell Stays Neutral on Future Cuts

Bitcoin’s price fell to $109,000 Wednesday afternoon after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled that additional rate cuts may not follow in December. Since then, Bitcoin price has leveled near $111,000.

The drop came shortly after the central bank reduced its benchmark interest rate by 0.25 percentage points to a target range of 3.75%–4%.

The cut — the Fed’s second of 2025 after a move in September — ended a long stretch of rate holds. The policy shift is intended to lower borrowing costs and support economic activity. But Powell’s comments that further cuts are not guaranteed this year sparked selling across risk assets.

Before the announcement, Bitcoin traded near $116,000 on Monday and briefly dipped below $111,000 early Tuesday. The price briefly bounced on the news before sliding again as Powell spoke. Bitcoin is currently trading near $111,200, according to Bitcoin Magazine Pro data.

During the press conference, as Jerome Powell said that December’s rate cuts aren’t guaranteed, Bitcoin’s price immediately reacted — plunging to $109,000 in a sharp red candle before quickly recovering. The broader crypto market reacted similarly. 

Powell said that inflation excluding the impact of tariffs is “not so far” from the central bank’s 2% target, but emphasized that policymakers have “not made a decision about December.” Powell noted that officials held “strongly differing views” during today’s meeting. 

Following his remarks, markets sharply trimmed expectations for another rate cut this year. Fed funds futures now price a 71% chance of a December cut, down from about 90% earlier in the day, according to CME data and on prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket.

The two-year Treasury yield jumped 9 basis points as traders reassessed the Fed’s near-term trajectory.

Historically, Bitcoin has reacted sharply to monetary-policy changes. After the Fed’s emergency cuts in March 2020, Bitcoin plunged nearly 39% before recovering. When the Fed cut in September 2025, market reaction was limited — suggesting expectations were already priced in.

Bitcoin price as Fed signals end of Quantitative Tightening

Powell also said the central bank is approaching the end of its Quantitative Tightening program, confirming the Fed expects to stop QT by December. This involves letting some holdings of Treasuries and mortgage securities run off the balance sheet as they mature, rather than reinvesting the principal.

QT reduces liquidity by shrinking the Fed’s balance sheet through allowing government bonds to mature without reinvestment or by selling them into the market. 

The process has been underway since 2022, removing nearly $1 trillion in securities as part of efforts to fight inflation.

Ending QT would stop that drain on liquidity — a shift many analysts believe could eventually support flows into risk assets, including Bitcoin. 

Powell warned, however, that policy will remain dependent on economic data, adding further uncertainty to market expectations.

This post Bitcoin Price Crashes to $109,000 Then Rebounds as Jerome Powell Stays Neutral on Future Cuts first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Federal Reserve Cuts Interest Rates by 25 Basis Points, Ends Quantitative Tightening

The Federal Reserve cuts its benchmark interest rate by 0.25% today to 3.75%-4% The last time the Federal Reserve cut rates was in September 2025.

The cut in September was their first rate cut of the year, following a period of rate holds.  

In general, the Fed lowers borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, aiming to stimulate spending and investment. At the same time, some feel that a rate cut signals underlying economic weakness.

Yesterday, Bitcoin was trading at $116,000 yesterday but since slumped down to under $111,000 earlier today. Bitcoin’s price slightly jumped to the high $111,000s as the news came out. It is currently trading at $111,470.

Historically, bitcoin responds to monetary‑policy shifts. For example, after the Fed’s emergency cuts in March 2020, Bitcoin plunged nearly 39 % before rebounding strongly. 

More recently, when the Fed cut rates in September 2025, Bitcoin’s reaction was muted, suggesting markets may have priced in the move.

Federal Reserve to stop Quantitative Tightening 

Chair Powell also said that the central bank is approaching the end of its Quantitative Tightening (QT) program, a move that could provide a boost to risk assets, including bitcoin. The Fed said they will stop QT by December, according to reports. 

While Powell has previously flagged that the Fed is nearing this stage, uncertainty from the ongoing government shutdown complicated the outlook. With QT concluding, markets should respond positively.

Quantitative Tightening is the Federal Reserve’s tool for shrinking its balance sheet and reducing liquidity in financial markets. It operates in contrast to Quantitative Easing (QE), which expands the Fed’s balance sheet to stimulate economic activity. 

QT typically involves selling government bonds or allowing them to mature without reinvestment, actions that increase bond supply, push yields higher, and raise borrowing costs for consumers and businesses. 

Higher interest rates generally reduce spending and borrowing, helping control inflation and prevent the economy from overheating.

A related process, tapering, slows the pace of QE asset purchases but does not actively shrink the balance sheet. 

The Fed notably implemented QT in 2022, letting nearly $1 trillion in securities mature to curb inflation after prior QE programs had massively expanded the balance sheet. While effective at cooling inflation, QT carries risks, including market volatility and potential economic instability.

The end of QT halts the draining of liquidity from the market, which could free up capital to flow into risk-sensitive assets, like bitcoin and other crypto.

This post Federal Reserve Cuts Interest Rates by 25 Basis Points, Ends Quantitative Tightening first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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MSTR’s Michael Saylor Predicts Bitcoin Will Hit $150,000 by Year-End, Expects $1 Million Within 8 Years

At Money 20/20 in Las Vegas, Michael Saylor gave a familiar, bullish sentiment for Bitcoin, predicting it could hit $150,000 by the end of 2025 and potentially reach $1 million within the next four to eight years. 

Speaking to CNBC, Saylor outlined both the industry-wide shifts in digital assets and the evolving investment products his company is offering, framing them as key drivers for institutional adoption.

Saylor highlighted a milestone for Strategy: the company recently received its first credit rating from S&P — B-minus — making it the first Bitcoin-focused treasury company to be rated.

“It’s a very auspicious start because it represents institutional adoption of Bitcoin-backed credit,” he said, noting that this rating opens the door to hundreds of billions, if not trillions, of dollars in capital that previously would not invest in unrated instruments.

Strategy for different investor profiles

Strategy has a 70% chance of joining the S&P 500 before year-end, according to 10X Research. Its upcoming Q3 2025 earnings, expected Thursday, could show a $3.8 billion gain from fair-value Bitcoin accounting.

Saylor also detailed Strategy’s suite of digital credit instruments, designed to appeal to varying risk appetites. 

Strike, Strife, Stride, and Stretch offer combinations of principal protection, dividends, and yields from roughly 8% to 12.5%, each tailored to different investor profiles — from those seeking amplified Bitcoin exposure to conservative investors needing low-volatility returns. 

Uniquely, these instruments generate tax-free dividends structured as a return of capital, giving investors an effective yield comparable to 16–20% on a tax-equivalent basis. “A treasury company built on Bitcoin is the most tax-efficient fixed income generator in the world,” Saylor said.

Saylor also underscored the growing acceptance of Bitcoin within traditional finance. Major U.S. banks, including JP Morgan, Bank of America, and BNY Mellon, are now beginning to offer loans collateralized by Bitcoin, while some are moving toward custodying Bitcoin outright. 

“The train has left the station,” Saylor said. “Everybody’s moving forward.” 

He argued that the evolving infrastructure, supported by pro-crypto policies from the White House, Treasury, SEC, and CFTC, has created “probably the best 12 months in the history of the industry.”

Saylor sees Bitcoin at $150,000 by EOY

Looking at the broader digital economy, Saylor emphasized the dual role of Bitcoin and digital assets. Bitcoin serves as a long-term store of value — digital capital — while stablecoins and other tokenized currencies act as medium-of-exchange instruments in an increasingly AI-driven financial landscape. 

Regarding market trends, Saylor acknowledged the volatility in Bitcoin has moderated as the industry matures, offering more derivatives and hedging instruments. 

Analysts covering Strategy and the Bitcoin sector, he said, largely expect the cryptocurrency to reach $150,000 by year-end, with longer-term potential for $1 million per coin. 

Over the next two decades, Saylor forecasts Bitcoin could appreciate by roughly 30% annually.

This post MSTR’s Michael Saylor Predicts Bitcoin Will Hit $150,000 by Year-End, Expects $1 Million Within 8 Years first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Bitcoin Knots Has Been Nothing More Than A Denial-of-Service Attack On Bitcoin

In computing, a denial-of-service attack (DoS attack; UK: /dɒs/ doss US: /dɑːs/ daas[1]) is a cyberattack in which the perpetrator seeks to make a machine or network resource unavailable to its intended users by temporarily or indefinitely disrupting services of a host connected to a network. -The Wikipedia definition of denial-of-service attack. 

This is a very basic concept. Someone makes use of their own resources to disrupt the functioning of other machines on a network. 

DoS attacks have been an issue for as long as the internet existed. One of the commonly argued “first Distributed Denial-of-service (DDoS) attacks” was against the Internet Service Provider (ISP) Panix in the mid-90s. There were of course many prior technical examples on older internet services, but this was one of, if not the, first major examples of such an attack on the modern World Wide Web. 

This attack had numerous computers start to initiate a Transmission Control Protocol (TCP) connection with the ISPs servers, but never finishing the handshake protocol that finalized the connection. This consumes the server’s resources for managing network connections and prevents honest users from accessing the internet through the ISP’s servers. 

Ever since this “initial” DDoS attack, they have been as common on the internet as storms are in nature, a regular occurrence that massive pieces of internet infrastructure have been built to defend against. 

The Blockchain

The blockchain is one of the core components of Bitcoin, and a required dependency for Bitcoin’s functionality as a distributed ledger. I am sure many people in this space would call so-called “spam” transactions a DoS attack on the Bitcoin blockchain. In order to call it that, you would have to define the “service” that the blockchain is offering as a system, and explain how spam transactions are denying that service to others in a way not intended by the design of the system. 

I’d wager a bet that most people who believe spam is a DoS attack would say something like “the service the blockchain offers is processing financial transactions, and spam takes space away from people trying to do that.” The problem is, that is not specifically the service the blockchain offers. 

The service it actually offers is the confirmation of any consensus valid transaction through a real-time auction that periodically settles whenever a miner finds a block. If your transaction is consensus valid, and you have bid a high enough fee for a miner to include your transaction in a block, you are using the service the blockchain provides exactly as designed. 

This was a conscious design decision made over years during the “Block Size Wars” and finalized in the activation of Segregated Witness and the rejection of the Segwit2x blocksize increase through a hard fork pushed by major companies at the time.  The blockchain would function by prioritizing the highest bidding fee transactions, and users would be free to compete in that auction. This is how blockspace would be allocated, with a global restriction to protect verifiability and a free market pricing mechanism. 

Nothing about a transaction some arbitrarily define as “spam” winning in this open auction is a DoS of the blockchain. It is a user making use of that resource in the way they are supposed to, participating in the auction with everyone else. 

The Relay Network

Many, if not most, Bitcoin nodes offer transaction relay as a service to the rest of the network. If you broadcast your transactions to your peers on the network, they will forward them on to their peers, and so on. Because the peering logic deciding which nodes to peer with maintains wide connectivity, this service allows transactions to propagate across the network very quickly, and specifically allows them to propagate to all mining nodes. 

Another service is block relay, propagating valid blocks as they are found in the same manner. This has been highly optimized over the years, to the point where most of the time an entire block is never actually relayed, just a shorthand “sketch” of the blockheader and the transactions included in it so you can reconstruct them from your own mempool. In other words, optimizations in block relay depend on a transaction relay functioning properly and propagating all valid and likely to be mined transactions. 

When nodes do not have transactions in a block already in their mempool, they must request them from neighboring nodes, taking more time to validate the block in the process. They also explicitly forward those transactions along with the block sketch to other peers in case they are missing them, wasting bandwidth. The more nodes filtering transactions they classify as spam, the longer it takes blocks including those filtered transactions to propagate across the network. 

Transaction filtering actively seeks to disrupt both of these services, in the case of transaction relay failing miserably to prevent them from propagating to miners, and in the case of block propagation having a marginal but noticeable performance degradation the more nodes on the network are filtering transactions. 

These node policies have the explicit purpose of degrading the network service of propagating transactions to miners and the rest of the network, and view the degradation of block propagation as a penalty to miners who choose to include valid transactions they are filtering. They seek to create a degradation of service as a goal, and view the degradation of another service resulting from that attempt as a positive. 

This actually is a DoS attack, in that it actually is degrading a network service contrary to the design of the system. 

Where From Here?

The entire saga of Knotz vs. Core, or “Spammers” vs. “Filterers”, has been nothing more than a miserably ineffective and failed DoS attack on the Bitcoin network. Filters do absolutely nothing to prevent filtered transactions from being included in blocks. The goal of disrupting transaction propagation to miners has had no success whatsoever, and the degradation of block relay has been marginal enough to not be a disincentive to miners. 

I see this as a huge demonstration of Bitcoin’s robustness and resilience against attempted censorship and disruption on the level of the Bitcoin Network itself. 

So now what?

A BIP by an anonymous author has been put forward to enact a temporary softfork that would expire after roughly a year making numerous ways to include “spam” in Bitcoin transactions consensus invalid through that time period. After realizing the DoS attack on the peer-to-peer network has been a total failure, filter supporters have moved to consensus changes, as many of them were told would be necessary over two years ago. 

Will this actually solve the problem? No, it won’t. It will simply force people who wish to submit “spam” to this forked network, if they actually follow through on implementing it, to use fake ScriptPubKeys to encode their data in unspendable outputs that will bloat the UTXO set. 

So even if this fork was met with resounding support, activated successfully, and did not result in a chainsplit, it would still not achieve the stated goal and leave “spammers” no option but to “spam” in the most damaging way to the network possible.

This post Bitcoin Knots Has Been Nothing More Than A Denial-of-Service Attack On Bitcoin first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Shinobi.

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Bitcoin Price Crashes to $112,000 Ahead of Fed Decision, Markets Eye U.S.-China Talks

Bitcoin price continued its semi-green week for a bit today trading above $115,000 today and briefly reaching $116,077. Since then, bitcoin’s price has dumped to the mid $112,000s, according to Bitcoin Magazine Pro data.

This bitcoin price movement comes as traders weigh the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest-rate decision and renewed optimism in the U.S.-China trade relations.

Data from Bitcoin Magazine Pro showed a 1.6% daily gain for BTC before the dump in late afternoon.

Despite historical trends of Bitcoin pulling back ahead of major U.S. economic events, the cryptocurrency held steady ahead of Wednesday’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, where a 25-basis-point rate cut is widely expected.

Traders remain divided on near-term price targets. Some believe the market may be bottoming and an uptrend could follow for the rest of the week, while others believe $117,000 as a potential pre-Fed local top before BTC revisits the CME futures gap near $111,000.

The broader macro backdrop also supported risk-on assets. Gold fell to under $4,000 per ounce, its lowest since Oct. 6, helping fuel gains in Bitcoin and altcoins.

Bitcoin price enters tight range

Bitcoin’s price has entered one of its tightest trading ranges in history, moving between $106,000 and $123,000 for over four months. This extended calm has driven volatility to record lows on six-month metrics — levels that have historically preceded major directional moves. The weekly Bollinger Band Width, a key volatility indicator, has reached its lowest reading ever, suggesting that a large expansion in volatility could be imminent.

In past cycles, similar compression periods have led to price surges exceeding 65% within 100 days. 

Applying those historical patterns implies a potential target of $170,000–$180,000 by 2026 if Bitcoin follows a comparable trajectory. However, these low-volatility phases can persist for months before breaking out, meaning Bitcoin may continue trading sideways into early 2026.

Corporate crypto buying

Corporate and institutional crypto activity is also making headlines. Japanese hotelier-turned-Bitcoin treasury Metaplanet Inc. announced a $500 million share buyback, while Cathie Wood and Ark Invest increased its holdings in Block Inc. by $30.9 million across three ETFs.

Wood, known for her $1.5 million Bitcoin prediction, is one of the most bullish investors in crypto. Through ARK Invest, she has consistently invested millions in major crypto-related stocks. 

Her firm held positions in Circle Internet Group, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Bitmine Immersion Technologies. 

Recently, ARK expanded its crypto exposure by purchasing about $31 million worth of Block Inc. shares. The ARK Innovation ETF bought 210,916 shares, the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF added 59,827 shares, and the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF acquired 114,842 shares.

This post Bitcoin Price Crashes to $112,000 Ahead of Fed Decision, Markets Eye U.S.-China Talks first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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House Democrat Targets President Trump With Bill to Ban Lawmakers From Owning Crypto

U.S. Congressman Ro Khanna (D-CA) is introducing legislation that would prohibit the U.S. President, members of Congress, and their immediate families from owning, trading, or creating cryptocurrencies while in office, according to MSNBC reporting.

Khanna’s bill would mark the first major attempt to separate digital assets from political power. 

Early details indicate the measure will bar elected officials and their families from holding or issuing cryptocurrencies and from accepting foreign-backed crypto investments. 

The California lawmaker said the initiative aims to rebuild public trust and prevent policymakers from profiting off the very technologies they regulate.

Trump’s Changpeng Zhao pardon 

The proposal follows President Donald Trump’s pardon of Binance founder Changpeng Zhao and seeks to eliminate what Khanna calls “blatant corruption” at the intersection of politics and crypto.

“The pardon of Zhao is corrupt,” Khanna said on MSNBC. “You’ve got a foreign billionaire engaged in money laundering and financing terrorism, who supports the president’s son’s cryptocurrency firm, and then the president pardons him. This is corruption in plain sight.”

Zhao, the co-founder and former CEO of Binance, served four months in prison after pleading guilty to violating U.S. banking laws. 

His company was accused of allowing illicit money flows linked to child exploitation, drug trafficking, and terrorism. Soon after Zhao’s financial backing of World Liberty Financial — the crypto project founded by Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump — was revealed, Trump granted him a pardon. 

Khanna’s proposal directly targets that entanglement. By banning crypto ownership and trading among officials, he hopes to draw a clear boundary between public service and private gain. 

The measure mirrors previous calls to ban stock trading by lawmakers and follows Senator Adam Schiff’s COIN Act, which specifically sought to limit the Trump family’s crypto activities.

Insider trading in Congress

Lawmakers have long and repeatedly introduced legislation in hopes to curb insider trading among members of Congress.

The STOCK Act, passed in 2012 with broad bipartisan support, was designed to require members to disclose stock trades within 30 days and penalize those who used insider information for personal gain. 

Earlier this year, The Preventing Elected Leaders from Owning Securities and Investments (PELOSI) Act (S.1498) was proposed in the U.S. Senate by Senator Josh Hawley (R-MO). 

The bill addresses concerns about conflicts of interest and potential insider trading among Members of Congress by prohibiting them and their spouses from holding, purchasing, or selling most individual stocks, security futures, commodities, and similar financial instruments while in office. 

This post House Democrat Targets President Trump With Bill to Ban Lawmakers From Owning Crypto first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Bitcoin Price Jumps to $115,000 As Analyst Says It May Never Fall Below $100K Again

Bitcoin price surged to $115,000 on Monday, rising more than 1% in 24 hours, as optimism over easing U.S.–China trade tensions and renewed investor appetite for risk assets lifted global markets. 

According to Geoffrey Kendrick, Head of Digital Asset Research at Standard Chartered Bank, Bitcoin price may “never fall below $100,000 again” if this week’s macro tailwinds continue.

In a note to clients, Kendrick said that improving trade relations between Washington and Beijing have flipped last week’s market fear into “hope.” 

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s weekend statement that restrictions on China’s rare earth exports could be postponed for a year, combined with reports that Beijing plans to buy large quantities of U.S. soybeans, sparked a relief rally across equities, commodities, and crypto.

China, U.S trade deals and FOMC rate cuts

The agreement, expected to be finalized after the upcoming Trump–Xi summit in South Korea, has renewed risk appetite and pushed the bitcoin-to-gold ratio back above pre-October 10 levels — the date when 100% tariff threats sent markets tumbling.

Kendrick pointed to fresh inflows into spot bitcoin ETFs as another key signal of strength. Over $2 billion exited U.S. gold ETFs late last week, and if even half of that re-enters bitcoin funds, he said, it would mark a major vote of confidence. 

The analyst also highlighted macro tailwinds, including expectations for a 25-basis-point rate cut at Wednesday’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting — a move widely seen as bullish for bitcoin. 

Meanwhile, investors are watching a packed earnings calendar from both tech and crypto heavyweights. Microsoft, Meta, and Google are set to report on Wednesday, followed by Apple, Amazon, Coinbase, and Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) later in the week.

“If this week goes well — bitcoin may never fall below $100,000 again,” Kendrick said.

Bitcoin price outlook

While bulls have made modest progress with Bitcoin, stronger resistance remains overhead at $117,600 and $122,000, leaving bears largely in control. 

If Bitcoin manages to surpass $122,000, professionals note the next target could be the upper boundary of a broadening wedge pattern at $128,000.

Support levels remain critical for maintaining bullish momentum. The key short-term support at $106,900 held throughout last week, helping stabilize the market. 

Falling below this level could open the path toward the $105,000–$102,000 support zone, which has already been tested twice, with a third test raising the likelihood of a breakdown. 

Beyond that, $96,000 represents a crucial long-term support level for the broader bull market, acting as a do-or-die floor if prices decline further.

As of press time, bitcoin was trading at $115,041, up 1.22% over the past 24 hours.

This post Bitcoin Price Jumps to $115,000 As Analyst Says It May Never Fall Below $100K Again first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Strategy (MSTR) Earns S&P ‘B-’ Rating, Marking a Major Milestone for Bitcoin-Backed Credit

For the first time in financial history, a major credit rating agency has formally evaluated a company built on a bitcoin-backed credit model. In news covered by Bitcoin Magazine, the S&P Global Ratings has assigned Strategy Inc (MSTR) a ‘B-’ Issuer Credit Rating with a Stable outlook, recognizing not just the company, but the emergence of Bitcoin as collateral inside the credit system. This marks a watershed moment for corporate finance. Bitcoin-backed credit is no longer theoretical. It is now a rated financial reality.

