Riot Platforms opened a new $500 million at-the-market equity offering this week as the bitcoin miner reported lower November production and continued to sell a large portion of its monthly output to fund operations and expansion.
In a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission yesterday, Riot said it entered into a definitive sales agreement allowing it to issue and sell up to $500 million of common stock at prevailing market prices through the Nasdaq Capital Market.
The facility replaces a prior at-the-market program established in August 2024, which Riot terminated effective Tuesday.
Under the new agreement, Riot retains discretion over the timing and volume of any share sales. The company said proceeds will be used to fund capital expenditures, potential strategic acquisitions, investments in existing and future data centers and bitcoin mining projects, as well as general corporate purposes.
The company also noted that stock buybacks could be funded with the proceeds, alongside working capital needs.
Riot’s bitcoin production
Riot sold roughly $600.5 million worth of stock under the 2024 agreement before terminating it, leaving about $149.5 million of unused capacity. The new program resets the company’s fundraising flexibility as it continues to scale infrastructure in Texas. Shares were down nearly 1% in trading Wednesday.
The capital raise comes alongside a mixed monthly operating update. The company said it produced 428 bitcoins in November, a 14% decline from the same month a year earlier.
The company attributed the year-on-year drop to higher network difficulty and planned curtailments tied to power strategy. Total bitcoin holdings stood at 19,368 at the end of November, up 70% from a year earlier, but only four bitcoins higher than in October.
Riot sold 383 bitcoins during the month, generating $37 million in net proceeds. That compares with October, when the company sold 400 bitcoins for $46 million. The average realized sale price fell sharply to $96,560 in November from $114,970 a month earlier, reflecting the pullback in bitcoin prices during late autumn trading.
At the time of writing, bitcoin was trading around $88,000, up just over 1% on the day, with retail sentiment also leaning bearish.
Riot stock remains up 24% year-to-date and 21% over the past 12 months, despite recent volatility.
Institutional analysts continue to see longer-term upside tied to Riot’s infrastructure footprint. J.P. Morgan recently forecast 45% upside for the shares through 2026, citing expectations that the company could secure a 600-megawatt colocation deal at its Corsicana site by the end of next year.
The company currently owns roughly 1.7 gigawatts of power capacity across two large-scale Texas facilities, which analysts describe as rare tier-one assets in the bitcoin mining sector.
The bitcoin price hovered below $90,000 near $80,000 today as traders made another late push to recover year-end losses during thin holiday trading, but the market again lacked the conviction needed for a sustained breakout.
The bitcoin price stood at $88,063 at the time of writing, up about 1% over the past 24 hours, according to market data. Trading volume totaled roughly $40 billion, reflecting muted participation as December draws to a close.
Bitcoin is now about 1% below its seven-day high of $89,201 and roughly 1% above its seven-day low of $86,855.
The world’s largest cryptocurrency has a circulating supply of 19,969,296 BTC, with a hard cap of 21 million coins. Bitcoin’s total market capitalization is approximately $1.76 trillion, up 1% from a day earlier.
Bitcoin pushed toward the $90,000 level yesterday for a second straight session before