Why This Moment Matters

Until now, Bitcoin had been accepted by equity markets, ETFs, and corporate treasury conversations — but credit markets remained untouched. Credit markets are where legitimacy is ultimately decided because they determine who can borrow, at what cost, and against which assets.

By rating Strategy Inc, S&P has implicitly acknowledged:

  • Bitcoin can underpin structured debt and preferred equity.
  • A bitcoin-backed credit strategy can be modeled, rated, and priced using traditional frameworks.
  • Bitcoin is shifting from speculative asset to recognized collateral within corporate capital structures.

This is not a marketing milestone — it is a structural one. Bitcoin has entered the language of risk-adjusted return, yield, and covenants.

How S&P Interpreted Strategy’s Bitcoin-Backed Capital Model

The rating is speculative grade, but the Stable outlook is critical. It signals S&P’s belief that Strategy can continue to service obligations and access capital markets without selling its Bitcoin reserves — a foundational principle of bitcoin-backed credit.

S&P’s analysis mentions several possible weaknesses:

  • High concentration of assets in Bitcoin
  • Low U.S. dollar liquidity and negative risk-adjusted capital under S&P’s methodology
  • Currency mismatch: long Bitcoin, short U.S. dollar debt obligations
  • Limited operating cash flow outside software revenue

However, they also credited Strategy with unique structural strengths:

  • No near-term debt maturities before 2027–2028
  • Proven access to capital markets — both equity and debt
  • A capital stack purpose-built to accumulate Bitcoin without diluting shareholders
  • Active liability management via convertible debt and preferred stock instruments

In short, S&P is signaling that bitcoin-backed credit can function — if managed with discipline.

Implications for the S&P 500 and Institutional Legitimacy

Strategy Inc met the S&P 500 inclusion criteria in profitability and market capitalization but was passed over in 2024, widely believed to be due to its Bitcoin-heavy balance sheet. That decision now appears less defensible.

With a formal credit rating, the company shifts from “unrated anomaly” to “rated issuer.” For institutional capital, that distinction matters.

  • Index committees can now reference a risk rating — not just a narrative.
  • Treasury teams and insurers can benchmark exposure to bitcoin-backed credit against traditional corporate debt.
  • This increases (not guarantees) the probability of future index inclusion and passive capital flows.

Bitcoin entering equity indices begins with Bitcoin entering the credit models behind them.

Bitcoin-Backed Credit: The Ideal State of Treasury Strategy

This rating does more than validate Strategy — it validates the architecture of bitcoin-backed credit as the superior evolution of corporate treasury management.

Phase 1 was equity-funded Bitcoin accumulation — high growth but shareholder dilution.
Phase 2 introduced convertible debt and preferred equity — allowing companies to acquire Bitcoin through capital markets rather than operating earnings.
Phase 3, now underway, is full institutional recognition of bitcoin-backed credit — rated, benchmarked, and capable of scaling.

This is the endgame:

  • Use capital markets to borrow in fiat
  • Use proceeds to acquire Bitcoin
  • Service liabilities without selling reserves
  • Increase Bitcoin-per-share over time, without issuing new common stock

With S&P formally rating Strategy’s issuer credit, this model moves from innovation to infrastructure.

Why Corporate Finance Leaders Need to Pay Attention

This rating does not compel companies to adopt Bitcoin. But it removes the claim that Bitcoin cannot be integrated into traditional credit systems.

From now on:

  • Bitcoin can be factored into risk-weighted capital models and treasury policy.
  • Credit and liquidity committees must understand how bitcoin-backed credit affects financing costs, refinancing risk, and balance sheet leverage.
  • Investors can now compare Bitcoin-based capital structures against other high-yield or hybrid debt strategies.
  • Boards can no longer dismiss Bitcoin as “unratable” or “unclassified.”

A New Chapter for Corporate Finance and Capital Markets

What makes this moment different isn’t that another institution “acknowledged” Bitcoin. That’s happened before with ETFs, GAAP accounting changes, and treasury allocations.

What’s different is where the recognition has now occurred: Not in equity markets. Not in payment networks. But in credit — the foundation of corporate finance and monetary systems.

When a credit rating agency like S&P evaluates a company built on Bitcoin, it does three things that have never happened before:

  • It forces Bitcoin into risk models normally reserved for banks, sovereigns, and investment-grade corporations.
  • It legitimizes bitcoin-backed credit as a structure that can be analyzed, refinanced, and scaled — not dismissed as speculative.
  • It signals to other corporates and lenders that they must now understand Bitcoin not as an investment, but as collateral.

This rating does not mean the model is risk-free. It means the model is real enough to underwrite, stress test, and lend against.

That is the real inflection point — not that S&P approved of Bitcoin, but that they were forced to measure it.

Disclaimer: This content was written on behalf of Bitcoin For CorporationsThis article is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as an invitation or solicitation to acquire, purchase or subscribe for securities.

This post Strategy (MSTR) Earns S&P ‘B-’ Rating, Marking a Major Milestone for Bitcoin-Backed Credit first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Nick Ward.

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Bitcoin Closes at $114,530 Amid FOMC Volatility: Bulls Eye $117,600 Resistance

Bitcoin Price Weekly Outlook

Bitcoin’s price action was rather subdued last week, keeping traders guessing whether or not we would see another large drop in price entering the weekend. Price held above the lows, however, slowly plodding a little bit higher to close out the week at $114,530. Bulls should not be overly disappointed with this price action, as they did reclaim the $112,200 resistance level, and are now closing in on conquering the next resistance level at $115,500. The bears are still sitting comfortably in control, though, with stronger resistance levels hanging overhead that the bulls have yet to challenge. This may be an interesting and volatile week ahead, with the FOMC meeting on Wednesday and a slough of large companies reporting third-quarter earnings.

Bitcoin Holds $114,530 Amid FOMC Volatility: Bulls Eye $117,600 Resistance

Key Support and Resistance Levels Now

Nothing has materially changed from last week’s resistance levels as the bulls have made little progress. Heavy resistance is still sitting at $117,600 and $122,000 above there, so the bears aren’t feeling any real pressure yet. If by chance this week gets above $122,000, we will look to the upper boundary of our broadening wedge pattern at $128,000.

Holding above the prior week’s low is a positive sign for the bulls, while they managed to maintain price above the key short-term support of $106,900 last week as well. This level must hold going forward, as closing below $106,900 opens the door back down to the $105,000 to $102,000 support zone that has already been tested twice. A third test of this support zone would be more likely to break it than to hold it. $96,000 is the long-term bull market support below here, a do-or-die support level if the price were to slide down and test it.

Bitcoin Holds $114,530 Amid FOMC Volatility: Bulls Eye $117,600 Resistance

Outlook For This Week

Expect significant volatility this week, especially on Wednesday, as we have the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision and ensuing Powell speech, followed by major earnings reports from Microsoft, Meta, and Google after market close. Bulls will look to hold $109,000 as a floor into this week, as doing so would position them to maintain upward momentum. Looking at the Momentum Reversal Indicator, we are currently sitting on an 8-count entering Monday. This is a warning candle that we may see momentum begin to fade. Tuesday should bring the 9-count at which point we should expect at least a pause on upward momentum and a 1 to 4 day correction in price. So if bulls can push price up to the 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement at $117,600 by Monday night or Tuesday morning, we should expect to see a rejection ther,e and we can re-assess after Wednesday’s FOMC and earnings reports play out.

Bitcoin Holds $114,530 Amid FOMC Volatility: Bulls Eye $117,600 Resistance

Market mood: Bearish – While the bulls gained some ground last week, the bears remain stoic and strong. The bulls must push the price past $122,000 to take back control.

The next few weeks
If bulls can manage to survive through this week, there are still some potential headwinds on the horizon. The US-China tariff dispute may or may not be resolved by the end of next week; a negative outcome will likely send all markets lower. Additionally, the US courts’ ruling on the legality of Trump’s tariffs is expected by November 5th. If these tariffs are reinstated, we should expect markets to head lower to price this impact in.

Terminology Guide:

Bulls/Bullish: Buyers or investors expecting the price to go higher.

Bears/Bearish: Sellers or investors expecting the price to go lower.

Support or support level: A level at which the price should hold for the asset, at least initially. The more touches on support, the weaker it gets and the more likely it is to fail to hold the price.

Resistance or resistance level: Opposite of support.  The level that is likely to reject the price, at least initially. The more touches at resistance, the weaker it gets and the more likely it is to fail to hold back the price.

Fibonacci Retracements and Extensions: Ratios based on what is known as the golden ratio, a universal ratio pertaining to growth and decay cycles in nature. The golden ratio is based on the constants Phi (1.618) and phi (0.618).

Broadening Wedge: A chart pattern consisting of an upper trend line acting as resistance and a lower trend line acting as support. These trend lines must diverge away from each other in order to validate the pattern. This pattern is a result of expanding price volatility, typically resulting in higher highs and lower lows.

Momentum Reversal Indicator (MRI): A proprietary indicator created by Tone Vays. The MRI indicator tracks buyer and seller momentum and exhaustion, providing signals to indicate when to expect momentum to fade and accelerate.

This post Bitcoin Closes at $114,530 Amid FOMC Volatility: Bulls Eye $117,600 Resistance first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Ethan Greene – Feral Analysis and Juan Galt.

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Trump Picks SEC Crypto Counsel Michael Selig to Lead CFTC

President Donald Trump has selected Michael Selig, chief counsel for the Securities and Exchange Commission’s crypto task force, to chair the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

Selig’s nomination, first reported by Bloomberg, marks Trump’s second attempt to fill the CFTC’s top post, following the stalled nomination of Brian Quintenz, a16z crypto’s global policy chief, amid opposition from Gemini co-founder Tyler Winklevoss. 

Selig, who serves as an aide to SEC Chairman Paul Atkins, has been instrumental in coordinating regulatory approaches between the SEC and CFTC on financial and crypto market oversight.

The CFTC, which regulates futures, swaps, and prediction markets, is gaining greater prominence as Congress considers new crypto market structure legislation. 

Before joining the SEC, he was a partner at Willkie Farr & Gallagher, specializing in asset management.

Selig’s appointment will require Senate confirmation.

President Trump’s growing support for crypto

President Donald Trump also recently granted a full pardon to Binance founder Changpeng Zhao, calling his prosecution part of the prior administration’s “war on cryptocurrency.” 

The move, confirmed by the White House, clears Zhao’s record and echoes a major shift in the government’s approach to the crypto industry.

Selig’s appointment comes as momentum behind U.S. crypto legislation accelerated this week as Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong said the industry was “90%” of the way toward securing passage of the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, or CLARITY Act. 

Despite a partial government shutdown, lawmakers from both parties reportedly made major progress on the long-awaited market structure bill.

Armstrong met with senators from both parties, including Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, Sens. Kirsten Gillibrand, Cynthia Lummis, and Tim Scott, describing the discussions as “very productive.” 

The bill, which passed the House in July with a bipartisan 294–137 vote, aimed to clarify which digital assets fall under the SEC versus the CFTC, while providing rules for decentralized finance (DeFi), stablecoins, and custody services.

The final sticking points centered on how to regulate DeFi and whether consumers could earn rewards on stablecoins. Crypto advocates urged lawmakers to target regulation at intermediaries rather than open-source code and warned that the banking lobby sought to limit yield on stablecoin holdings.

Despite procedural delays from the shutdown, optimism remained high. Lummis said she expected the bill to reach President Trump’s desk before year-end, calling it the most significant bipartisan step toward U.S. crypto clarity to date.

This post Trump Picks SEC Crypto Counsel Michael Selig to Lead CFTC first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Swiss Bitcoin-Only App Relai Secures MiCA License in France

Swiss Bitcoin app Relai has become one of the first Bitcoin-only companies to receive regulatory approval under Europe’s landmark Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework. 

The Zurich-based firm announced today that it has been granted authorization as a Crypto-Asset Service Provider (CASP) by France’s Financial Markets Authority (AMF), according to a note shared with Bitcoin Magazine.

The approval marks a significant moment not just for Relai, but for the broader Bitcoin ecosystem in Europe. The MiCA regulation, which came into effect earlier this year, establishes uniform rules for crypto companies across the EU, aiming to increase investor protection and reduce regulatory fragmentation between member states. 

While large exchanges like Binance and Coinbase are still navigating the complex licensing process, Relai’s early authorization gives it a head start as one of the first Bitcoin-only firms to achieve compliance.

“We’re incredibly proud to be one of the first Bitcoin companies to get the MiCA license and are eager to expand to France first — and Europe in a second step,” said Julian Liniger, co-founder and CEO of Relai. “This is a big moment for Bitcoin adoption on the continent.”

Relai is expanding a bitcoin-only vision across Europe

Founded in Zurich in 2020, Relai has grown despite a rough regulatory environment for digital assets.

The company closed a Series A funding round last year and surpassed 500,000 app downloads, establishing itself as a user-friendly gateway for European retail investors seeking exposure to Bitcoin without intermediaries.

With the MiCA license secured, Relai can now “passport” its services across the EU — meaning it can operate in all 27 member states once formal notification procedures are complete. 

The company plans to introduce a suite of new features tailored to European users, including Instant SEPA payments, higher trading limits, fixed-price transparency, and enhanced security standards.

Relai also intends to invest in education and community-building, launching localized learning resources and sponsoring Bitcoin events across Europe. 

“Our goal is clear: bringing Bitcoin to as many people as possible — simple, secure, and regulated,” said Adem Bilican, co-founder and president of Relai EU.

The company is also strengthening its governance with a newly appointed advisory board, featuring industry veterans Jean Guillaume, Daniel Astraud, and Herve de Kerdrel, who will provide guidance on regulatory compliance and strategic growth. 

Relai plans to leverage its MiCA approval to expand across Europe, with marketing campaigns and app updates scheduled for 2026.

Yesterday, Blockchain.com announced it received a MiCA license as well, granted by the Maltese Financial Services Authority (MFSA),

This post Swiss Bitcoin-Only App Relai Secures MiCA License in France first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Alpha Arena Reveals AI Trading Flaws: Western Models Lose 80% Capital in One Week

Can AI trade crypto? Jay Azhang, a computer engineer and finance bro from New York, is putting this question to the test with Alpha Arena. The project pits the greatest large language models (LLM) against each other, each with 10 thousand dollars worth of capital, to see which can make more money trading crypto. The models include Grok 4, Claude Sonnet 4.5, Gemini 2.5 pro, ChatGPT 5, Deepseek v3.1, and Qwen3 Max. 

Now, you might be thinking “wow, that’s a great idea!” and you would be surprised, at the time of writing, three out of the five AIs are underwater, with Qwen3 and Deepseek — the two Chinese open source models — leading the charge. 

Alpha Arena Reveals AI Trading Flaws: Western Models Lose 80% Capital in One Week

That’s right, the western world’s most powerful, closed source, proprietary artificial intelligences run by giants like Google and OpenAI, have lost over $8,000 dollars, 80% of their crypto trading capital in little over a week, while their eastern open source counterparts are in the green.

The most successful trade so far? Qwen3 — moisturised and in its lane — with a simple 20x bitcoin long position. Grok 4 — to no one’s surprise — has been long Doge with 10x leverage for most of the competition… having at one point been at the top of the charts along with Deepseek, now close to 20% underwater.  Maybe Elon Musk should tweet a doge meme or something to, you know, get Grok out of the dog house. 

Alpha Arena Reveals AI Trading Flaws: Western Models Lose 80% Capital in One Week

Meanwhile, Google’s Gemini is relentlessly bearish, being short on all the crypto assets available to trade, a position that echoes their general crypto policy over the past 15 years. 

Last but not least is ChatGibitty, which has made every bad trade possible for a week straight, a remarkable achievement! It takes skill to be that bad, especially when Qwen3 just longed bitcoin and went fishing. If this is the best closed-source AI has to offer, then maybe OpenAI should just keep it closed source and spare us.

A new benchmark for AI

All joking aside, the idea of pitting off AI models against each other in a crypto trading arena has some very profound insights. For starters, AI can not be pre-trained on answers to knowledge tests with crypto trading since it is so unpredictable, an issue that other benchmarks suffer from. To put it another way, many AI models are being given the answers to some of these tests in their training, and so of course they perform well when tested. But some research has demonstrated that slight changes to some of these tests lead to radically different AI benchmark results.

This controversy begs the question: What is the ultimate test of intelligence? Well, according to Elon Musk, Iron Man enthusiast and creator of Grok 4, predicting the future is the ultimate measure of intelligence. 

And let’s face it, there’s no future more uncertain than the short-term price of crypto. In the words of Azhang, “Our goal with Alpha Arena is to make benchmarks more like the real world, and markets are perfect for this. They’re dynamic, adversarial, open-ended, and endlessly unpredictable. They challenge AI in ways that static benchmarks cannot. — Markets are the ultimate test of intelligence.” 

This insight about markets is deeply embedded in the libertarian principles from which Bitcoin was born. Economists like Murray Rothbard and Milton Friedman made the case over a hundred years ago that markets were fundamentally unpredictable by central planners, that only individuals making real economic decisions with something to lose could make rational economic calculations.

In other words, the market is the most difficult thing to predict as it depends on the individual perspectives and decisions of intelligent individuals throughout the world, and thus, it is the best test of intelligence.

Azhang mentions in its project description that the AIs are instructed to trade not just for gains, but for risk-adjusted returns. This risk dimension is critical, as one bad trade can wipe out all previous returns, as seen, for example, in the downfall of Grok 4’s portfolio. 

There’s another question that remains, which is whether these models are learning from their experience trading crypto, a matter that is not technically easy to achieve, given that AI models are very expensive to pre-train in the first place. They could be fine-tuned with their own trading history or other people’s history, and they might even keep recent trades in their short-term memory or context window, but that can only take them so far. Ultimately, the right AI trading model might have to really learn from its own experiences, a technology that was recently announced among academic circles but has a long way to go before it becomes a product. MIT calls them self-adaptating AI models

How do we know it is not just luck? 

Another analysis of the project and its results so far is that it may be indistinguishable from a ‘random walk’. A random walk is akin to throwing dice for every decision. What would that look like on a chart? Well, there’s actually a simulator you can use to answer that question; it would not look too different, actually. 

Alpha Arena Reveals AI Trading Flaws: Western Models Lose 80% Capital in One Week

This question of luck in markets has also been described quite carefully by intellectuals like Nassim Taleb in his book Antifragile. In it, he argues that from the perspective of statistics, it is perfectly normal and possible for one trader, say Qwen3 in this case, to be lucky for a whole week straight! Leading to the appearance of superior reasoning. Taleb goes a lot further than that, arguing that there are enough traders on Wall Street that one of them could easily be lucky for 20 years in a row, developing a god-like reputation, with everyone around them assuming this trader is just a genius, until, of course, luck runs out. 

Thus, for Alpha Arena to produce valuable data, it will actually have to run for a long time, and its patterns and results will need to be replicated independently as well, with real capital at stake, before they can be identified as different than a random walk.

Ultimately, it’s great to see the open-source, cost-efficient models like DeepSeek outperform their closed-source counterparts so far. Alpha Arena has so far been a great source of entertainment, as it has gone viral on X.com over the past week. Where it goes is anyone’s guess; we will have to see if the gamble its creator took, giving $50,000 to five chatbots to gamble on crypto with, pays off in the end. 

This post Alpha Arena Reveals AI Trading Flaws: Western Models Lose 80% Capital in One Week first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Juan Galt.

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Spark and Ark: A Look At Our Newest Bitcoin Layer Twos

In my quest to find the best solution for Cake Wallet to offer user-friendly, non-custodial Lightning to our users, I’ve gone deep down the rabbit hole of both Spark and Ark. Both are quite novel approaches to Bitcoin layer two networks, and are designed at their core to be interoperable with the broader Bitcoin network for payments via the Lightning Network. While both can be used “just” for Lightning payments, both networks are positioned to rapidly expand and be used for far more than that over the coming months and years.

One thing to keep in mind is that while Spark and Ark on their face seem rather similar, in practice and in implementation they are quite distinct.

Why do we need new layer twos?

Bitcoin at its core is an incredible tool for freedom, but due to block size constraints, we know that the majority of the world will never be able to make transactions on-chain. Enter Lightning, a solution that allows one on-chain transaction to allow for essentially infinite off-chain transactions, expanding the usefulness of Bitcoin’s base layer and making it possible for more people to transact.

While Lightning provided a promising approach to scaling Bitcoin payments, ultimately the realization that its best role is as an interoperability layer and not as a tool for end-users to run themselves has become clear. On-chain requirements, liquidity management, liveness requirements, and other core hurdles make the implementation of user-friendly, self-custodial Lightning next to impossible. This has become apparent as most Lightning wallets and use-cases have opted to use custodial or federated models out of a need to simplify the user experience and the implementation difficulty.

The biggest win that Spark and Ark provide to the Bitcoin space out of the gate is providing a much simpler and easier way for the average developer to provide Lightning to their users, while allowing for greatly expanded functionality down the line beyond Lightning payments.

Ark, simplified

History

The concept of Ark was created in May of 2023 by Burak, a Lightning advocate and developer. The driving force behind its creation was the realization that the Lightning network as constructed was not effective as an onboarding tool for the average individual due to inbound liquidity requirements among many other things, and that privacy was often lacking. While Burak invented the protocol itself, two companies – Ark Labs and Second – have stepped in to build the Ark protocol into an end-to-end layer-two network for Bitcoin.

While both companies are building around the same open-source Ark protocol, their implementations and objectives are rather dissimilar. As a result, I’ll do my best to distill both below where possible.

Terminology

Ark: Ark is a protocol for moving Bitcoin transactions off-chain by leveraging multisig and pre-signed transactions between users and the Ark Operator. Anything you can do on Bitcoin, you can do on Ark but faster and with lower fees.

Ark Operator: The entity running the centralized Ark server infrastructure and responsible for providing liquidity for user’s VTXOs before expiry.

Lightning Gateway: The entity that provides the ability for Ark users to send or receive Lightning payments using trustless atomic swaps of Ark VTXOs. This function can be provided by the same entity as the Ark Operator, but is often distinct to spread out counter-party risk.

Virtual Transaction Outputs: Also called “VTXOs”, these are very similar to on-chain UTXOs in nature, but are virtual as they aren’t represented as unique UTXOs on-chain and live entirely off-chain. Users send and receive VTXOs within Ark.

Rounds: In order to gain true finality and/or refresh VTXOs, Ark users will need to join rounds, where they work together with other Ark users and the Ark Operator to get new VTXOs in exchange for a fee.

Making transactions

Ark functions very similarly to on-chain Bitcoin transactions, and inherits many of the same mannerisms while allowing transactions to be near-instant and trust-minimized between Ark participants. The sender works with the Ark Operator to sign the VTXO over to the recipient, or in the case of Ark Labs to create a new, chained VTXO for the recipient. This allows a user-experience similar in many ways to on-chain payments, but with far lower fees and far faster transaction times. When the user wants to send or receive Lightning payments, they can work with a Lightning Gateway to atomically swap VTXOs for Lightning payments as-needed. At the moment no offline receive for Lightning payments in Ark is possible, but it’s likely this will be solved in a similarly trust-minimized way within Ark as it is in Spark.

If the user desires finality (i.e. they’ve received a large payment), they can choose to join a round to finalize the payment and gain the same finality assumptions as on-chain Bitcoin. The frequency of this round process will vary by Ark Operator –  with estimates ranging from every 10min to every hour – and requires a relatively lengthy coordinated signing process between all users seeking to join the round with the Ark Operator. The round frequency can even vary based on demand, and is not something that has to be set in stone to a single frequency unlike Bitcoin block times.

As Ark inherits Bitcoin scripting and the UTXO model directly from on-chain Bitcoin, Ark will likely be extended to support token protocols like Taproot Assets in the future.

Trust tradeoffs

Ark targets a very trust-minimized approach to scaling Bitcoin, striking something of a middle-ground in terms of usability and tradeoffs between Lightning and Spark. Note that Ark as a protocol is rapidly developing, and some of these tradeoffs will hopefully be solved through the use of novel off-chain methods or after the implementation of covenants in Bitcoin.

Lack of out-of-round finality

While Spark lacks provable finality, Ark strikes something of a middle ground. For small payments, users can rely on the Ark Operator and previous senders to not collude for security, allowing for instant transfers with no need for collaborative signing rounds. Note that by default, payments within Ark will be “out-of-round” payments that lack true finality, a tradeoff that allows Ark to deliver a good user experience out of the box.

That being said, users who do need or want true finality can have it by joining a round and receiving a new VTXO from the Ark Operator. Receivers are essentially in control of their preferred trust model.

VTXO expiration

As a result of the liquidity requirements to operate an Ark instance, Ark Operators need a way to reclaim liquidity regularly. To allow this liquidity reclamation, Ark VTXOs will expire regularly (i.e. after 30d, with the VTXO expiry being set by each Ark Operator), requiring their owners to either join a round to refresh the VTXO or risk giving up control of their funds entirely to the Ark Operator. While the Ark Operator has strong incentives to merely issue a new VTXO to the owner of the expired one when they come back online, both the Ark Operator and the user will have the ability to spend funds until a new VTXO is issued to the user.

To avoid funds expiring, users will be required to refresh their VTXOs within that window either directly or by offloading refresh to a delegate. Alternatively, atomic swaps of an expiring VTXO for one with a longer lifecycle could be done with an entity like Boltz for a fee, but that is not yet implemented.

Complex round user experience

If you’ve ever used Coinjoin on Bitcoin, you know how tedious and unreliable collaboratively signing a transaction with other Bitcoiners can be. In Ark, those seeking true finality for their VTXOs will need to be available throughout a round signing process until its completion, something that will depend heavily on other participants properly completing the signing process. While this is quite trivial to accomplish for a wallet running on an always-online server, it’s rather complex to reliably perform on mobile platforms, especially iOS where no background execution (and thus no ability to be online at the right time for signing) can be guaranteed for any app.

As a result of this complex user experience, Ark Labs have come up with a system that leverages delegated third parties performing the refresh in a trust-minimized way for users, offloading the liveliness requirement to a third party. While this third party has no ability to steal funds, if they are offline for any reason or refuse to refresh a given VTXO, the user will be forced to join a round themselves before the expiry period. To mitigate this risk, users can designate multiple delegates, shifting the trust assumptions for expiry to a 1-of-N assumption, where if any delegate is honest their VTXO will be refreshed properly.

Second also have a similarly designed system that enables trustless, non-interactive rounds for users, allowing any number of parties to sign for a user during a round (i.e. the wallet provider and a third-party delegate) where if any of those parties signs properly, the users VTXO is properly refreshed.

Note that while these two solutions can refresh expiring VTXOs, they cannot give users true finality without the user actively participating in the round themselves.

Lastly, it’s important to call out that the vast majority of complexity with the round process can be entirely mitigated if a simple covenant is deployed in an upgrade to Bitcoin, something that would unlock a vastly improved user experience for Ark.

Privacy tradeoffs

At its core, Ark inherits Bitcoin’s poor privacy and doesn’t provide any notable privacy improvements as a protocol. That being said, its ability to offload execution off-chain and expand Bitcoin’s functionality allows existing and novel privacy protocols to be built on top of it in the future, with covenants fully unlocking things like private rounds within Ark.

In the short-term, Ark Labs have planned to use WabiSabi-like blinded credentials to improve privacy from the operator when users participate in rounds.

Transaction visibility

While all transactions within Ark don’t need to be published on-chain, providing some loose ephemerality, all transaction details are visible to the Ark Operator and shouldn’t be considered private in the truest sense. Instead, viewing the ephemeral privacy provided by Ark as analogous to the VPN model (offloading visibility into transactions from the Bitcoin blockchain to a trusted third-party) is a useful mental model.

It’s unclear at this time if Ark Labs and Second will keep transaction data private or publish it publicly, but as with a VPN users should not rely entirely on a promise to not log for their privacy.

Learn more

Spark, simplified

History

The Spark network was launched earlier this year by the folks at Lightspark, a Bitcoin-adjacent company with an interesting history. From UMA (a username system with natively integrated compliance features for their banking partners) to connections with the failed Libra currency, they have an odd track record of building tools that aren’t quite up to par with Bitcoin’s more cypherpunk roots. But, when I put aside their odd track record and focused purely on what Spark the protocol actually is, it presents a rather useful, pragmatic, and powerful tool overall.

Spark at its core takes a lot of the useful features of statechains, a novel approach to layer twos on Bitcoin created by Ruben Somsen in 2018. Spark specifically extends statechains with the idea of “leaves”, allowing users to send any amount in a transaction instead of being solely able to transact with whole UTXOs, one of the biggest issues with statechains up to this point.

Terminology

Spark Entity: the entity running a given Spark instance, i.e. Lightspark, made up of a collection of Spark Operators. As Spark is an open-source protocol, anyone can start their own Spark Entity, but each Spark Entity controls which Spark Operators can join.

Spark Operator: each Spark Entity is composed of one or more Spark Operators, each of which are responsible for validating and signing operations of users within the Spark instance, including transfers of funds and tokens, issuance of new tokens, etc. These can be the same entity as the Spark Entity, or (hopefully) distinct in relationship and jurisdiction from the Spark Entity. Currently the two Operators for Spark are Lightspark themselves and Flashnet, but more are slated to be added in the near future.

Spark Service Provider: an entity that provides various services to Spark users, including using atomic swaps to trustlessly send and receive Lightning payments on the users behalf.

Spark leaves: Spark solves the issues around whole-coin transfer requirements in statechains with the introduction of leaves. These can be thought of similarly to UTXOs within Bitcoin, as they can be freely broken up into any size necessary.

Making transactions

At its core, Spark functions by allowing users to easily move Bitcoin around the Spark network near-instantly by working in a trust-minimized way with Spark Operators to transfer ownership of individual leaves to another person. There is no need for a blockchain, confirmations, or liveness between sender and receiver, making payments simple and very fast. When a user wants to make a payment on Lightning, they atomically swap a leaf or leaves from their wallet with a Spark Service Provider who then sends the payment trustlessly on their behalf for a fee.

To transfer a Spark leaf, the sender co-signs ownership of the leaf over from themselves + Spark Operators to the new owner + Spark Operators. This is done in such a way that if any of the Spark Operators or previous owner honestly deletes their keyshare used in the co-signing operation, the leaf is then solely owned by the recipient and no double-spend is possible. As this operation only requires collaboration between the Spark Operators and sender and not any other Spark users, these signing rounds are very fast and resistant to DoS attacks.

Spark also includes a similar 1-of-N trust model to do offline receive for Lightning payments, a key user-experience improvement over standard Lightning wallet usage. This is especially important when using Spark on a mobile wallet, as mobile platforms cannot guarantee background execution or perfect network access 24/7.

In addition to regular payments, Spark has extended the idea to include native token support, with the core focus being on stablecoins like USDT and USDC able to be issued and transferred seamlessly within the Spark network. Tokens transfers themselves share a similar trust model to standard transactions on Spark, and retain the ability to unilaterally exit on-chain.

Lastly, users in Spark can unilaterally exit on-chain at any time by publishing a pre-signed exit transaction on-chain. While the cost of exiting can vary widely due to variables like leaf depth and on-chain fee rates, likely pricing out smaller amounts, it’s a critical tool to ensure that funds can be retrieved in the event of a malicious or unavailable Spark Entity.

Trust tradeoffs

Spark makes a very pragmatic set of tradeoffs that compliment the current issues befalling Lightning and Bitcoin usage today. That being said, there are some major differences with Spark compared to on-chain Bitcoin or Lightning usage. I prefer to use the term “trust-minimized” when talking about Spark (and most other layer two networks) as only self-custody of Bitcoin on-chain can truly be viewed as “trustless”.

Lack of true finality

The core risk to self-sovereignty in Spark is the lack of true finality, where users can never know for sure that their funds cannot be double-spent through collusion between the Spark Operators and a previous spender. Within Spark, finality (knowing that your funds can only be moved with your keys) exists – but is not provable – on the condition that any single Spark Operator deletes their keyshare after signing off on a Spark transaction. On the flip side, if all Spark Operators are malicious and refuse to delete their keyshare and collude with a previous sender of a leaf you own they can double-spend that leaf and effectively steal funds.

While in practice I think this 1-of-N trust assumption is reasonable, it obviously falls far short of the regular, on-chain Bitcoin trust assumptions where true finality is a default. It’s also important to note that due to the pseudonymous nature of Spark transactions, the previous sender could be the same entity as the Spark Entity.

Potentially centralized token control

While transfers of tokens themselves share the 1-of-N trust assumption of regular Spark payments, the tokens themselves can be frozen at any time if the issuer decides to enable this functionality. While this is similar to many centrally controlled stablecoins like USDT (who freeze and confiscate Tether quite often for legal reasons), it’s important to callout and will likely be enabled in many regulated stablecoins like USDC and USDT.

1-of-N offline Lightning receive security

While offline Lightning receives are not trust-minimized in the same way standard Lightning payments are, theft of funds would require all Spark Operators to collude to steal a single Lightning payment, something that is disincentivized due to the small size of Lightning payments and the massive reputational risk if caught stealing from users, something that is easy to detect due to the inherent proof of payment in the Lightning network.

Privacy tradeoffs

Spark itself should not be viewed as a privacy tool, as it inherits core privacy problems from Bitcoin’s base layer and has made some poor design choices initially when it comes to privacy. That being said, Spark’s core technology could be extended to have fantastic privacy with the introduction of blind signing for all transactions, confidential amounts for token transfers, and other privacy technologies that aren’t normally possible within the Bitcoin ecosystem.

Transaction visibility

While transactions within Spark aren’t published for all time to a blockchain like on-chain transactions, all Spark Operators do get full visibility into transactions. In theory this could provide ephemerality if Spark Operators had a non-logging policy, but in practice all transaction data is currently being published to an explorer by Flashnet, one of the Spark Operators. This means that outside observers can trivially look up Spark addresses and see all transaction details, token balances, and even link Lightning payments to addresses using timing and amount analysis.

Note that Spark is working to add the ability for wallet developers to opt-out of this data publishing by marking transactions as private, which then falls back to the same VPN-like trust model as previously described for Ark. If a wallet developer opts to enable this (as I hope they all will!), the Spark Operators will promise not to publish this transaction data publicly, but of course still have the ability to store this data locally if they so choose.

Lack of address rotation

In its current form, Spark doesn’t support spending funds from multiple distinct Spark addresses in a single transaction. While this is slated to be fixed and already acknowledged as a key shortcoming of Spark, at present it means that most Spark implementations will rely on a single, static address for all transactions, making Spark’s privacy at the moment worse than even on-chain Bitcoin. Combining this address re-use with all amounts being visible means that it would be trivial for an attacker to perform timing + amount heuristics on payments to ascertain which Lightning payments pertain to which Spark addresses.

Spark address leaks

To complete the trifecta of current privacy problems in Spark, the core SDKs provided by Spark (and used by the most common implementation of Spark in Wallet of Satoshi) by default include the user’s Spark address unnecessarily in BOLT 11 Lightning invoices. This means that anyone can easily decode a provided BOLT 11 invoice and learn every transaction from that user in Spark, thanks to the use of static addresses and all details being published to an explorer as detailed above.

Note that this isn’t absolutely necessary, can easily be disabled by wallet developers, and is already removed in the Breez Nodeless SDK that utilizes Spark and is rapidly gaining adoption but is important to callout nonetheless.

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Conclusion

While both Spark and Ark present an exciting new time in the world of Bitcoin usability and scalability, as with all things they come with their own unique sets of tradeoffs. While neither is a perfect solution, it’s exciting that wallet developers finally have two competing and interesting options to solve the implementation of Lightning, native tokens, and other functionality into their wallets and software without the complexity traditionally associated with Lightning. Both Spark and Ark present a pragmatic outcome for scaling Bitcoin, representing a hard but sane path to do things in a way that balances trust-minimization with user-experience and scaling.

As both are rapidly evolving protocols, the hope is that the tradeoffs presented by both solutions will be rapidly improved upon and minimized in the coming months and years, providing an even better option that gets non-custodial Bitcoin into the hands of many more people while extending the things that we can build on top of Bitcoin.

A special thank you to the folks at Spark, Ark Labs, Second, Breez, Spiral, and Bitcoin QnA for taking the time to provide feedback on this article! It takes a tribe to work out all of the trust assumptions and tradeoffs of these novel systems, and I’m extremely grateful to each for taking out some of their valuable time to help here.

This is a guest post by Seth For Privacy Opinions expressed are entirely their own and do not necessarily reflect those of BTC Inc or Bitcoin Magazine.

This post Spark and Ark: A Look At Our Newest Bitcoin Layer Twos first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Seth For Privacy.

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Newly-Pardoned Changpeng Zhao and Peter Schiff Agree to Bitcoin vs. Gold Debate

Changpeng “CZ” Zhao and Peter Schiff are supposedly taking their long-running argument to the stage.

The Binance founder has agreed to debate the outspoken economist and gold advocate after Schiff publicly challenged him to a “Bitcoin versus tokenized gold” discussion. 

The exchange follows Schiff’s announcement that he’s launching his own blockchain-based gold product — and CZ’s sharp critique that such tokens are “not truly on-chain.”

“As much as you voice against Bitcoin, you are always professional and nonpersonal,” CZ told Schiff on X today. “I appreciate that. Can have a debate about it.”

Schiff replied later: “Absolutely. Several people have already reached out to me offering to moderate. Do you have a preference?”

All this debate talk arrives hours after President Donald Trump granted a full pardon to Changpeng Zhao. President Trump said CZ “wasn’t guilty” and was “persecuted by the Biden administration.”

Schiff’s tokenized gold pitch vs. bitcoin

Schiff recently said that he’s building a tokenized gold platform and neobank, with a blockchain token called Tgold at its core. 

The product will reportedly allow users to purchase physical gold through a mobile app, store it in secure vaults, and transfer or redeem it digitally. 

Schiff describes it as “real money for the digital age” — physical gold represented on-chain.

All this comes amid a multiyear gold rally, with prices hitting a record $4,380 per ounce earlier this month before settling near $4,128, at time of writing. 

Schiff argues that tokenized gold could provide a stable, asset-backed alternative to Bitcoin’s volatility, serving as both a medium of exchange and store of value.

CZ pushes back: “It’s a ‘Trust Me Bro’ Token”

CZ wasted no time in firing back.

On X, he called tokenized gold “a ‘trust-me-bro’ token,” arguing that such assets rely on third-party custodians — precisely the kind of centralized trust structures Bitcoin was designed to eliminate.

“Tokenizing gold is NOT ‘on-chain’ gold,” CZ wrote. “It’s tokenizing that you trust some third party will give you gold at some later date — maybe decades later, during a war, after management changes, etc.”

His comments echo a common view among crypto purists: that true digital ownership requires self-custody and verifiable scarcity — traits Bitcoin has, but gold tokens do not.

As of writing, there is not an agreed-upon or specific time for Schiff and CZ to debate.

This post Newly-Pardoned Changpeng Zhao and Peter Schiff Agree to Bitcoin vs. Gold Debate first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Crypto Market Structure Bill Gains Bipartisan Momentum as Coinbase’s Armstrong Says “We’re 90% There”

Even as Washington remains hobbled by a partial government shutdown, momentum for U.S. crypto market structure legislation is quietly reaching new heights.

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong says the industry is “90%” of the way there, describing unprecedented bipartisan cooperation among senators working to finalize the long-awaited regulatory framework for digital assets.

Armstrong, who spent this week meeting with both Senate Democrats and Republicans, said the last few sticking points of the CLARITY Act — including rules for decentralized finance (DeFi) and stablecoin rewards — are close to being resolved. 

“Both sides are working hard to figure out the final 10%, and we’re getting close,” he said in a social media post. “We’re bullish on getting a bill passed by year-end, and hopeful it’s out of Committee by Thanksgiving.”

The Coinbase chief’s optimism comes amid a surge of engagement between lawmakers and crypto executives, marking one of the most serious bipartisan pushes to bring clarity to digital asset regulation since Congress first began debating the issue years ago.

Bipartisan crypto breakthrough in July

The legislation at the center of these discussions — the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (CLARITY Act) — passed the House of Representatives in July with a strong bipartisan majority of 294–137. 

The bill now sits before the Senate Banking Committee, chaired by Sen. Tim Scott (R-SC), with hopes it could advance to the Senate floor before the end of the year.

In a CNBC interview on Wednesday, Armstrong described “very productive” meetings with senators from both parties, calling the level of collaboration a positive sign for the U.S. crypto industry.

According to multiple people familiar with the meetings, senior lawmakers including Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY), Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY), and Sen. Cynthia Lummis (R-WY) attended or participated in discussions with Armstrong and other crypto leaders such as Kraken co-CEO David Ripley, Uniswap Labs founder Hayden Adams, and Chainlink Labs’ Sergey Nazarov.

The CLARITY Act seeks to end years of regulatory ambiguity by clearly distinguishing which digital assets qualify as securities under the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and which fall under the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

Under the bill’s framework, sufficiently decentralized networks would fall under CFTC oversight, while tokens with more centralized control or that function as investment contracts would remain under SEC jurisdiction.

The legislation also introduces clearer rules for decentralized finance, secondary trading markets, and custody services — areas where the lack of uniform federal guidance has long frustrated both innovators and investors.

DeFi and stablecoin legislation

Still, the final 10% of negotiations may prove the toughest. One of the key unresolved questions is how to regulate decentralized finance platforms. 

Armstrong has urged lawmakers to focus oversight on decentralized intermediaries — such as interfaces or aggregators — rather than attempting to regulate open-source protocols themselves.

Another area of tension involves stablecoin rewards, which Armstrong says the banking lobby is working to eliminate. Coinbase and other industry advocates argue that consumers should be able to earn yield on regulated stablecoin holdings, similar to how traditional savings accounts pay interest.

These debates underscore the competing visions within Congress: Democrats remain focused on preventing illicit finance and ensuring consumer protection, while Republicans emphasize innovation and competitiveness.

Despite the bipartisan goodwill, the timing remains precarious. The ongoing government shutdown has slowed committee work and pushed back the formal markup of the bill. Some lawmakers, including Sen. John Kennedy (R-LA), have expressed skepticism that the committee is ready to move forward, citing unanswered questions about regulatory authority and industry influence.

Still, supporters say the momentum is undeniable. Sen. Lummis, who has long championed digital asset legislation, recently told attendees at the SALT Wyoming Blockchain Symposium that she expects the market structure bill to reach the president’s desk “before the end of the year — hopefully before Thanksgiving.”

This post Crypto Market Structure Bill Gains Bipartisan Momentum as Coinbase’s Armstrong Says “We’re 90% There” first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Bitcoin on a Prepaid Card? Moon Inc. Raises $8.8M to Make It Happen in Asia

Moon Inc. (HKEX: 1723) has raised about US$8.8 million to launch a Bitcoin prepaid card in Thailand and South Korea, with plans to expand across Asia. The company, a leader in prepaid connectivity and digital asset solutions, confirmed the successful HK$65.5 million fundraising earlier today.

The round was supported by a consortium of Bitcoin miners and investors through the issuance of new shares and convertible notes, according to a note shared with Bitcoin Magazine. 

“The successful completion of this private placement marks another critical milestone in Moon Inc.’s growth, and we are grateful for the confidence our new and existing investors have shown in our long-term vision,” said John Riggins, CEO of Moon Inc.

According to a filing with the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, the proceeds will support Moon Inc.’s Pan-Asian expansion, starting with Thailand and South Korea, alongside the launch of its Bitcoin-enabled prepaid card. 

The cards enable users to acquire, store, and transfer Bitcoin without the complexity of traditional wallets, merging Moon Inc.’s prepaid telecom expertise with innovative digital asset functionality.

In other words, the cards will let people buy and send Bitcoin easily, without needing a separate crypto wallet — basically like a pre-paid phone card.

Looking ahead, Moon Inc. is evaluating Taiwan, Japan, and Vietnam for future growth opportunities.

Traditional markets are merging with the Bitcoin economy

Riggins framed the fundraise and new prepaid card as a step toward bridging traditional capital markets within the Bitcoin economy, leveraging Moon Inc.’s existing wholesale telecom distribution networks. 

“We see this as more than a fundraise — it’s a vote of confidence in Hong Kong’s role as a gateway for regulated digital-asset innovation and in Moon Inc.’s ability to bridge traditional capital markets with the Bitcoin economy,” Riggins said.

Back in March, the company became the first publicly traded company in Greater China to adopt a Bitcoin treasury strategy, integrating Bitcoin into both its balance sheet and retail business model.

The fundraising follows Moon Inc.’s majority acquisition by Sora Ventures and UTXO Management earlier this year, a move that has accelerated the company’s strategic initiatives and broadened its digital asset offerings. 

In addition to the pre-paid card, Moon Inc. also announced they were named one of Hong Kong’s 10 most innovative companies by Capital Magazine.

“We’re honored to be recognized for driving Bitcoin adoption in Asia, particularly through our prepaid Bitcoin card,” Riggins said.

Disclaimer: Moon Inc is a portfolio company of UTXO Management, a regulated capital allocator focused on the digital assets industry. Bitcoin Magazine is owned by BTC Inc., which operates UTXO Management. UTXO invests in a variety of Bitcoin businesses, and maintains significant holdings in digital assets.

This post Bitcoin on a Prepaid Card? Moon Inc. Raises $8.8M to Make It Happen in Asia first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Bitcoin Price Slips Below $107,000, Analysts See a Buy-the-Dip Moment

Bitcoin price is hovering in the mid $107,000’s range as analysts from both VanEck and Standard Chartered see more upside.

Geoffrey Kendrick, Standard Chartered’s global head of digital assets research, sees a near-term dip in bitcoin price below $100,000 as “inevitable” due to factors like renewed U.S.–China trade tensions. 

However, Kenrick views any bitcoin price pullback as likely short-lived and a buying opportunity. 

Kendrick highlights gold-to-Bitcoin flows as a key indicator, noting that recent rotations — selling gold to buy Bitcoin — could signal stabilization and mark a bottom. 

Despite the volatility, Kendrick remains bullish, maintaining his forecast of $200,000 by year-end, and $500,000 by 2028. 

He advises investors to stay flexible and ready to buy on dips below $100,000, describing it as potentially “the last time Bitcoin is EVER below” that threshold. 

Bitcoin price pullback marks a liquidity-driven mid-cycle reset

Bitcoin’s sharp October correction reflects a liquidity-driven mid-cycle adjustment rather than the start of a bear market, according to VanEck’s latest ChainCheck report. 

The asset manager highlighted that while Bitcoin fell roughly 18% in early October, leverage has normalized, on-chain activity continues to mature, and the cryptocurrency’s macro role as a hedge against fiat debasement is strengthening.

VanEck analysts Matthew Sigel and Nathan Frankovitz noted that global liquidity — measured through M2 money supply — continues to explain over half of Bitcoin’s price variance, reinforcing its position as an “anti–money printing” asset. 

The firm points out that Asian trading sessions have increasingly led global Bitcoin price movements, with recent declines tied to tightening liquidity in Asia as central banks defend their currencies. 

Bitcoin price flush creates an opportunity

Speculative leverage peaked in early October, with futures open interest reaching $52 billion before cascading liquidations triggered Bitcoin’s drop from above $125,000 to around $105,000. 

As of mid-October, leverage levels have normalized to the 61st percentile of historical ranges. VanEck views the drawdown as a healthy “deleveraging event” that clears speculative excess and creates entry opportunities.

The firm emphasizes that institutional participation in regulated markets like CME has increased, signaling a maturing derivatives landscape and greater integration of Bitcoin into traditional finance.

On-chain activity reflects a maturing market

Bitcoin’s fundamentals continue to strengthen. On-chain metrics show steady activity growth, with 722,000 daily active addresses and total transfer volume rising 21% month over month to over $86 billion. 

VanEck maintained in their report that Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory is tied to global liquidity trends and its growing status as a macro hedge. 

VanEck includes Bitcoin in its model portfolios at allocations between 1.5% and 6%, viewing systematic exposure and opportunistic buying during market pullbacks as prudent strategies.

Bitcoin price volatility

Bitcoin had a surge yesterday after Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller signaled a major shift in U.S. crypto policy, announcing a “skinny master account” program. This initiative would give eligible fintechs and digital-asset firms limited, direct access to the Fed’s payment system, bypassing traditional banks. 

Since then, the price has slowly bled down over the last 24 hours.

Bitcoin price surged past $125,500 in early October 2025, hitting new all-time highs as political gridlock in Washington and expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts drove investors toward alternative assets.

The price rose over 13% in a week, rebounding from $109,000 to nearly $126,000, supported by inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs and growing institutional demand. The market really viewed Bitcoin’s climb as a safe-haven response to fiscal uncertainty. There were projections and potential targets of $135,000 to $200,000 by year-end.

The rally coincided with Bitcoin’s seasonal “Uptober” trend, historically its strongest quarter. Gold also extended its record run this month as well, rising to $4,381 per ounce amid central bank buying and dollar weakness.

This post Bitcoin Price Slips Below $107,000, Analysts See a Buy-the-Dip Moment first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Wall Street Is Bitcoin’s Biggest Threat, Not Arbitrary Data

Wall Street has unequivocally arrived. The long awaited phase shift is here. We have discussed for years what this time period and shift will be like, many cheering it on in anticipation of the economic implications and shockwave it would cause in terms of liquidity and price movement. 

In the last few years it has undeniably come to dominate the narrative, shaping dialogue and focus across the entire ecosystem. Where before large communities of people would spring up around technological innovations, or philosophical schools of thought on how Bitcoin can positively shape the direction of the world in a time of tumultuous change and metaphorical ground shifting out from under us, now the cultural zeitgeist is driven by the phenomenon of treasury companies. 

There is an entire wave of recent entrants into the space who have never held their own keys, never directly interacted with the protocol themselves at all, they have simply acquired proxies such as treasury company equity or ETFs. This is a massive cultural, and philosophical/logistical shift, for the entire ecosystem. It is not going to wind itself back. This is a new presence and a new attitude that we are going to have to confront. It’s here to stay. 

So what are the implications of that? Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer system, its very essence and nature is defined by the people who choose to participate directly in that system itself. By those who do interface with the protocol directly, who do not resort to TradFi wrappers such as ETF products and equity in holding companies. 

It is one giant inter-subjective hallucination manifested through and verified with software. So what does it mean that a massive section of the population who chooses to interact with it financially avoid ever participating in that hallucination themselves? What does that mean for its nature, its functioning? 

That is very much an existential question, and one that we are all going to have to grapple with over the coming years. Bitcoin is for anyone, and there is nothing we can do to stop people from using it in whatever fashion they so choose, no matter what the wider implications of those people’s choices might be. 

Economic Consensus And Wall Street

The nature of Bitcoin, i.e. the consensus rules that nodes (and therefore its users) enforce, is defined by those who actually engage in economic activity on the network. In its most abstract sense Bitcoin is just a system composed of people “just doing things,” and the only reason that it is a singular coherent system, rather than a random collection of individuals doing very different and incompatible things, is because of the economic incentive to do the same thing. 

Think of it in some ways as similar to a black hole. That black hole forms in the first place after reaching a point of “critical mass”, after which it literally implodes on itself and the resulting gravitational force begins pulling in everything around it, increasing its mass, and expanding the radius in which things are sucked into its dark maw. 

The incentive to voluntarily choose to participate in one particular “set of rules” over another is the “black hole” of Bitcoin, and its gravitational pull is directly proportional to the economic mass of the system as it exists today. Unlike a black hole though, it is not truly a “singular” thing. Rather it is a number of different things (or entities), all holding themselves together to emulate being a singular thing. Unlike a blackhole, these entities can choose to defy the incentives to remain together, or follow counter-incentives against doing so, and enforce or follow different rules. 

The reason this does not frequently happen at scale (such as the fork of Bitcoin Cash in 2017), is the complexity of coordinating all of those individual entities switching to the same thing at the same time, so as to maintain the same collective “gravitational force” as they had under the previous rules. 

So what happens when the number of those entities starts shrinking? What happens when they condense and combine, and you wind up with fewer and fewer larger ones?

That complexity of coordination starts getting less complex. 

Centralization Is Efficient, But It is Poison to Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s entire promise is to be an apolitical and neutral platform for economic activity. It is to be an unshifting and solid foundation for you to stand surely on, devoid of concerns that it could shift out from under your feet and throw you into economic chaos. ‘

That entire promise of stability is purely a result of Bitcoin being sufficiently distributed, i.e. being composed of independent actors performing their own self-validation of the system in large enough numbers that their ability of coordinating amongst themselves to change fundamental properties of the system is either exceedingly difficult, or literally impossible. 

When the set of economic actors participating in self-validation collapses in size, when it turns into fewer and fewer entities operating on behalf of other stakeholders, that promise of stability and neutrality collapses in lockstep with it. Bitcoin must maintain some minimum degree of distribution of self-validating actors, that make up a substantial portion of economic activity, or else the core promise of stability and neutrality evaporate.

Wall Street isn’t going away, so this is something that we are going to have to confront. There is no shaming them away, or chasing them off. That is simply not possible in a system like Bitcoin, that at least for now, is robust in its distribution and decentralization. This is a war of incentives and counter-incentives. 

We must create positive incentives to encourage more direct self-validating use of Bitcoin rather than legacy financial wrappers like ETFs and treasury companies, or Bitcoin will be confronted with a fundamental crisis as to whether its core promise was ever really possible.

This post Wall Street Is Bitcoin’s Biggest Threat, Not Arbitrary Data first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Shinobi.

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Taproot Assets – Bitcoin As A Medium Of Exchange 

What is Bitcoin and who is it for? There are a plethora of catchphrases available on Twitter to cover this one. Bitcoin is for everyone… no wait, it’s for anyone! Bitcoin is a store of value. Bitcoin is a medium of exchange. We could do a classic appeal to authority and declare that Bitcoin is exactly what Satoshi described, “A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System”.

Bitcoin becomes what we make it. It serves the people we choose to build for. If we want Bitcoin to be a store of value or medium of exchange, we have to build the protocols and services that make this happen. 

Sometimes it’s more interesting to ask specifically, who are we building for? Are we building for Americans looking for a long-term investment? Are we building for a shop owner in Brazil? A reseller in Turkey? A software developer in Nigeria? 

If we want bitcoin to be a medium of exchange, we need to focus on the users who need it most — and Taproot Assets is the tool for that job. 

Taproot Assets

Taproot Assets allows us to take the assets, and units of account, that people want and need today as mediums of exchange — and move them to Bitcoin infrastructure on the Lightning Network.

From a technical perspective, Taproot Assets is a protocol that allows for the minting of assets on the Bitcoin blockchain in a very blockspace-efficient fashion using taproot transactions, made possible by the November 2021 Taproot soft fork activation. Client-side validation is used, the protocol is opt-in, and no consensus changes are required. Fungible assets are exchangeable on the Lightning Network, and you can use this protocol on mainnet today!

Taproot Assets is a flexible protocol that’s already opening the door to a wide variety of use cases, but the core use case is stablecoins on Lightning.

For those wanting to learn more, here are the docs, and tutorial and demo videos can be found here.

So, why is this such a powerful tool for adoption? 

Meet People Where They Are

It’s easy to get immersed in the Bitcoin world — where we use bitcoin, talk about it constantly, and dive deep into all the things it fixes. That passion and curiosity is powerful. But the real magic happens when we connect that world to people outside it.

Most people don’t have the time available to study monetary theory or economic history. Free time and disposable income are not the norm in the world. Stay humble. If we want Bitcoin to serve the world, let’s meet people where they are. And we can: We have the tools and the skills to build things that are truly useful — products that people love not because they’re Bitcoin-powered, but because they solve real problems. 

Adoption won’t come just from our impressive understanding of Austrian economics, it will come from building things that are so useful people can’t help using them. The true measure is in the utility. The true measure is in the users. Number of people go up!

Stablecoins

And so let’s talk about stablecoins. Love them or question them, stablecoins have clearly found product-market fit. The invisible hand has spoken! 

Let’s look at some numbers:

In Brazil, approximately 90% of crypto transactions are tied to stablecoins, primarily for payments and remittances. 

Tether estimates it has 434 million users worldwide, transacting $31 billion USDT daily. About 13% of the total USDT supply is held by savers who are likely emerging markets users without other access to dollars.

Tether (USDT) has a market cap of $153 billion and recorded over $10 trillion in total volume in 2024. USD Coin (USDC) follows with a $61 billion market cap. (Numbers from CoinGecko at time of writing.)

Utility 

Why have the people chosen stablecoins? Utility.

Most people around the world don’t have the luxury to HODL through a bear market. Most humans don’t ponder the intricacies of fractional reserve banking. They’re busy living — busy being fathers, and mothers, and small business owners, and doctors, and carpenters, and farmers, teachers, and students. All the things that keep the world turning.

Most people are simply seeking an improvement in their day-to-day lives, and it’s our job, as experts on money, to give them what they need. 

They need stability and affordability. 

Infrastructure Adoption

As the Bitcoin adoption story goes, first we achieve store of value, then medium of exchange, and then unit of account — the final boss! But if we facilitate stablecoins, are we preventing bitcoin from achieving unit of account? No. Bitcoin will be a unit of account if and when the world needs it to, if and when we make it available.

Those choosing to use a stablecoin on the Lightning Network will be doing so because it is the best option for them; it’s the option that brings the most utility. They aren’t thinking about “adopting Bitcoin”, and they don’t intend to adopt bitcoin, the unit of account. But they will be adopting Bitcoin, the network. They will be adopting Bitcoin, the payments infrastructure. 

We often think of replacing the Visa network and to do that we have to be more useful than Visa, which processes transactions in 175 different currencies.

Our Turkish reseller is an expert in what he does, and not an expert on decentralized networking technology. He’ll choose Lightning over Visa when it becomes the better, more affordable, easier option for running his business. And for many businesses, Lightning already is the faster, more affordable option. 

Let’s imagine that precoiner shop owner in Brazil. She’s managing her business making transactions using a stablecoin via a Taproot Assets Lightning wallet. She’s made the switch to Bitcoin infrastructure. She was enticed to do so by a simple, easy-to-use mobile wallet that simplified her business, cut her costs, and reduced her risk. This wallet allows her to make instantly settled, global, incredibly affordable transactions, and to do so in a wide variety of currencies. She came for the utility of this medium of exchange, but is now one button away from losing her precoiner status.

And, should that global fiat money collapse finally arrive one random Tuesday afternoon, she just needs to push that button to switch out of fiat and into sats because she is already running on Bitcoin infrastructure. 

A Multi-Asset Network

The potential and utility of a Taproot Assets-enabled, multi-asset Lightning Network is grossly underappreciated. Seriously: It’s a medium of exchange like the world has never seen before.

Application builders and their users can have any unit of account that they like — U.S. dollars, Brazilian reais, euros, etc. — and it’s all routed through Bitcoin. Taproot Assets Lightning transactions require Bitcoin liquidity. These transactions support and grow the Lightning Network and enable a plethora of options. A payment can be sent out by Alice in USD, but Bob can receive BTC. Alice can send another payment in USD that will be routed through the Lightning Network, through the sats-denominated liquidity in the center of the Lightning Network, on to Carol who opts to receive a euro-denominated stablecoin.

Our Turkish reseller can sell goods to our Brazilian shop owner using a stablecoin. Not only can he interact with businesses around the world without friction, but also any regular Bitcoiner can transact with either using sats, seamlessly. No need to touch that stablecoin if they don’t want to. 

And it gets even cooler. Let’s imagine for a moment this scenario…

(https://x.com/MichaelLevin/status/1885402488955662448

A global, scalable, instantly settled payment network that’s meaningfully cheaper than Visa — a payment network that now gives users the option to transact in whatever coin they prefer. This is the brilliance of building with Bitcoin as infrastructure — people adopt the network before they even know it’s Bitcoin. 

Conclusion 

If we want to see Bitcoin as a medium of exchange, if this is what we are building for, it’s our job as the experts to give the people what they are clearly telling us that they need: instant, low-fee, stable-value transactions. In other words, multi-asset Lightning.

Now, of course Taproot Assets is a versatile protocol. It can and will be used for all sorts of things — including use cases that appeal to the American crowd who see bitcoin primarily as a long-term investment. Yay, permissionless innovation! With this protocol, we’re helping usher Bitcoin in its medium of exchange era.

This piece is an article featured in the latest Print edition of Bitcoin Magazine, The Lightning Issue. We’re sharing it here to show the ideas explored throughout the full issue.

This post Taproot Assets – Bitcoin As A Medium Of Exchange  first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Hannah Rosenberg.

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BlackRock Launches Bitcoin ETP on London Stock Exchange as UK Lifts Crypto Ban

BlackRock has officially listed its iShares Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Product (ETP) on the London Stock Exchange (LSE).

This comes after the Financial Conduct Authority’s (FCA) decision to ease restrictions on crypto-linked investment products. 

The ETP, ticker IB1T, allows retail investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin without directly trading or storing the cryptocurrency, offering a simplified entry point into the digital asset market.

The product is fully physically backed, with all Bitcoin held in secure custody through Coinbase

BlackRock emphasized that the ETP removes the technical challenges of holding cryptocurrency, transferring responsibility for secure storage to the issuer.

According to the firm, Coinbase employs a combination of physical security, multiparty computation, and daily transfers to segregated cold storage wallets, ensuring institutional-grade protection for investors.

“The iShares Bitcoin ETP leverages years of integration between Coinbase and BlackRock, providing UK investors with a secure gateway to digital assets through traditional trading platforms,” said Jane Sloan, EMEA Head of Global Product Solutions at BlackRock. 

With UK crypto ownership projected to grow to nearly four million adults over the next year, the launch is seen as timely, providing access to a regulated, familiar investment vehicle.

The ETP has a total expense ratio (TER) of 15 basis points per annum, including a temporary fee waiver until the end of 2025. 

From January 1, 2026, the TER will increase to 25 bps. The BlackRock Investment Institute advises that for investors with suitable governance and risk tolerance, a 1–2% allocation to Bitcoin within multi-asset portfolios is reasonable, reflecting both potential upside and the asset’s high volatility.

UK retail ban lift on ETNs and ETPs

The debut follows a regulatory shift in the UK after the FCA lifted its four-year ban on retail access to crypto-linked exchange-traded notes (ETNs) and ETPs. Previously, retail investors were barred from such products due to high volatility and consumer risk concerns. 

The FCA noted that the market has matured, with institutional-grade custodians and improved liquidity making such investments more suitable for regulated markets. 

While the retail ban on crypto derivatives remains, the FCA has indicated ongoing monitoring of high-risk investments and opened the door for fund tokenization initiatives in the asset management sector.

The UK launch mirrors the success of BlackRock’s U.S. Bitcoin offerings. Its flagship iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) now manages over $100 billion, attracting both retail and institutional investors through traditional brokerage accounts.

In the third quarter of 2025, BlackRock reported $17 billion in net inflows into digital asset products, underlining strong demand for regulated crypto exposure.

This post BlackRock Launches Bitcoin ETP on London Stock Exchange as UK Lifts Crypto Ban first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Trezor Launches Safe 7 Hardware Wallet With Auditable Secure Element

Trezor, the company behind the first-ever hardware wallet, has unveiled the Trezor Safe 7, a device that brings two unusual ideas to consumer crypto security: a fully auditable secure element and a “quantum-ready” architecture.

For years, hardware wallets have faced a paradox. They’re designed to eliminate trust in third parties, yet the chips that secure them — known as secure elements — are typically closed systems. Trezor’s new design challenges that model. 

At the core of the Safe 7 is TROPIC01, a secure element whose design and implementation can be publicly inspected and verified.

The company says the goal is to make security verifiable rather than taken on faith — a principle long central to Bitcoin itself.

Quantum computing and self-custody

The Safe 7 also looks toward the next decade of cryptography. Trezor built the device with a quantum-ready architecture, capable of receiving secure updates once post-quantum algorithms become standard. 

While the timeline for quantum computing’s impact on Bitcoin security remains uncertain, the company’s approach reflects a growing awareness in the industry that long-term self-custody may need to adapt to new threat models.

The wallet uses a dual-chip design, pairing the transparent TROPIC01 element with a secondary EAL6+ secure component to protect against both physical and software attacks. 

Private keys are isolated from the host system, and all transactions must be physically confirmed on a 2.5-inch color touchscreen.

On the usability side, Trezor has moved closer to what modern device owners expect. The Safe 7 supports Bluetooth connectivity, Qi2 wireless charging, and an anodized aluminum body with Gorilla Glass protection. 

The company has also introduced the Trezor Host Protocol, an open-source communication layer meant to keep Bluetooth connections private and verifiable.

Through the Trezor Suite app, users can manage thousands of crypto, trade, and interact with third-party services. A Bitcoin-only version of the wallet will also be offered for those who prefer minimalism and focus.

The Safe 7’s hardware is built for longevity, featuring a LiFePO4 battery rated for four times more charge cycles than standard lithium cells and an IP54 resistance rating for dust and splashes.

Developed by SatoshiLabs in 2014, Trezor is a leader in the industry and was one of the first companies to create a hardware wallet. The name “Trezor” comes from the Czech word for “vault”. 

This post Trezor Launches Safe 7 Hardware Wallet With Auditable Secure Element first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Bitcoin Price Holds $111,000 as TD Cowen Predicts $141,000 by December

Bitcoin price is holding steady around $111,000 after a turbulent few weeks, but TD Cowen analysts project that the bitcoin price could reach $141,000 by December. 

In a note released Monday, the firm highlighted the recent crypto market crash and recovery as a testament to the resilience of the broader crypto and bitcoin ecosystem.

The flash crash earlier this month triggered roughly $19 billion in liquidations, the largest single-day event in crypto history. Despite the scale of the sell-off, TD Cowen noted that most exchanges remained operational with minimal disruption, demonstrating the market’s ability to absorb shocks, according to The Block reporting.

The downturn was initially spurred by the U.S. President Donald Trump’s confirmation of a 100% tariff on imports from China, which sent the total crypto market down more than 10%. 

While less-reputable tokens suffered heavy losses, major digital assets like Bitcoin did well — Bitcoin briefly fell 15% before closing down just 8% on the day.

“Though it was the largest single-day liquidation ever, with open interest halved across venues, most crypto exchanges operated with little or no downtime,” the note read.

Global adoption of Bitcoin 

TD Cowen’s analysts credit the episode not only to market resilience but also to growing global adoption. In Japan, for instance, the number of registered accounts holding digital assets has quadrupled over the past five years, reaching more than 7.9 million.

The surge in adoption has prompted Japan’s Financial Services Agency to reconsider its long-standing restrictions on banks investing in digital assets such as Bitcoin.

Bitcoin price climbed back to around $111,000 today after falling into the $104,000 range last week, as renewed corporate accumulation and optimism over a potential end to the U.S. government shutdown lifted market sentiment.

Bitcoin closed September around it’s current range but prior to the flash crash, it hit all-time highs in early October.

Bitcoin price in a gridlock

According to analysts, key resistance for bitcoin now sits at $112K, $115.5K, and $117.6K, with a convincing break above $122K needed to shift the bias back to bulls, while support below $105K could fail, with stronger levels at $98K–$96K. 

The coming week may see a modest bounce, but failure to hold above $106.9K could open the door to sub-$100K prices, especially if the FOMC does not deliver a significant rate cut. 

This post Bitcoin Price Holds $111,000 as TD Cowen Predicts $141,000 by December first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Bitcoin Mining Stocks Surge Today as Market Optimism Builds

Shares of leading Bitcoin mining firms surged today alongside renewed strength in Bitcoin markets. 

Marathon Digital Holdings (NASDAQ: MARA) climbed 7.97% to $21.13, Riot Platforms (NASDAQ: RIOT) jumped 11.21% to $22.28, and CleanSpark (NASDAQ: CLSK) rose 9.09% to $21.30, at the time of writing. 

Earlier during Monday’s trading hours, some of these tickers saw stock increases of 10% or more.

The rally follows a rebound in Bitcoin prices and growing investor confidence in miners’ profitability and AI-initiatives. 

Cleanspark announced a move into AI and HPC that marks a pivotal moment for the company. The miner said it is positioning itself to serve as a leading technology company, thanks to its large-scale energy and data infrastructure.

Other notable gainers included Bitdeer Technologies (NASDAQ: BTDR) Canaan Inc. (NASDAQ:CAN), and Coinbase (NASDAQ: COIN), which all saw strong upside as Bitcoin rebounded above key support levels. Canaan continues an impressive month as their stock jumped after launching a Calgary pilot to convert stranded natural gas into power for Bitcoin mining and HPC.

Bitcoin mining stocks or Bitcoin corporate treasuries? 

Bitcoin’s corporate treasuries and mining stocks have reached somewhat of a pivotal moment this cycle. 

Firms like Strategy and Metaplanet collectively hold over 1 million BTC — more than 5% of supply — cementing their role as structural pillars of Bitcoin’s rise. But, valuations are sliding and compressing, with MicroStrategy’s stock sliding toward parity with its net Bitcoin holdings.

This marked a key inflection point: while corporate treasuries stalled, Bitcoin miners surged ahead. Marathon Digital rose 61%, Riot Platforms 231%, and Hive Digital 369% over six months, with the WGMI Mining ETF outperforming Bitcoin by roughly 75% since September. 

Historically, miner equities like Marathon had led Bitcoin’s major rallies, and their latest breakout suggested renewed bullish momentum. 

Major Bitcoin mining companies are also pivoting toward Artificial Intelligence (AI) and High-Performance Computing (HPC) to diversify their business models. Some major hitters like Core Scientific, Bitdeer, IREN, Hut 8, Cipher Mining, and TeraWulf have seen strong stock gains as investors reward this transition. The trend signals a broader evolution of the mining industry into a key player in powering the AI-driven digital economy.

Over the past two weeks, Bitcoin’s price has experienced rocky and volatile fluctuations, reaching a high of over $126,000 on October 6 before dropping to $104,000 recently.

This decline was attributed to geopolitical tensions and market corrections, with a significant $1 billion sell-off on October 10 as U.S.-China trade tensions escalated.  

This post Bitcoin Mining Stocks Surge Today as Market Optimism Builds first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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​Early Riders Backs Aureo with $1.1M for Secure Bitcoin Custody in Latin America

Aureo, formerly known as Swapido, has raised $1.1 million in pre-seed funding from Early Riders to develop a specialized Bitcoin platform targeting high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs), family offices, and companies in Mexico and Latin America.

The funding, announced on October 20, 2025, will support the creation of a white-glove service focused on secure Bitcoin transactions, custody, and advisory for institutional and long-term holders. Aureo positions itself alongside U.S.-based firms like Onramp and River, adapting similar models to regional needs.

Launched as Swapido on October 11, 2024, by CEO Gustavo Flores Echaiz, the company initially operated as a web app facilitating Lightning Network-to-peso conversions. In its first year, it processed over 5 BTC in volume for hundreds of advanced users, serving as Mexico’s simplest off-ramp for spending Bitcoin.

The rebrand to Aureo reflects an expansion into comprehensive Bitcoin services, looking to build trust and offer high security white glove services, tailored for Latin America’s unique challenges in this area. The platform enables large-volume buys and sells with discreet execution, self-custody guidance, multi-institution custody (MIC) advisory, local fiat integration, and inheritance planning.

Aureo has a Bitcoin Service Provider (BSP) license from El Salvador, and “holds full compliance with Mexican regulations” according to the press release shared with Bitcoin Magazine. “Bitcoin is transforming how investors and corporations manage their wealth by offering a neutral and secure store of value,” the company stated in the announcement, highlighting potential for billions in idle capital across the region to fuel the next wave of adoption.

Looking ahead, Aureo plans to roll out a “Buy” feature and partner with Onramp Bitcoin to build a LatAm-specific MIC platform. This collaboration will leverage Onramp’s infrastructure while tailoring it to local regulations and investor profiles.

The executive team draws from established Bitcoin expertise. Echaiz, who leads as CEO, reunites with original co-founders from Veriphi, a Canadian Bitcoin firm that assisted thousands of clients in buying, selling, and custodying Bitcoin. Nathaniel Kitzkte serves as fractional Chief Technology Officer, Tristan Borges Solari as Chief Product Officer, and Maciej Cepnik as Chief Marketing Officer.

​Early Riders Backs Aureo with $1.1M for Secure Bitcoin Custody in Latin America

Team members bring experience from companies including Bull Bitcoin, Unchained Capital, Wasabi, Bitrefill, Bitcoin Well, and Zaprite. Aureo, based in Mexico, plans to expand its workforce with upcoming job postings.

Aureo invites sign-ups at aureobitcoin.com, with newsletters for updates and an X account at x.com/AureoBitcoin. As Bitcoin adoption grows in LatAm, firms like Aureo may play a key role in bridging traditional finance and digital assets, offering the region more tailored access to Bitcoin, an asset that has historically been a life raft for nations suffering high inflation throughout the global south. 

This post ​Early Riders Backs Aureo with $1.1M for Secure Bitcoin Custody in Latin America first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Juan Galt.

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Bitcoin Mining Stocks Outperform Bitcoin and Corporate Treasuries in Latest Market Rally

Bitcoin’s corporate treasuries and bitcoin mining sector have become two of the defining narratives of this cycle. From (Micro)Strategy’s MSTR billion-dollar balance sheet buys to the rise of MetaPlanet and the explosive growth of bitcoin mining companies, institutional and industrial adoption have emerged as powerful structural supports for the network. But now, after years of near-constant accumulation and market outperformance, the data suggests we’re entering a critical inflection point — one that could determine whether Bitcoin’s corporate treasuries and mining equities continue to lead or begin to lag as the next phase of the cycle unfolds.

Bitcoin Treasury Accumulation

Our new Bitcoin Treasury Tracker provides day-by-day insight into how much Bitcoin these major public and private treasury companies hold, when they’ve accumulated, and how their positions have evolved. These treasuries now collectively hold over 1 million BTC, a staggering sum representing over 5% of the total circulating supply. 

The Bitcoin Treasury Tracker illustrating cumulative company holdings.
Figure 1: The Bitcoin Treasury Tracker illustrating cumulative company holdings. View Live Chart

The scale of this accumulation has been a cornerstone of Bitcoin’s current cycle strength. However, some of these companies are facing increasing pressure as their equity valuations struggle to keep pace with the Bitcoin price itself.

Valuation Compression Across Bitcoin Treasuries

(Micro)Strategy / MSTR, the pioneer of corporate Bitcoin adoption, remains the most significant publicly traded Bitcoin holder. Yet, recent months have seen its stock underperform relative to Bitcoin’s own price action. While Bitcoin has consolidated in a broad range, MSTR’s equity has fallen more sharply, pushing its Net Asset Value (NAV) Premium, the ratio between its market valuation and the underlying Bitcoin it holds, closer to parity at 1.0x.

MSTR NAV premium trending toward 1.0, signaling reduced equity leverage relative to Bitcoin.
Figure 2: MSTR NAV premium trending toward 1.0, signaling reduced equity leverage relative to Bitcoin. View Live Chart

This compression signals that investors are valuing the company increasingly in line with its pure Bitcoin exposure, with little added premium for management execution, future leverage, or strategic innovation. Last cycle and earlier this cycle, MSTR traded with a significant premium as markets rewarded its leveraged exposure. The trend toward parity suggests waning speculative appetite and highlights just how closely this cycle’s market psychology mirrors prior late-stage expansions.

A Cycle-Defining Inflection for Bitcoin and Bitcoin Mining Stocks

The most revealing view comes from the BTCUSD to MSTR ratio, essentially measuring how many MSTR shares can be purchased with one Bitcoin. At present, the ratio sits around 350 shares per BTC, placing it squarely at a major historical level of support turned resistance that has defined price action turning points.

The BTC/MSTR ratio is at a critical cycle support zone.
Figure 3: The BTC/MSTR ratio is at a critical cycle support zone.

Right now, this chart is sitting at a make-or-break region. A sustained move above the 380–400 zone would imply renewed Bitcoin dominance and potential underperformance in MSTR. Conversely, a reversal lower, especially below 330, would suggest that MSTR could reassert itself as a leveraged leader heading into the next leg of the bull market.

Bitcoin Mining Stocks Take the Lead

In contrast to the underperformance of treasury companies, Bitcoin miners have been surging. Over the past six months, Bitcoin itself has gained roughly 38%, while Listed Miner equities have exploded higher: Marathon Digital (MARA) is up 61%, Riot Platforms (RIOT) has surged 231%, and Hive Digital (HIVE) has soared a staggering 369%. The WGMI Bitcoin Mining ETF, a composite of major listed miners, has outperformed Bitcoin by approximately 75% since September, underscoring the sector’s newfound momentum. 

Bitcoin miners outperforming Bitcoin itself.
Figure 4: Bitcoin miners outperforming Bitcoin itself. View Live Chart

Zooming in on Marathon Digital, the world’s largest publicly traded Bitcoin miner, provides additional insight. Historically, the MARA chart has been a reliable leading indicator of market inflection. At the tail end of the 2022 bear market, for example, MARA surged over 50% just before Bitcoin entered a new multi-month rally. This pattern has occurred multiple times this cycle.

BTC/MARA ratio historically leading Bitcoin’s next major directional moves.
Figure 5: BTC/MARA ratio historically leading Bitcoin’s next major directional moves.

Bitcoin Mining Stocks and Corporate Treasuries: Diverging Paths in Bitcoin Market Leadership

With over 1 million BTC now held on corporate balance sheets, the influence of these entities on Bitcoin’s supply-demand equilibrium remains profound. But the balance of leadership appears to be shifting. Treasuries like Strategy and MetaPlanet, while structurally bullish over the long term, are now sitting at major ratio inflection points, struggling to outperform spot BTC. Meanwhile, miners are experiencing one of their strongest periods of relative performance in years, often a signal that broader market momentum may soon follow.

As always, our goal at Bitcoin Magazine Pro is to cut through market noise and present data-backed insights across every facet of the Bitcoin ecosystem, from corporate holdings to miner behavior, on-chain supply, and macroeconomic liquidity. Thank you all very much for reading, and I’ll see you in the next one!

For a more in-depth look into this topic, watch our most recent YouTube video here: Now Or Never For These Bitcoin Stocks


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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.

This post Bitcoin Mining Stocks Outperform Bitcoin and Corporate Treasuries in Latest Market Rally first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Matt Crosby.

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“UNBANKED” Documentary to Premiere on Apple TV, Amazon Prime, Google TV on Anniversary of Bitcoin White Paper

NEW YORK – October 17, 2025 – “UNBANKED,” an award-winning, feature-length Bitcoin documentary officially lands on Apple TV, Amazon Prime and Google TV on October 31st—the 17th anniversary of Satoshi Nakamoto’s release of the famous Bitcoin White Paper on Halloween Day.    

About the Film:

From the 2008 financial disaster arose Satoshi Nakamoto, who released the Bitcoin protocol, then disappeared forever. Since then, over $2.4T has been poured into this decentralized digital alternative to the US dollar. Is Bitcoin a myth or a pathway to mass monetary self-determination? Featuring interviews with Jack Dorsey, Adam Back, Michael Saylor, Erik Voorhees, Ted Cruz and Meltem Demirors and footage from 4 continents including Patagonia, Ghana, Nigeria, London, Portugal and across the US. Unbanked explores how millions may find financial freedom by becoming their own banks and cutting out the middleman.

Directed by David Kuhn and Lauren Sieckmann (2025, 85 min).     

Awards and Early Recognition:

UNBANKED is already making waves on the festival circuit, winning Best Documentary at the Manhattan Film Festival and winning the Harlem International Film Festival Spotlight Award. The film now enters the 2026 Academy Awards season as a qualified contender for Best Documentary Feature, and the trailer is approaching half a million views in just 10 weeks.

Renowned Bitcoin educator and host of “Coin Stories” podcast Natalie Brunell praises the film:

“This stunning film takes you across continents to meet people whose lives are being transformed by Bitcoin. From communities facing crushing inflation to individuals cut off from the traditional banking system, UNBANKED captures real stories of hope, resilience, and financial freedom. It’s visually breathtaking, emotionally powerful, and a reminder of why Bitcoin matters far beyond charts and headlines. Uplifting. Inspiring. Unforgettable. If you care about the future of money and human freedom, don’t miss this.” 

Release Information:

UNBANKED is available worldwide on 10/31/25 on Apple TV, Amazon Prime, and Google TV.

Contact:

Website: www.unbankedmovie.com
X (Twitter): @UnbankedMovie
Instagram: @UnbankedMovie
Movie Trailer: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LaPYNycHfcs&t=4s
Inquiries: [email protected] 917-601-7155


Disclaimer: This is a sponsored press release. Readers are encouraged to perform their own due diligence before acting on any information presented in this article.

This post “UNBANKED” Documentary to Premiere on Apple TV, Amazon Prime, Google TV on Anniversary of Bitcoin White Paper first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Unbanked.

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Charles Schwab Sees 90% Spike in Crypto Interest, Plans Spot Bitcoin Trading in 2026

Charles Schwab is seeing booming engagement from retail investors in its crypto products.

In an interview with CNBC, CEO Rick Wurster said that visits to Schwab’s crypto platform have increased by 90% year-over-year, signaling strong investor appetite for Bitcoin ETFs, Bitcoin futures, and other crypto exchange-traded products.

Schwab clients now hold roughly 20% of all crypto ETPs in the U.S. Wurster emphasized that the company is responding to this demand by providing a wide array of crypto investment options and educational resources, combining digital access with traditional client support through calls and branch offices.

Charles Schwab will also offer spot Bitcoin trading in the first half of 2026. CEO Rick Wurster shared the news during Schwab’s third-quarter earnings call, where the company reported $134.4 billion in net new assets, marking a 48% year-over-year increase.

Earlier this year, the firm announced plans to offer Bitcoin and Ethereum trading, driven by client demand, noting many wanted to consolidate their crypto holdings with Schwab.

Wurster’s thoughts in the Charles Schwab’s earning call marked the first time the bank put a tentative date on the initiative. 

The push into crypto comes alongside Schwab’s broader record-breaking quarter: total client assets reached $11.59 trillion, up 17% year-over-year, and daily average trades jumped 30%. 

The firm’s strategy, Wurster explained, focuses on offering both advanced trading platforms like ThinkorSwim and guidance for new investors, making crypto accessible and understandable for a broader audience.

Traditional finance is jumping into bitcoin

Earlier this month, Morgan Stanley released a report telling clients to allocate at maximum between 2% and 4% of their portfolios to crypto, primarily bitcoin, based on risk profiles. The report described bitcoin as a scarce asset akin to digital gold and suggested it could play a legitimate role in diversified strategies. 

It recommended regular portfolio rebalancing, ideally quarterly, and gaining exposure through exchange-traded products to manage volatility. 

The guidance followed the firm’s expansion of digital asset access via E*Trade and coincided with bitcoin reaching a new all-time high of around $126,200.

Earlier this week, U.S. Bank announced their new Digital Assets and Money Movement organization, in hopes to “to accelerate development of and grow revenue from emerging digital products and services such as stablecoin issuance, cryptocurrency custody, asset tokenization and digital money movement.”

Also, institutional holdings in Bitcoin ETFs rose to $870.7 million in Q3 2025, up $117.3 million from the previous quarter.

This post Charles Schwab Sees 90% Spike in Crypto Interest, Plans Spot Bitcoin Trading in 2026 first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Bitcoin Mining Stocks Tumble: $BITF, $MARA, and $RIOT See Deep Red 

Bitcoin mining stocks felt the pain today as the broader market reacted to a third consecutive day of declines for Bitcoin. 

Many major miners are losing double-digit percentages, with Bitfarms ($BITF) leading the losses down over 18%. Riot Platforms ($RIOT) and Marathon Digital Holdings ($MARA) also saw sharp drops of 10%–11%, while Hut 8 and Strategy followed with smaller declines.

The pullback has put a dent in the momentum miners had enjoyed over the past few months, when strong BTC prices and expanding hash rates drove the sector to multi-year highs. 

Despite the rough day, much of the Bitcoin mining sector is substantially in the green over the week, with the likes of Applied Digital and Cipher Mining jumping 3-4x in the last year. 

According to bitcoinminingstocks.io (image below), much of the bitcoin mining industry’s stocks ended the day in the red, some by more than 10%.

Image Credit

Bitcoin mining stocks often follow bitcoin’s direct price action. Today, bitcoin dipped to the $107,000 range which resulted in many BTC mining stocks closing in the red. 

This price action follows a rough two weeks that saw over $19 billion in leveraged positions liquidated, forcing more than 1.6 million traders out of their positions as cascading margin calls swept across exchanges. Investors are watching closely to see if miners can stabilize or if further BTC weakness will drive more pain across the space. 

Earlier this week, Bitcoin mining stocks extended their multi-month rally, pushing the sector’s combined market capitalization above $90 billion — more than double from two months prior. Bitdeer Technologies led gains with a 30% surge after reporting a 32.9% increase in realized hashrate and mining 452 BTC in September. 

Crypto stocks got crushed as well

Crypto-related equities were in the red Thursday as selling pressure hit across the sector. Coinbase (COIN) fell 1.8% to $330.25, extending its recent slide alongside the broader crypto market. 

Robinhood (HOOD) also slipped 2.0% to $131.44 as risk appetite among retail investors continued to wane. Strategy (MSTR) fell 4.3% throughout the day.

Bitcoin miners are firms that run massive bitcoin mining operations — many powered by renewable energy — where they validate transactions and earn bitcoin rewards. Their profitability depends heavily on bitcoin’s price, mining efficiency, and energy expenses. 

In recent months, several have begun diversifying by repurposing their computing infrastructure for artificial intelligence and other high-performance data center services.

This post Bitcoin Mining Stocks Tumble: $BITF, $MARA, and $RIOT See Deep Red  first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Real Estate Mogul Grant Cardone Doubles Down on Bitcoin Purchases During Market Sell-Off

It’s been a turbulent stretch for the crypto market, with many investors stressing as bitcoin continues to slide day by day. 

But Grant Cardone’s investment arm, Cardone Capital, doesn’t seem to be fazed, reportedly adding another 200 BTC to its holdings, following a 300-BTC purchase just last week. Cardone is doubling down, seeing opportunity where others see risk.

In a recent interview with Bitcoin Magazine, Cardone elaborated on his perspective, framing money and attention as nearly identical “formulas.”

“I got to keep [my money] stored some place. Saving it doesn’t keep it because it’s going down in value,” he said, basically saying that traditional saving erodes wealth over time. 

For him, a good bitcoin strategy isn’t simply buying bitcoin outright — it’s about multiplying it through thoughtful structures.

Cardone has pioneered a model that merges institutional-quality real estate with bitcoin acquisition. Instead of purchasing crypto directly, he uses cash flow from carefully selected properties to buy bitcoin over time. 

“Basically, our renters are buying the investors in a building bitcoin,” he explained. The structure starts conservatively, with about 15% of the fund allocated to bitcoin, but over several years, the goal is a roughly 50/50 balance between real estate and crypto, both assets appreciating over time.

Bitcoin as an exciting store of value

This approach reflects a pragmatic philosophy: Bitcoin is an exciting store of value, but cash flow remains essential. 

Cardone warned in his interview that while some enthusiasts want to convert all assets to bitcoin, liquidity is necessary for everyday life. His method bridges this gap, giving investors exposure to digital assets without sacrificing income stability.

Beyond the mechanics of investment, Cardone sees Bitcoin as part of a broader cultural shift. He celebrates wealth creation and financial literacy, noting that comfort in the middle class offers little protection against inflation or economic upheaval. 

“The moment you become comfortable, you’re probably at risk of having everything taken away,” he said. Bitcoin, with its limited supply and censorship-resistant design, fits into a vision of long-term financial sovereignty.

Cardone also emphasizes accessibility to bitcoin. Most people entering his funds have had no prior exposure to bitcoin and little interest in mastering its technical complexities. 

By pairing it with something tangible like real estate, investors gain exposure passively, learning as they go.

“I’m going to onboard people into Bitcoin that don’t know anything about Bitcoin,” he said, underscoring his belief in intuitive, real-world adoption over ideological purity.

Bitcoin’s recent price action 

Bitcoin pulled back to high $107,000’s today after recently hovering between $110,000 and $112,000 following a volatile surge to all-time highs. Market sentiment is dominated by fear, with the Fear & Greed Index at 28/100, signaling heightened anxiety among traders and keeping bitcoin range-bound. 

Technical indicators, like the Advanced NVT Signal, suggest bitcoin may be temporarily undervalued relative to its network activity. 

Meanwhile, gold continues to rise, underscoring the divergence between risk-on assets like Bitcoin and traditional safe havens.

This post Real Estate Mogul Grant Cardone Doubles Down on Bitcoin Purchases During Market Sell-Off first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Bitcoin Price Crashes to $107,000 As Fear Index Flirts With “Extreme Fear”

Bitcoin price has tumbled to the $107,000 range as all markets enter a phase of pronounced caution.  

According to the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index, sentiment currently sits at 28/100, firmly in the ‘Fear’ category.  The market would enter the ‘Extreme Fear’ category if the sentiment fell below 25/100.

The index, which gauges market emotion on a scale from 0 (extreme fear) to 100 (extreme greed), is a barometer for investor sentiment, highlighting periods when Bitcoin may be undervalued or overextended.

The current “fear” in the market and ensuing sell-off may be linked to a rising trade tension between the U.S. and China. President Donald Trump is set to address the nation from the Oval Office on Thursday at 3 p.m. EST, though details about the announcement remain unknown.

The Fear & Greed Index has become a popular tool for investors and traders seeking to separate their own emotions from broader market movements. 

When fear dominates, it’s often a signal for buying opportunities, as investors may be overreacting to price dips. 

Conversely, periods of extreme greed can indicate overheating and heightened risk.

For context, when bitcoin was priced above $124,000 almost two weeks ago, the index was priced above 70, which would be in the ‘greed’ category, according to Bitcoin Magazine Pro data. 

Bitcoin price recently

Bitcoin’s recent pullback follows a volatile stretch in which the asset surged to all-time highs before retreating. 

Over the past several days, Bitcoin has hovered between $110,000 and $112,000, bouncing from oversold levels on the Advanced NVT Signal for the first time since the $75,000 mark. 

According to Bitcoin Magazine Pro, these readings suggest Bitcoin may be temporarily undervalued relative to its network activity. As fear dominates the market, traders may be reluctant to commit capital, keeping Bitcoin in a range-bound pattern.

In stark contrast, gold continues its meteoric rise, hitting new all-time highs near $4,270 per ounce. The metal’s year-to-date gain of nearly 60% has outpaced Bitcoin’s roughly 20% growth, reinforcing its status as a safe-haven asset.

Right now, the diverging trajectories of Bitcoin and gold illustrate the split between risk-on and risk-off assets. Bitcoin’s Fear & Greed Index reading of 28 really shows heightened market anxiety, while gold continues to attract investors seeking stability. 

This post Bitcoin Price Crashes to $107,000 As Fear Index Flirts With “Extreme Fear” first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Compass Coffee Shop Debuts First-Ever Bitcoin Payment on Square Terminal in Washington, DC

A customer just bought a coffee using bitcoin at Compass Coffee. This reportedly marked the first-ever Square terminal in the world to accept bitcoin.

The pilot launch, showcased during DC Fintech Week, was made possible through Square’s new Bitcoin payment integration. According to a Compass Coffee X post, the system worked seamlessly across multiple Bitcoin wallets, demonstrating the power of open payment standards and the Lightning Network.

Compass Coffee, a beloved D.C. chain with 27 locations, hosted the demonstration and invited lawmakers and fintech leaders to see the technology in action. “Cannot wait to see this come to Square devices worldwide soon,” the team posted on X.

What is Square Bitcoin?

Square recently announced the launch of Square Bitcoin, which is going to be a new suite of tools designed to make bitcoin usable for everyday businesses — from coffee shops to local retailers. 

The platform will let merchants and small businesses accept bitcoin payments, automatically convert a portion of their sales into BTC, and manage holdings in a built-in Bitcoin wallet — all from the same dashboard they already use for point-of-sale and banking.

Square’s technology is now a familiar sight across the U.S. — an all-in-one payment and business management system that runs right on mobile devices. It gives businesses of any size the tools to process payments, track sales and inventory, and manage customer relationships.

The rollout will begin November 10, 2025, with no processing fees for Bitcoin payments during the first year. Square says the goal is to make using Bitcoin “as seamless as card payments,” simplifying what has long been a complex process for small businesses.

By integrating Bitcoin directly into Square’s ecosystem, sellers won’t need external wallets or third-party apps. They can choose to hold Bitcoin on their balance sheets or instantly convert it to dollars.

Miles Suter, Head of Bitcoin Product at Block, said the move aims to make Bitcoin “everyday money.” 

For merchants, it could mean lower costs and faster settlement than traditional card networks. For Bitcoin, this news is just another step toward mainstream adoption. 

Bitcoin can be used as payment elsewhere, popularly, Steak ‘n Shake began accepting Bitcoin payments at all U.S. locations in May using the Lightning Network via QR codes on kiosks and POS systems. 

The move boosted same-store sales by roughly 11% in Q2, cut payment processing fees in half, and drove more customer visits, establishing Bitcoin as a strong alternative to traditional payments.

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Gold Will Outshine Bitcoin as ‘New Safe Haven,’ Says Market Researcher Ed Yardeni

Gold’s massive rise in 2025 is capturing investor attention, with market veteran Ed Yardeni declaring it the “new bitcoin.” 

Yardeni argued that gold has outperformed bitcoin as a safe-haven asset amidst growing geopolitical uncertainty.

“Bitcoin has been described as ‘digital gold,’ but we would describe gold as ‘physical bitcoin,’” Yardeni wrote, highlighting gold’s historical reliability compared with bitcoin’s shorter track record and risk-on behavior, Yardeni wrote in a Wednesday note from Yardeni Research reported by CNBC. 

The numbers back up his claim. Gold has surged roughly 60% year-to-date, while bitcoin’s gains have been closer to 20%. In recent weeks, gold has rallied nearly 4%, while bitcoin has fallen 9%, and the Nasdaq has dipped almost 1%. 

Gold is currently priced at over $4,200 an ounce. One year ago, it was roughly $2,600 an ounce.

The surge in gold today can be partially attributed to President Trump threatening China with “retribution” over trade, including a potential ban on Chinese cooking oil, amid longstanding tensions involving soybeans and other commodities. 

The escalation raises U.S. economic uncertainty, boosting demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.

Yardeni: Bitcoin has liquidity strain

Yardeni attributed bitcoin’s decline to liquidity strains, with around $19 billion in recent liquidations in leveraged positions, forcing some auto-deleveraging and widening market spreads.

By contrast, gold climbed after President Donald Trump hinted at 100% tariffs against China, reflecting its role as a geopolitical hedge. 

Yardeni sees gold pushing past $5,000 in 2026, potentially reaching $10,000 by decade’s end. 

“Investors seeking protection from mounting geopolitical risks have been heading for the hills to mine for gold as well as silver,” he said. 

Bitcoin has settled near $111,000 this week, following a record high above $126,000 and one of the market’s most violent corrections in years. The rally to all-time highs was driven by renewed institutional demand, falling real yields, and growing adoption of the “debasement trade,” as investors sought protection against monetary expansion.

The recovery came after a brutal weekend that wiped out over $19 billion in leveraged positions, forcing more than 1.6 million traders to liquidate in cascading margin calls. 

Despite the turbulence, long-term holders remained steady, and metrics like Coin Days Destroyed suggested most selling came from new entrants capitulating at a loss. Bitcoin’s fundamentals, including hash rate, transaction throughput, and active addresses, continued to trend upward. 

This post Gold Will Outshine Bitcoin as ‘New Safe Haven,’ Says Market Researcher Ed Yardeni first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Bitcoin Price Falls to $110,000 as Bitcoin Corporate Adoption Hits Record Highs

Bitcoin is holding steady in the $110,000s today, a little over a week after surging to a new all-time high above $126,000.

Bitcoin price slipped from 24-hour highs near $113,600 to the low $110,000s today. This price action follows a rough weekend that saw over $19 billion in leveraged positions liquidated, forcing more than 1.6 million traders out of their positions as cascading margin calls swept across exchanges.

The bitcoin price fell to the low $100,000s on Friday, October 10, as U.S. and China trade tensions rattled global markets. President Donald Trump announced new 100% tariffs on Chinese goods after Beijing unveiled sweeping export controls set to begin Nov. 1. 

At the time of writing, bitcoin is trading around $111,500.

Bitcoin and growing corporate interest 

Corporate interest in bitcoin accelerated sharply in the third quarter of 2025, with 172 public companies now holding the cryptocurrency — a 38.7% increase from the previous quarter, according to Bitwise Asset Management’s latest Corporate Bitcoin Adoption report.

The total Bitcoin held by public firms climbed to 1.02 million BTC, representing nearly 4.9% of the entire Bitcoin supply. 

That marks a 20.9% increase quarter over quarter, driven by new entrants and major additions from existing holders. At prices of roughly $114,000 per Bitcoin — those holdings are valued at $117 billion, up 28% from Q2.

Leading the charge is Strategy, which holds 640,031 BTC, followed by MARA Holdings (52,850 BTC), XXI (43,514 BTC), Metaplanet (30,823 BTC), and Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company (30,021 BTC). 

Notably, Metaplanet more than doubled its bitcoin position in the last three months.

Key developments this quarter included Strive’s acquisition of Semler Scientific in the first major Bitcoin treasury M&A deal, and the launch of a $1.5 billion Bitcoin SPAC by Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company. Meanwhile, Bullish, the crypto exchange backed by Block.one, went public holding over 24,000 BTC.

Altogether, corporations added 176,762 BTC in Q3 — a sign that institutional conviction is deepening even as Bitcoin’s price continues to climb.

In Q3 2025, Bitcoin rose 6.2% despite being historically the weakest quarter, reaching all-time highs of $123K, $124K, and $126K shortly after quarter-end. 

The broader equities market also rallied, with precious metals, especially silver and gold, outperforming due to the ongoing “debasement trade.” Bitcoin’s correlations with U.S. equities remained elevated, while correlations with gold stayed near zero, indicating it hasn’t fully acted as “digital gold,” according to NYDIG research.  

All this data underscores a clear trend: Bitcoin isn’t just for retail investors anymore. Companies are increasingly positioning bitcoin as a strategic reserve and long-term hedge.

This post Bitcoin Price Falls to $110,000 as Bitcoin Corporate Adoption Hits Record Highs first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Bitcoin Price Settles at $113,000 a Week After Hitting All-Time Highs

Bitcoin price is holding near $113,000 today, about a week after reaching a new all-time high above $126,000, as the market stabilizes from one of its most violent corrections in years. 

The bitcoin price to record levels last week was fueled by renewed institutional demand, falling real yields, and growing adoption of the “debasement trade” — investors seeking protection against monetary expansion.

The recovery comes after a bruising weekend that saw over $19 billion in leveraged positions wiped out and more than 1.6 million traders forced to liquidate positions as cascading margin calls swept across exchanges.

Bitcoin slipped from 24-hour highs near $116,000 to around $110,000 overnight, as large on-chain movements from both the U.S. government and BlackRock fueled speculation about potential institutional repositioning.

At the time of writing, bitcoin is trading at $113,055.

According to blockchain analytics, the U.S. government transferred 667.6 BTC earlier today — worth roughly $74.8 million — to a new wallet early Tuesday morning. 

Also earlier today, the U.S. government announced a seizure of 127,271 BTC, worth roughly $14 billion, from Chinese émigré Chen Zhi and his Cambodia-based Prince Group criminal network. The accused ran a global “pig butchering” crypto scam and laundered billions through shell companies, real estate, and mining operations. 

Chen faces charges of wire fraud and money laundering, while U.S. and U.K. authorities imposed coordinated sanctions on 146 entities and individuals linked to the operation. 

Bitcoin’s recent turbulence

The turbulence follows last week’s massive deleveraging event, the largest in crypto history. Analysts noted that the $19 billion in liquidations reflected “a clearing of speculative excess” rather than broad-based selling. Funding rates swung sharply negative — the most bearish since late 2023 — suggesting an overextension of leveraged bets.

On-chain data supports that interpretation. Long-term holders have remained steady, while metrics such as Coin Days Destroyed and Spent Output Profit Ratio show that most selling came from new entrants capitulating at a loss. 

Despite the volatility, bitcoin’s fundamentals remain strong. Hash rate, transaction throughput, and active addresses all continue to trend upward, underscoring resilient network health.

Adding to the pressure, renewed U.S.–China trade tensions have weighed on risk assets. Beijing’s restrictions on rare-earth exports prompted President Donald Trump to threaten a 100% tariff on Chinese goods, driving stocks — and bitcoin — lower.

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New GOP Bill Wants to Solidify Trump’s Bitcoin-Friendly 401(k) Order

A new House bill aims to lock in President Donald Trump’s August executive order directing the Labor Department to open retirement plans to alternative assets — including bitcoin.

The Retirement Investment Choice Act, expected to be introduced Tuesday by Rep. Troy Downing (R-Mont.), would give Executive Order 14330 “the force and effect of law.” 

The one-page bill cements Trump’s directive that Americans saving for retirement should be allowed access to crypto and other alternative assets if plan providers deem them appropriate.

“Alternative investments hold the transformative potential to supercharge the financial security of countless Americans saving for retirement,” Downing said in a statement reported by Politico. “I applaud President Trump for his leadership to democratize finance and am proud to be leading the effort in Congress to codify his EO.”

If enacted, it would permanently authorize 401(k) providers to include crypto-exposed products alongside traditional funds. This could unlock billions of dollars in new flows to Bitcoin and other digital assets.

Trump’s bitcoin-related executive order 

The executive order, signed in August, directed the Labor Department (DOL) and Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to expand access to “alternative assets” such as private equity, commodities, insurance products — and crypto. 

It gave the DOL 180 days to propose rules. That deadline falls in early February, though the recent government shutdown and staffing cuts at the Employee Benefit Security Administration could delay progress.

Senate Republicans urged the DOL in August to move quickly, calling for a “regulatory safe harbor” to protect plan sponsors that offer such investments. “Doing so will maximize the order’s effectiveness,” they wrote, “and ensure industry has the certainty needed to deliver on behalf of American retirees.”

Industry groups largely welcomed the shift. “Professional retirement plan fiduciaries — not the federal government — are in the best position to assess what is in the financial best interest of participants,” said Brian Graff, CEO of the American Retirement Association.

Still, the bill’s fate remains uncertain. Democrats are unlikely to support legislation seen as expanding crypto access in retirement accounts. And no Senate version has been introduced.

Even so, for a party increasingly embracing Bitcoin as a symbol of financial sovereignty, Downing’s proposal signals intent. Some lawmakers clearly want Bitcoin to be part of America’s retirement future.

Back in March, President Trump signed an Executive Order creating a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and a U.S. Digital Asset Stockpile to centralize government-held crypto. The Reserve, including the $14 billion in seized bitcoin at the time, would be held as a store of value and not sold.

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Tether Pays $300 Million to Settle $4.5 Billion Celsius Bankruptcy Claims

Stablecoin issuer Tether has agreed to pay $299.5 million to the Celsius Network bankruptcy estate, settling years of litigation tied to the crypto lender’s 2022 collapse. 

The payment is far below the nearly $4.5 billion Celsius originally sought in bitcoin.

The Blockchain Recovery Investment Consortium (BRIC) — a partnership between VanEck and GXD Labs — announced the settlement Tuesday, saying it settles “all issues” between Tether and the Celsius estate. 

“We are pleased to have resolved Celsius’s adversary proceeding and related claims against Tether,” said David Proman, managing partner at GXD Labs.

Tether and the Celsius collapse

The settlement ends one of the most contentious cases in crypto bankruptcy history. Celsius sued Tether in August 2024, claiming the stablecoin issuer improperly liquidated roughly 39,500 Bitcoin used as collateral before Celsius filed for bankruptcy in July 2022. 

Celsius said Tether violated an agreement requiring a 10-hour notice before selling the assets, costing the lender any remaining equity in the position.

Tether pushed back, calling the suit a “baseless shakedown.” The company said it acted within the terms of a 2022 agreement requiring Celsius to post more collateral as Bitcoin prices fell.

When Celsius failed to meet the margin call, Tether said it liquidated the bitcoin at Celsius’s direction to cover an $815 million debt.

A U.S. bankruptcy judge in New York allowed Celsius’s case to move forward earlier this year, though Tether denied wrongdoing.

The $299.5 million payment was arranged through BRIC, a joint recovery vehicle set up in early 2023 to pursue claims and recover assets from collapsed crypto firms. 

BRIC was appointed by the Celsius debtors and creditors’ committee in January 2024 to oversee asset recovery and litigation management, according to the BRIC release on the matter.

While the payment represents a win for Celsius creditors, it’s a modest one compared to the scale of losses from the company’s collapse.

Celsius, once one of the largest crypto lenders, froze withdrawals in mid-2022 amid plunging token prices and failed investments. Its bankruptcy exposed billions in customer losses and alleged mismanagement by top executives.

Former Celsius CEO Alex Mashinsky was sentenced in May to 12 years in prison for fraud and market manipulation. Prosecutors said he misused customer funds and inflated the price of the platform’s CEL token. In June, Mashinsky agreed to forfeit any claims to assets from the bankruptcy estate.

The Celsius collapse became one of the defining moments of crypto’s 2022 credit crisis, alongside failures at Voyager, BlockFi, and FTX.

The fallout triggered a wave of litigation and recovery efforts that continue to reshape how courts treat crypto lending and collateral agreements.

This post Tether Pays $300 Million to Settle $4.5 Billion Celsius Bankruptcy Claims first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Bitcoin Price Surges Back to $116,000 After Bloody Crypto Weekend 

It’s been a rocky three days for the crypto market… to say the least.

But bitcoin holders are faring best, as bitcoin price bounced back sharply to around $116,000 today following a volatile weekend that saw the broader crypto market slump.

The bitcoin price fell to the low $100,000s on Friday as U.S. and China trade tensions rattled global markets. President Donald Trump announced new 100% tariffs on Chinese goods after Beijing unveiled sweeping export controls set to begin Nov. 1. 

But over the weekend, market jitters eased and the bitcoin price gradually rebounded. President Trump walked back some of the fear and posted that ‘it will all be fine’ in reaction to the trade tensions.

The recovery comes as both institutional inflows and corporate treasury activity help stabilize sentiment across crypto markets.

The latest leg higher was sparked, in part, by Strategy’s announcement that it had purchased an additional 220 BTC for roughly $27.2 million, bringing its total holdings to 640,250 BTC — about 3.1% of Bitcoin’s total supply. 

The company funded the purchase through proceeds from several at-the-market (ATM) share offerings over the past week.

While Strategy’s accumulation has long been a fixture of bull market narratives, analysts say the timing of this latest buy sent a strong signal of confidence to jittery investors following Friday’s sell-off.

Bitcoin price panic to recovery

Technical analysts now view a bitcoin price of $105,000 as key short-term support, while $118,000 remains the level to reclaim for bulls to reassert control. The broader bias remains cautious, with oscillators still tilting bearish following the steep drawdown.

Beyond short-term price action, the recovery highlights Bitcoin’s growing foothold among corporate treasuries and institutions. Recent data show continued inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, with BlackRock’s IBIT ETF surpassing 800,000 BTC in assets under management — valued near $97 billion.

That steady institutional accumulation, coupled with corporate entities like Strategy, DDC Enterprise, and others adopting Bitcoin as a treasury reserve, has become a defining feature of this market cycle.

With the next Bitcoin halving approaching in April 2026 and macro conditions still volatile, analysts expect more turbulence ahead. But the underlying narrative remains supportive: limited supply, rising institutional demand, and growing legitimacy as a treasury asset.

At time-of-writing, bitcoin is trading around $116,050, up roughly 9% from its weekend lows.

This post Bitcoin Price Surges Back to $116,000 After Bloody Crypto Weekend  first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Citi to Launch Crypto Custody Service in 2026 as Wall Street Deepens Bitcoin Push 

Citi is reportedly preparing to roll out a crypto custody service by 2026, joining a growing list of Wall Street institutions expanding into bitcoin and other assets due to a friendlier U.S. regulatory climate.

Biswarup Chatterjee, Citi’s global head of partnerships and innovation for its services division, told CNBC the bank has been developing its custody offering for over two years and plans to bring it to market “in the next few quarters.” 

The service would allow Citi to hold native bitcoin and other crypto on behalf of clients, a significant move for one of the world’s largest custodians of traditional financial assets.

“We may have certain solutions that are completely designed and built in-house that are targeted towards certain assets and certain segment of our clients, whereas may we may use a third party, lightweight, nimble solution for other kind of assets,” Chatterjee told CNBC.

Earlier this month, Citigroup analysts issued a bullish 12-month outlook for bitcoin, setting a target of $181,000 and revising their year-end forecast to $132,000. They cited strong inflows of around $7.5 billion and rising institutional demand. 

The analysts said they were more positive on bitcoin than ethereum, noting that bitcoin was capturing most of the new capital entering crypto markets and that a supportive U.S. regulatory backdrop could help sustain momentum into 2026.

Banking and holding custody of digital assets

Custody — the safekeeping of client assets — is considered one of the most crucial and challenging aspects of institutional crypto adoption. Just today, JPMorgan said they would not directly hold their clients’ crypto. 

While specialist firms like Anchorage and BitGo have dominated the space, large banks see an opening to offer regulated alternatives backed by decades of experience safeguarding securities.

Citi’s crypto embrace comes as Washington has taken steps to provide clearer rules for digital assets through measures such as the GENIUS Act, giving major financial institutions confidence to develop crypto-related products.

Citi’s exploration of custody runs parallel to its broader blockchain efforts, including Citi Token Services, which enables real-time cross-border payments using tokenized deposits.

 The bank is also studying stablecoins — digital tokens typically backed by fiat currency — as tools for global trade and payments in regions with less-developed banking systems.

Other banks are advancing similar initiatives As mentioned earlier, JPMorgan recently unveiled plans for a deposit token, while Bank of America is reportedly developing a stablecoin product. 

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JPMorgan Confirms Clients Will Trade Bitcoin and Crypto

JPMorgan has re-confirmed it will allow clients to trade Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. 

While the bank will not immediately offer custody services, it is expanding its blockchain initiatives and exploring how crypto fits into its broader markets strategy.

Scott Lucas, JPMorgan’s global head of markets digital assets, outlined the bank’s approach in a CNBC interview, emphasizing an “and” strategy that balances existing financial infrastructure with emerging blockchain opportunities. 

On trading crypto, Lucas said that, “Jamie [Dimon] was pretty clear during investor day that we were going to be involved in the trading of that, but custody is not on the table at the moment,” 

The bank has been experimenting with deposit tokens and stablecoins, tools that enable cash-like digital assets on distributed ledgers.

“Naturally, we need custodians. So we’re exploring what the right custodians for us for the business footprint of,” Lucas said.

Lucas highlighted JPMorgan’s deposit token, JPMD, which is currently a prototype in the U.S., as a platform for potential client services and cash management solutions.

Stablecoins remain a focus as well, though Lucas noted that any future issuance would likely be led by the bank’s payments business, rather than its markets division. 

Instead, JPMorgan’s trading clients can use stablecoins to execute transactions and explore new financial workflows, reflecting the bank’s interest in bridging traditional markets with blockchain-based infrastructure.

Lucas also acknowledged the growing role of public blockchains in capital markets, noting that while JPMorgan maintains proprietary internal platforms, it expects an increasing share of market activity to shift toward public networks.

Earlier today, JPMorgan also announced a $1.5 trillion, decade-long “Security and Resiliency Initiative” to bolster key U.S. industries, including energy, manufacturing, and defense. 

The bank said it would invest up to $10 billion in equity and venture capital to support domestic companies driving innovation and strategic manufacturing.

JPMorgan: Bitcoin is undervalued

Earlier this month, JPMorgan research suggested Bitcoin may be undervalued compared to gold, with potential upside if the “debasement trade” continues. Analysts estimated Bitcoin could reach $165,000, about 450% above current levels, based on volatility-adjusted comparisons with gold. 

They noted that Bitcoin is increasingly attractive relative to gold as the bitcoin-to-gold volatility ratio falls below 2.0. 

Earlier this year, JPMorgan Chase also was said to consider a policy to lend directly against clients’ Bitcoin and crypto holdings, marking a potential first for the bank in accepting digital assets — not ETFs — as loan collateral.

Earlier in 2025, JPMorgan allowed clients to use Bitcoin ETFs as collateral and began including crypto holdings in net worth evaluations alongside traditional assets. 

This post JPMorgan Confirms Clients Will Trade Bitcoin and Crypto first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Bitcoin Price Crashes to $108,000 As Trump To Impose 100% Tariffs on China

Bitcoin price dropped to the $108,000 range today as escalating U.S.-China trade tensions and tariff talks sent shockwaves through global markets. 

President Donald Trump posted on Truth Social today that China has announced “aggressive” and “unprecedented” export controls on nearly all products, affecting all countries starting November 1, 2025. In response, Trump said the U.S. will impose a 100% tariff on Chinese goods and enforce export controls on critical software from the same date.

Bitcoin price dumped as a result of the news, dumping from roughly $117,000 in early afternoon to below $108,000. At the time of writing, the bitcoin price is back to the $113,000 range with high volatility.

At times, the bitcoin price was down roughly 10% with many other cryptocurrencies down 20-40%

Markets react to U.S-China trade relations

Global markets sold off earlier today following President Trump’s announcement of plans to dramatically increase tariffs on Chinese goods. The move came in response to Beijing’s new restrictions on rare-earth exports, which the U.S. president accused China of using to “monopolize” critical resources.

China’s tightened export controls now extend to foreign-made products that contain or were processed using Chinese rare-earths, signaling a major escalation in the trade dispute. 

The policy expansion — targeting defense, semiconductor, and AI sectors — sparked concerns of a global supply chain shock.

Risk assets broadly tumbled today, with the S&P 500 falling 2% and the Nasdaq down 2.7%. Trump also canceled a planned meeting with Xi Jinping at APEC, vowing to “financially counter” China’s move. 

Trump earlier described Beijing’s actions as “sinister and hostile,” claiming the U.S. holds even greater leverage but has refrained from using it — until now.

Crypto-related stocks, like Circle (CRCL), Robinhood (HOOD), Coinbase (COIN), and MicroStrategy (MSTR), declined 3%-12% throughout the day.

Bitcoin price reaction

Bitcoin started October on a tear, hitting fresh all-time highs above $126,000 during the first week of the month before easing back into the $121,000 range in recent days.

Market analysts say the rally reflects what many describe as the “euphoria phase” of the ongoing bull cycle — a stage historically marked by rapid price acceleration and growing retail enthusiasm.

If past cycles are any guide, the current momentum could propel Bitcoin toward the $180,000–$200,000 range before sentiment cools.

The leading cryptocurrency has climbed more than 30% since the start of the year, fueled by steady inflows into U.S.-listed Bitcoin ETFs and a resurgence of investor confidence across the digital asset market.

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Trump White House Could Soon Pardon Former Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao: FOX

People close to Changpeng Zhao, the former CEO of Binance better known as ‘CZ,’ say discussions are intensifying inside the Trump White House over whether to issue a presidential pardon for the embattled crypto executive, according to reporting from​​ Charles Gasparino, a Senior Correspondent at FOX Business. 

Zhao, once among the most influential figures in the digital asset world, served time following a plea deal with the U.S. Department of Justice in 2023 that included a money-laundering conviction and $4.3 billion in fines for Binance. 

But according to several sources familiar with the matter, many within Trump’s inner circle now view the case as politically motivated — a hallmark of what they describe as the Biden administration’s broader crackdown on crypto.

Zhao remains Binance’s largest individual shareholder, and a pardon could clear the way for his formal return to the exchange, which he founded in 2017 and grew into the world’s largest Bitcoin and crypto trading platform.

Speculation of a Trump pardon has been looming for most of this year, but the decision is reportedly coming soon.

CZ background

Zhao’s 2023 conviction marked one of the most high-profile cases in the government’s campaign against major exchanges. 

U.S. prosecutors accused Binance of allowing illicit transactions with sanctioned entities and failing to implement proper anti-money-laundering controls. CZ pleaded guilty, stepped down as CEO, and paid a personal fine of $50 million.

Zhao served a four-month prison sentence. He was sentenced in April 2024 and released in September 2024, after spending time in a low-security federal prison in California and then a halfway house.

Despite this, even critics of Binance have questioned whether the criminal charges were proportionate. Trump’s team reportedly sees Zhao’s situation as an opportunity to demonstrate a “new era” of crypto policy — one that favors innovation over punishment.

A decision could come before year’s end, but Trump’s attention is divided between foreign policy flashpoints — including conflicts in Gaza, Ukraine, and renewed trade tensions with China — and that clemency discussions often take longer than expected, according to Gasparino.

For now, the crypto world is watching closely. A Trump pardon for CZ would mark not only a personal vindication for Zhao, but also be somewhat of a political statement: Trump signaling that the world’s most powerful government is truly open for Bitcoin business.

This post Trump White House Could Soon Pardon Former Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao: FOX first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Maria Corina Machado Wins Nobel Peace Prize — Could She Become the First ‘Bitcoin Nobel’ Winner?

Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado has been awarded the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize, recognized for what the Norwegian Nobel Committee called her “tireless work promoting democratic rights for the people of Venezuela.” 

But for many in the Bitcoin community, the win carries another layer of meaning — because Machado isn’t just a democracy activist. She’s also one of few (but growing) global political figures who has openly embraced Bitcoin as a tool of resistance against authoritarianism.

The Nobel Committee described Machado, 58, as “a woman who keeps the flame of democracy going amidst a growing darkness.” 

It’s a description that fits not just her fight against the current regime but her larger vision of how technology — and decentralized money — can empower citizens when governments fail them.

“I’m in shock,” Machado said after the announcement. “I am just one person. I certainly do not deserve this.”

“I dedicate this prize to the suffering people of Venezuela and to President Trump for his decisive support of our cause,” she wrote on X.

A recognition for courage — and for staying

Machado’s political story is one of persistence under threat. Barred from running in last year’s presidential election — which international observers widely dismissed as rigged — she was forced into hiding but refused to leave Venezuela. 

The Nobel Committee praised her as “a key, unifying figure in a brutal authoritarian state that is now suffering a humanitarian and economic crisis.”

That crisis is something Machado has long tried to explain in global forums: Venezuela’s economic collapse, she argues, was not an accident but a predictable outcome of financial repression and state control of money.

And it’s here that her views intersect directly with Bitcoin.

Machado: Bitcoin is a ‘lifeline’

In an interview first aired by Bitcoin Magazine last year, Machado spoke at length about Venezuela’s economic collapse and the role Bitcoin has played in helping citizens survive it.

“The Venezuelan bolívar has lost 14 zeros,” she said, recalling how inflation once hit 1.7 million percent. “This financial repression — rooted in state-sponsored looting, theft, and unchecked money printing — has destroyed our economy despite our vast oil wealth.”

For many Venezuelans, Bitcoin became the only alternative. It has allowed families to store value outside the collapsing bolívar, receive remittances without confiscation, and even fund their escapes from the country.

Machado called Bitcoin a “lifeline” for Venezuelans, a way to bypass government-controlled exchange rates. She proposed including Bitcoin in Venezuela’s future national reserves as the country seeks to recover its stolen wealth and rebuild from the dictatorship.

Machado also proposed including Bitcoin in Venezuela’s future national reserves as part of the country’s post-dictatorship recovery.

“We envision Bitcoin as part of our national reserves, helping rebuild what the dictatorship stole,” she told Bitcoin Magazine.

Machado’s emphasis on transparency echoes one of Bitcoin’s core principles — a public ledger that is incorruptible by design. It’s an idea that resonates with freedom and justice. 

This post Maria Corina Machado Wins Nobel Peace Prize — Could She Become the First ‘Bitcoin Nobel’ Winner? first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Roger Ver aka ‘Bitcoin Jesus’ Reaches Deal in U.S. Tax Fraud Case

Roger Ver — once dubbed “Bitcoin Jesus” for his early evangelism of bitcoin — has reached a tentative deal with the U.S. Justice Department to resolve criminal tax fraud charges, according to The New York Times reporting.

The agreement, still awaiting court approval, would require Ver to pay roughly $48 million in back taxes. In return, prosecutors would drop the case if he meets the terms of a deferred-prosecution deal.

The case against Ver, filed in 2024, accused him of evading taxes tied to his massive bitcoin holdings before renouncing his U.S. citizenship in 2014. He was arrested in Spain last year as prosecutors sought extradition.

If finalized, the deal would mark a sharp turn for one of crypto’s most controversial pioneers — and signal that Washington’s tone toward digital assets is shifting once again.

Ver’s massive bitcoin holdings 

Ver’s indictment claims that Ver gave false or misleading information to a law firm and an appraiser, hiding the true number of bitcoin owned by him and his companies. This allegedly led to the filing of false tax returns that significantly undervalued both the companies and their bitcoin holdings. 

By 2017, Ver’s companies reportedly still held around 70,000 bitcoins, which he sold on cryptocurrency exchanges for roughly $240 million. 

Although he was not a U.S. citizen at the time, Ver was still legally required to report certain distributions to the IRS and pay taxes on them. The indictment says he failed to do so, resulting in an estimated $48 million loss to the IRS.

The potential settlement comes as the Trump administration continues to unwind a yearslong federal crackdown on crypto. 

Ver’s defense leaned into Trump’s pro-bitcoin political currents. He paid longtime Trump ally Roger Stone $600,000 and hired lawyers tied to the former president — including David Schoen and Christopher Kise — as well as the lobbying firm of GOP fundraiser Brian Ballard, according to The New York Times.

In January, Ver publicly appealed to Trump for help, claiming his case was politically motivated and warning he faced a potential 100-year sentence.

Neither the Justice Department nor Ver has commented publicly on the reported agreement.

This post Roger Ver aka ‘Bitcoin Jesus’ Reaches Deal in U.S. Tax Fraud Case first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Why Is Michael Saylor’s Strategy (MSTR) Down Today?

Shares of Strategy (MSTR) are down about 3.6% today, weighed by a slide in Bitcoin.

The broader crypto market is under pressure. Bitcoin slipped roughly 2% over the past 24 hours, retreating from recent highs. That drop is rippling into crypto-linked equities — Strategy is one of the most exposed.

Strategy (MSTR) is currently trading at $319.84

Strategy, co-founded by Michael Saylor, reported $3.9 billion in fair value gains for the third quarter of this year. The company holds roughly 640,000 Bitcoin, with an average purchase price of $73,983 per coin.

Investors see Strategy now as nearly a pure Bitcoin play. Its multiple relative to its Bitcoin holdings has decreased compared to its BTC value. That means when Bitcoin falls, Strategy feels it hard.

Recently, in a wide-ranging conversation with Bitcoin Magazine, Saylor sketched out an “endgame” where his firm builds a trillion-dollar bitcoin balance sheet — and then uses that capital base to help reinvent the global credit system.

Like Strategy, institutional adoption of digital assets is expected to surge, with State Street research showing average portfolio exposure was expected to rise from 7% to 16% within three years. 

Nearly 60% of surveyed executives by State Street plan to boost digital asset allocations, reflecting a shift toward strategic crypto shift — much like Strategy.

Analysts are bullish on Strategy

But analysts remain bullish. Benchmark’s Mark Palmer kept a Buy rating and a $705 target, arguing that recent pressure is more about a contracting premium and macro volatility than a flawed strategy.

A $705 price target is more than double the stock’s current price. 

Palmer said the company’s bitcoin-linked perpetual preferred shares provide permanent, non-dilutive capital and eliminate refinancing risks tied to bitcoin’s volatility. Despite some stock drops, Benchmark highlighted Strategy’s 640,031 BTC treasury and structural advantages as key long-term strengths

But the market mood is fragile. With Bitcoin under stress, Strategy stock is following closely — down roughly 3.6 % on the day.

This post Why Is Michael Saylor’s Strategy (MSTR) Down Today? first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Bitcoin Price Slumps Below $120,000, But Market Enters ‘Euphoria Phase’ and Analysts Eye $180K Peak

Bitcoin price was holding steady near the $120,000 mark today but recently slumped below that mark to $119,768. All this movement is after a volatile and bullish start to October.

Some analysts point to signs that the market has entered what many describe as the “euphoria phase” of the current bull cycle.

Bitcoin price surged more than 30% since the start of the year, buoyed by sustained inflows into U.S.-listed Bitcoin exchange-traded funds, renewed investor confidence in digital assets, and expectations that the Federal Reserve will move toward cutting interest rates. 

Bitcoin price briefly touched above $126,000 earlier this week — its highest ever — before easing slightly to the $120,000–$123,000 range over the last couple of days as traders digested macroeconomic and on-chain signals.

Bitcoin’s late-stage rally

Despite the pause, on-chain analysts suggest that the broader uptrend may be far from over. Data frameworks like the Bitcoin “Cycle Master” model indicate that the market is entering a late-stage rally, historically marked by sharp price acceleration followed by steep corrections. 

The model divides bitcoin’s long-term price range into undervalued, fair value, and overvalued zones — and currently places the upper “overvalued” boundary around $260,000, with a more conservative cycle peak near $180,000.

The short-term holder Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio — a measure of how much profit recent investors are sitting on — reinforces that view. When this metric has historically approached 1.7, Bitcoin has neared its top before major pullbacks. 

At current realized price levels, that ratio would correspond to a bitcoin price between $180,000 and $195,000, suggesting room for continued upside before euphoria turns into excess.

Economic conditions affecting Bitcoin 

Meanwhile, macro conditions remain mixed. Minutes from the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting revealed that most officials still see scope for rate cuts later this year, even as inflation concerns linger. 

The ongoing U.S. government shutdown and stronger U.S. dollar have tempered some of the “debasement trade” narrative that previously fueled bitcoin’s rise alongside gold.

If the historical pattern holds, Bitcoin’s current euphoria phase may carry it toward the $180,000–$200,000 zone before sentiment shifts. 

For now, with prices steady around $120,000 and volatility compressing, traders are watching closely for the next leg higher — and for clues about when exuberance might turn into excess.

This post Bitcoin Price Slumps Below $120,000, But Market Enters ‘Euphoria Phase’ and Analysts Eye $180K Peak first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Institutional Bitcoin Demand Explodes in 2025 — 7x More BTC Bought Than Mined

Institutional appetite for Bitcoin has surged to new and unprecedented levels this year. 

As of October 8, global bitcoin exchange-traded products (ETPs) and publicly traded companies have collectively acquired 944,330 BTC — already surpassing the total amount purchased in all of 2024. 

To put this in perspective, these institutions have bought roughly 7.4 times the new supply of bitcoins mined this year. 

With three months remaining in 2025, it’s safe to assume that rate will only go up. 

Bitcoin institution statistics from September

According to a monthly report shared by Bitcoin Treasuries with Bitcoin Magazine, public and private treasuries added a combined 46,187 BTC, worth approximately $5.3 billion, in September 2025, marking steady growth comparable to August’s 47,718 BTC increase. 

By month’s end, tracked entities collectively held more than 3.8 million BTC — valued at about $435 billion — including holdings by public companies, private companies, governments, ETFs and similar entities, and DeFi platforms.

Around 130 non-U.S. companies now hold 96,997 BTC, reflecting ongoing global adoption, according to the report. 

Source: Bitcointreasuries.net

As of September 30, 2025, a total of 338 entities were tracked holding Bitcoin, including 265 public and private companies. The number of listed entities has more than doubled since January, reflecting more-and-more institutional adoption. 

In September alone, 26 new entities were added —18 public companies and 8 private firms. Publicly traded Bitcoin treasury companies continue to dominate the landscape, and analysts from bitcointreasuries.net suggest they remain the primary drivers of new listings and Bitcoin acquisitions moving forward.

Some of the largest Bitcoin holders include MicroStrategy Inc. (MSTR) from the U.S. with 640,031 BTC, Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. (MARA) also from the U.S. with 52,850 BTC, 21Shares/XXI (CEP) from the U.S. with 43,514 BTC, Metaplanet Inc. (MTPLF) from Japan with 30,823 BTC, and Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company (CEPO) from the U.S. with 30,021 BTC.

This post Institutional Bitcoin Demand Explodes in 2025 — 7x More BTC Bought Than Mined first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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UK Lifts Ban on Bitcoin ETNs, Research Shows Retail Crypto Market Could Jump 20%

The U.K.’s Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has officially lifted its four-year ban on retail access to bitcoin and crypto exchange-traded notes (cETNs).

Starting today, firms can offer retail investors exposure to bitcoin and other cryptoassets through ETNs traded on FCA-approved investment exchanges such as the London Stock Exchange or Cboe UK. 

The change came into effect today after months of consultation and signals a more open — though still cautious — regulatory stance toward crypto.

“Since we restricted retail access to cETNs, the market has evolved, and products have become more mainstream and better understood,” said David Geale, executive director of payments and digital finance at the FCA. “In light of this, we’re providing consumers with more choice, while ensuring there are protections in place.”

Unlike exchange-traded funds (ETFs), ETNs are debt instruments that track the price of an asset rather than holding it directly. They allow investors to gain exposure to bitcoin through regulated markets without taking custody of the underlying crypto.

UK market impact and investor interest

According to new research from IG Group, the U.K. crypto market could grow by as much as 20% following the introduction of retail-accessible ETNs. IG’s survey found that nearly a third of U.K. adults would consider investing in crypto via ETNs, with interest strongest among younger investors — about half of those aged 18 to 34.

“Crypto ETNs represent a significant step forward for the U.K. market, opening access to millions of investors who have previously been cautious or excluded,” said Michael Healy, IG’s U.K. managing director. “The ability to hold crypto within familiar, tax-efficient vehicles like ISAs and pensions is a real milestone.”

Analysts say the move brings the U.K. closer to peers such as the U.S., Canada, and the EU, where regulated crypto investment products are already available. However, experts warn that progress must continue if the country hopes to position itself as a true digital asset hub.

From ban to breakthrough

The FCA first banned the sale and marketing of crypto derivatives and ETNs to retail investors in January 2021, citing volatility, valuation concerns, and investor protection risks. The restriction was partially eased in 2024, when professional investors gained access to ETNs backed by bitcoin and ether.

That access expanded further in June 2025, when the FCA began consulting on lifting the retail ban — a process that culminated in today’s formal approval.

For now, the reintroduction of crypto ETNs for retail marks a milestone moment for the U.K. — one that could reignite its ambitions to become a leading global center for digital finance.

“ETNs are just one part of the puzzle,” IG’s Healy said. “To fully unlock crypto’s potential, the UK needs a proper regulatory framework – and it needs it fast, or we risk falling far behind global peers.”

This post UK Lifts Ban on Bitcoin ETNs, Research Shows Retail Crypto Market Could Jump 20% first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Polymarket Adds Bitcoin Deposits as NYSE Parent ICE Eyes $2 Billion Investment

Polymarket, the crypto-native prediction market, has added support for bitcoin deposits, giving users a direct way to fund their accounts with BTC alongside other existing crypto options.

The move coincides with bitcoin’s recent rally to all-time highs above $126,000, currently trading around $124,300, and reflects growing demand for crypto-native funding options on prediction platforms.

Polymarket has taken the world by storm over the past two years, emerging as the largest prediction market where users trade shares tied to the outcomes of real-world events — essentially betting on what the future holds.

On Polymarket, traders are bullish about the bitcoin price. About 83% of participants now predict bitcoin will hit $130,000 this year, while 52% and 35% are betting on $140,000 and $150,000, respectively. Total long-term betting volume has exceeded $30.6 million.

Polymarket also accepts other crypto and stablecoins like USDC, USDT, Ethereum, Polygon, and Solana.

NYSE parent eyes major investment

Adding a layer of institutional intrigue, the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), owner of the New York Stock Exchange, is reportedly considering a $2 billion investment in Polymarket. If completed, the deal could value the platform between $8 billion and $10 billion, according to The Wall Street Journal.

Shayne Coplan, the 27-year-old founder of Polymarket, has become the youngest self-made billionaire after this investment, per Bloomberg. Just a few years ago, Coplan was a NYU dropout building Polymarket from his bathroom after becoming fascinated by the potential of prediction markets. 

Polymarket has already attracted notable investors, including 1789 Capital, backed by Donald Trump Jr., and acquired derivatives exchange QCEX for $112 million, gaining a U.S. CFTC license in the process.

Polymarket’s expansion comes after navigating significant regulatory hurdles. In 2022, the CFTC fined the platform $1.4 million for unregistered activities, and the Department of Justice conducted an investigation that was closed in 2025.

Founded in 2020, Polymarket gained traction during the 2024 U.S. presidential elections and has since integrated Chainlink oracles for price-focused contracts, launched earnings markets with U.S. clearance, and competes with regulated rivals like Kalshi.

This post Polymarket Adds Bitcoin Deposits as NYSE Parent ICE Eyes $2 Billion Investment first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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OranjeBTC Goes Public on Brazil’s B3, Driving Latin America’s Bitcoin Push

Brazil witnessed something new today on its B3 stock exchange — a company going public not for its products, but for its Bitcoin.

OranjeBTC, a Brazilian firm founded by former Bridgewater Associates executive Guilherme Gomes, began trading today on B3, the São Paulo–based exchange that anchors Latin America’s capital markets. 

Backed by some of the biggest names in global crypto, the company enters public markets holding 3,675 BTC instantly becoming the region’s largest corporate Bitcoin holder. At current prices, its holdings are worth more than $444 million.

Their haul dwarfs the 605 bitcoin held by fellow Brazilian fintech Méliuz, which last year became the country’s first listed firm to adopt a Bitcoin treasury strategy.  

The company’s model mirrors Strategy’s playbook in the United States: issue convertible debt, raise capital, and buy Bitcoin

Earlier this year, OranjeBTC secured a $210 million investment from Brazil’s largest bank, Itaú, through its investment arm Itaú BBA, positioning its BTC reserves as a long-term strategic asset.

That financing round also attracted heavyweight backers including Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss, Mexican billionaire Ricardo Salinas, FalconX, and Adam Back of Blockstream, alongside U.S. funds Off the Chain Capital and ParaFi Capital.

Bitcoin education for future investors

But Gomes insists OranjeBTC’s vision goes beyond balance sheets. The company is launching an educational platform designed to teach shareholders and institutional investors about Bitcoin’s monetary properties — what it calls a “learning layer” for Brazil’s next generation of savers.

“We want to be an information center and help Brazilians and Latin Americans understand what money is, the role of a tangible asset, and how Bitcoin works,” Gomes told WIRED en Español in September.

The mechanics of the listing will follow a reverse IPO, with OranjeBTC merging into Intergraus, already listed on B3.

After the transaction, about 85% of shares will be in free float—opening the door for both institutional and retail investors to gain direct exposure to a company whose only real product is bitcoin accumulation.

This post OranjeBTC Goes Public on Brazil’s B3, Driving Latin America’s Bitcoin Push first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Bitcoin Magazine

OranjeBTC Goes Public on Brazil’s B3, Driving Latin America’s Bitcoin Push

Brazil witnessed something new today on its B3 stock exchange — a company going public not for its products, but for its Bitcoin.

OranjeBTC, a Brazilian firm founded by former Bridgewater Associates executive Guilherme Gomes, began trading today on B3, the São Paulo–based exchange that anchors Latin America’s capital markets. 

Backed by some of the biggest names in global crypto, the company enters public markets holding 3,675 BTC instantly becoming the region’s largest corporate Bitcoin holder. At current prices, its holdings are worth more than $444 million.

Their haul dwarfs the 605 bitcoin held by fellow Brazilian fintech Méliuz, which last year became the country’s first listed firm to adopt a Bitcoin treasury strategy.  

The company’s model mirrors Strategy’s playbook in the United States: issue convertible debt, raise capital, and buy Bitcoin

Earlier this year, OranjeBTC secured a $210 million investment from Brazil’s largest bank, Itaú, through its investment arm Itaú BBA, positioning its BTC reserves as a long-term strategic asset.

That financing round also attracted heavyweight backers including Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss, Mexican billionaire Ricardo Salinas, FalconX, and Adam Back of Blockstream, alongside U.S. funds Off the Chain Capital and ParaFi Capital.

Bitcoin education for future investors

But Gomes insists OranjeBTC’s vision goes beyond balance sheets. The company is launching an educational platform designed to teach shareholders and institutional investors about Bitcoin’s monetary properties — what it calls a “learning layer” for Brazil’s next generation of savers.

“We want to be an information center and help Brazilians and Latin Americans understand what money is, the role of a tangible asset, and how Bitcoin works,” Gomes told WIRED en Español in September.

The mechanics of the listing will follow a reverse IPO, with OranjeBTC merging into Intergraus, already listed on B3.

After the transaction, about 85% of shares will be in free float—opening the door for both institutional and retail investors to gain direct exposure to a company whose only real product is bitcoin accumulation.

This post OranjeBTC Goes Public on Brazil’s B3, Driving Latin America’s Bitcoin Push first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF Nears $100 Billion, Becomes Firm’s Most Profitable Fund

BlackRock, celebrated for its diverse suite of exchange-traded funds spanning decades of market trends, has a new crown jewel: its Bitcoin ETF. 

The iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT), launched just 21 months ago, is on the verge of reaching $100 billion in assets under management, making it BlackRock’s most profitable fund — outranking even products that have been in circulation for more than two decades.

According to Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Eric Balchunas, IBIT currently generates roughly $244.5 million in annual revenue. 

“Check out the ages of the rest of the Top 10. Absurd,” Balchunas noted on X, highlighting the speed and stark contrast between the Bitcoin fund and BlackRock’s long-established revenue leaders like the 25-year-old iShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF.

Last quarter, IBIT passed Coinbase Global’s Deribit platform to become the world’s largest venue for Bitcoin options.

A Bitcoin ETF lets investors gain exposure to Bitcoin without actually buying or storing the cryptocurrency themselves. Instead, the fund holds Bitcoin (or Bitcoin-related contracts) while investors simply buy shares on a stock exchange, with the share price moving alongside Bitcoin’s market value. 

Being a regulated financial product, it provides a safer, more accessible way to invest in Bitcoin through familiar brokerage accounts.

BlackRock and other investors are turning to Bitcoin

The fund’s meteoric rise underscores a broader shift in investor behavior. Bitcoin itself hit a new all-time high of $126,200 on Monday, fueling inflows into IBIT. 

Market conditions are playing a critical role: declining U.S. interest rates, combined with a weakening dollar amid the ongoing government shutdown, are driving investors to seek alternative stores of value. 

ETFs tracking digital assets like Bitcoin have emerged as a natural destination for capital in this climate.

For IBIT, every 1% increase in Bitcoin’s price translates into nearly $1 billion added to assets under management, bringing the $100 billion milestone tantalizingly close. In less than two years, IBIT has leapfrogged traditional stalwarts and cemented itself as a central player in both the crypto and ETF worlds.

This post BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF Nears $100 Billion, Becomes Firm’s Most Profitable Fund first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Bitcoin Price Pulls Back from Record High to $122,000 Range, Momentum Remains Strong

Bitcoin slipped today, retreating from a record high as the U.S. government shutdown entered its seventh day. Bitcoin edged down to the $121,000 range, and remains below Monday’s all-time peak of $126,296, per Bitbio data.

Despite the minor pullback, Bitcoin has surged roughly 30% since the start of the year and is up about 9% over the past week.

Gold, meanwhile, continued its historic rally, briefly topping $4,000 per ounce overnight, with futures trading at $3,980 early Tuesday, reflecting a 50% gain for the year.

At the time of writing, bitcoin is trading at $122,096. 

Markets appear largely unfazed by the shutdown, even after the Senate failed to pass a Republican bill on Monday to reopen government operations.

Bitcoin dips are for buying 

Analysts say Bitcoin’s recent correction — from its all-time high down to around $122,000 — is healthy and may be setting the stage for further gains. The $120,000 level currently acts as key support, while resistance is seen near $135,000. 

“Overall, dips are for buying,” said market analyst Mags on X, noting that a daily close above $123,300 could trigger additional upside. 

Onchain data underscores strong buying momentum. Glassnode reports that Bitcoin’s relative strength index has risen from 44 to 66 over the past week, signaling growing market confidence. 

Glassnode also noted that bitcoin futures open interest surged as traders added longs during the breakout to new highs. The current pullback is testing these positions, and watching where buyers step in will reveal if support levels can attract renewed demand.

The ongoing U.S. fiscal impasse may be further fueling demand for perceived safe-haven assets. 

Geoffrey Kendrick, head of digital assets at Standard Chartered, suggested last week that Bitcoin could reach $135,000 soon and possibly $200,000 by year-end if current conditions persist. 

As mentioned earlier, gold continues its surge, supported by central bank purchases, dollar weakness, and expectations of future Fed easing.

Investors appear to be positioning for an extended period of policy uncertainty, with both bitcoin and traditional safe havens benefiting from market jitters.

This post Bitcoin Price Pulls Back from Record High to $122,000 Range, Momentum Remains Strong first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Morgan Stanley Advises Up to 4% Bitcoin Allocation in Portfolios 

Morgan Stanley’s Global Investment Committee has formally recommended that clients allocate between 2% and 4% of their portfolios to bitcoin and crypto.

The new report, issued on October 1, outlines crypto (primarily bitcoin) allocations based on investor risk profiles. Opportunistic growth portfolios, which target higher-risk and higher-return strategies, should include up to 4% in crypto, while balanced growth portfolios are capped at 2%, the report read.

The committee who wrote the report characterized bitcoin as a scarce asset comparable to digital gold, suggesting that it now occupies a legitimate role within diversified investment strategies. 

“We place the emerging asset class within real assets and focus our commentary here primarily on bitcoin, which we consider a scarce asset, akin to digital gold,” the report read

While Morgan Stanley acknowledged the asset class’s historical volatility and potential for high correlation with broader markets during stress periods, it also noted that crypto’s total returns and structural maturity have improved in recent years.

Morgan Stanley: Buy crypto ‘every quarter’

Morgan Stanley said that clients  should regularly rebalance their multi-asset portfolios to include crypto — ideally every quarter, or at least once a year.

“Such rebalancing will dampen the potential for swelling positions, which could mean outsized portfolio-level volatility and cryptocurrency risk contributions in periods of macro and market stress,” the report read. 

The report recommended gaining exposure through exchange-traded products to manage volatility and prevent portfolio distortion during strong uptrends. The approach indicates a measured but open stance toward integrating crypto within traditional investment frameworks.

The announcement coincided with bitcoin reaching a new all-time high of roughly $126,200 today. The move extended a nine-day rally, supported by spot ETF inflows and a weakening U.S. dollar amid renewed government shutdown concerns.

Morgan Stanley’s latest guidance follows its September decision to expand digital asset access through its E*Trade platform, enabling trading in bitcoin and other crypto via a Zerohash partnership. 

This post Morgan Stanley Advises Up to 4% Bitcoin Allocation in Portfolios  first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Strategy Reports $3.9 Billion in Bitcoin Gains for Q3 2025 

Strategy, the world’s largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, reported $3.9 billion in fair value gains for the third quarter, according to a company press release. 

Strategy holds roughly 640,000 Bitcoin, with an average purchase price of $73,983 per coin. At current prices near $124,500, its holdings are valued at approximately $78.7 billion, representing unrealized gains of about $31.4 billion.

“For every $10,000 change in BTC price, we generate $6 billion in unrealized gains on our BTC holdings,” noted Chaitanya Jain, a Bitcoin Strategist at Strategy. 

The company has also issued several types of preferred shares this year to access additional funding beyond convertible debt and common stock. Three of these preferred share classes carry an annualized dividend rate of 10%. 

Strategy disclosed in an SEC filing that payouts on its STRC and STRD shares included accrued interest, totaling $22.4 million and $37.6 million for the quarter, respectively.

Shares of Strategy rose roughly 3% to around $364 on Monday, extending a year-to-date gain of roughly 25% and reaching a high of $450 in July.

All this comes as Bitcoin surged past short-term resistance last week, entering a “blue sky breakout” as bulls regained control and pushed the price to a record weekly close of $123,515.

With no prior highs to guide resistance, technical analysis suggests potential barriers at $131,000, $135,000, and $140,000. 

Strategy did not purchase Bitcoin last week

The company also did not make any purchases of bitcoin last week. The move coincided with $140 million in dividend payments, marking the first time the company halted Bitcoin accumulation since the end of July.

The pause in Bitcoin purchases is part of a pattern the company has previously followed. This year, Strategy issued three weekly updates in which it did not buy Bitcoin, two of which aligned with the ends of its first and second fiscal quarters.

Last week’s announcement coincided with the close of the third quarter.

Over the weekend, Strategy co-founder and Executive Chairman Michael Saylor hinted at the company’s halt in purchases via X, noting there would be “no new orange dots this week,” a reference to the chart used to track past Bitcoin acquisitions.

Strategy’s long-term vision  

Michael Saylor envisions Strategy building a trillion-dollar Bitcoin balance sheet, using it to transform the global credit system. 

He expects Bitcoin’s historical long-term appreciation, around 21% annually, to supercharge the firm’s capital stock. On top of that, Saylor proposes issuing Bitcoin-backed credit with yields higher than traditional fiat debt, creating a dual flywheel of growing collateral and expanding digital credit markets.

He predicts that as corporations, banks, and sovereign funds adopt Bitcoin, traditional financial instruments and equity indexes would become indirect Bitcoin vehicles, benefiting from its compounding growth. 

Ultimately, he sees Bitcoin treasury companies as central to a new financial architecture, enabling higher-yield savings, Bitcoin-based money markets, reimagined insurance, and global adoption by tech giants.

This post Strategy Reports $3.9 Billion in Bitcoin Gains for Q3 2025  first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Billionaire Paul Tudor Jones Calls Bitcoin ‘Very Appealing’ as Bitcoin Price Heats Up

Billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones said Bitcoin is among the top beneficiaries of the current market environment, calling it “very, very appealing” during an interview on CNBC.

Jones, known for his endorsements of Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation, said the current market setup resembles the 1999 tech bubble, though with key differences that could make the upside even more dramatic. 

Bitcoin is currently pricing at all-time highs. It surpassed its previous record of $124,466 over the weekend. Over the past week, it climbed more than 13%, rebounding from $109,000 at the end of September to $125,900 today.

Bitcoin last approached these levels in August.

Fiscal policy and economic speculation

The legendary hedge fund manager pointed to a combination of unprecedented fiscal and monetary conditions driving the rally.

Jones pointed to the combination of a 6% U.S. budget deficit and an ongoing Fed easing cycle creating conditions unlike 1999, when a surplus and rate hikes prevailed. He noted that while the next year could see substantial market gains, investors should remain cautious, as the peak could arrive abruptly. 

Jones noted that the largest price increases occur in the 12 months leading up to a market top, so active risk management is essential even during strong rallies. When asked which assets are positioned to benefit, Jones singled out gold and Bitcoin.

“The biggest winners are gold… Bitcoin, I want to say it’s up 50 or 60%,” he said, adding that crypto and digital gold are particularly appealing in a market poised for continued speculative fervor. 

He also cited a basket of retail-favored “meme stocks,” noting they have seen sharp gains, but emphasized the long-term potential of crypto.

For investors considering exposure, Jones suggested a mix of gold, crypto, and tech equities like the Nasdaq.

As Bitcoin continues to attract attention from both retail and institutional players, Jones’ endorsement reinforces its position as a hedge in a market where traditional equities may be approaching a frothy peak.

Earlier this year, Billionaire venture capitalist Tim Draper, a longtime Bitcoin advocate, predicted that retailers will eventually move from accepting Bitcoin to exclusively using it as payment.

This post Billionaire Paul Tudor Jones Calls Bitcoin ‘Very Appealing’ as Bitcoin Price Heats Up first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Bitcoin Price Skyrockets to All-Time High of $125,750 — What Comes Next?

The Bitcoin train seems to never, ever stop.

Bitcoin reached an all-time high today, surging past its previous all-time high of $124,466. Bitcoin climbed more than 13% over the past week, quickly rebounding from $109,000 at the end of September to touch $125,750 today, according to Bitcoin Magazine Pro data.

The last time bitcoin was close to these levels was in August. 

There are several key drivers for the bullish reversal. Macroeconomic uncertainty — including the ongoing U.S. government shutdown — has led investors toward alternatives like bitcoin, historically seen as a hedge against traditional financial risks. 

Geoffrey Kendrick, head of digital assets at Standard Chartered, believes that bitcoin’s role as a safe haven is being amplified by the fiscal gridlock in Washington.

This rally has also been bolstered by so-called “Uptober” seasonality — a term traders use to describe bitcoin’s typical pattern of strong October gains. 

Over the past decade, the month has produced average returns exceeding 21%, often setting the stage for outsized fourth-quarter performance.Since 2015, bitcoin has averaged a gain of nearly 58% in the fourth quarter, outperforming every other three-month period.

Institutions appear to be playing a role in this jump as well, with increased flows into exchange-traded funds and digital custody services signaling renewed appetite from both retail and professional investors. 

Where is Bitcoin headed? 

Bitcoin has traded sideways in recent months, but key liquidity indicators suggested this breakout was coming. Global M2 growth, stablecoin supply trends, and gold’s rally — which bitcoin has closely tracked with a 40-day lag — all pointed upward.

JPMorgan analysts think bitcoin is undervalued relative to gold, estimating a theoretical upside to $165,000 if the “debasement trade” — investing in assets that hedge fiat currency risk — continues. 

Market watchers, like Kendrick, are raising their targets in response to bitcoin’s rally, with some forecasts calling for prices to exceed $135,000 in the near term and possibly reach $200,000 by year’s end if current trends continue. 

At the time of writing, bitcoin is trading at $123,319.82.

This post Bitcoin Price Skyrockets to All-Time High of $125,750 — What Comes Next? first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Bitcoin Price Soars to $122,000, Standard Chartered Projects $200,000 BTC by Year-End

Bitcoin has kicked off the fourth quarter of 2025 with a strong rally, surging more than 10% over the past week — from around $109,000 on September 27 to over $122,000 today.

But Bitcoin could surge to fresh all-time highs if the U.S. government shutdown continues, according to Geoff Kendrick, head of digital assets at Standard Chartered.

Kendrick believes that Bitcoin’s historically positive correlation with U.S. Treasury term premiums, suggesting the cryptocurrency may benefit from prolonged fiscal uncertainty.

Kendrick noted that during prolonged market stress — conditions that often favor digitally scarce assets — Bitcoin has historically shown remarkable resilience. In this case, the prolonged stress comes from the U.S. government’s extended shutdown. 

Standard Chartered’s forecast now targets Bitcoin at $135,000 in the near term, with a year-end projection of $200,000, signaling strong confidence in the token’s upside potential.

Currently, bitcoin trades around $122,200, just shy of its August all-time high of $124,480. 

Bitcoin poised for a rally

The potential for an extended U.S. government shutdown adds another layer of market uncertainty, often influencing both equities and fixed-income instruments. 

For bitcoin, these conditions may serve as a catalyst, reinforcing its role as a hedge against traditional market volatility.

Bitcoin has traded sideways in recent months, but key liquidity indicators suggest a breakout may be near. Global M2 growth, stablecoin supply trends, and gold’s rally — which Bitcoin has closely tracked with a 40-day lag — all point upward.

JPMorgan analysts also see Bitcoin as undervalued relative to gold, estimating a theoretical upside to $165,000 if the “debasement trade” — investing in assets that hedge fiat currency risk — continues. 

With September closing roughly 5% higher at $114,000, historical patterns suggest a strong potential for outsized gains in Q4, supported by growing retail and institutional interest in Bitcoin ETFs and custody solutions.

Data shows that in years such as 2015, 2016, 2023 and 2024, positive September closes were followed by fourth-quarter rallies averaging more than 50%.

This post Bitcoin Price Soars to $122,000, Standard Chartered Projects $200,000 BTC by Year-End first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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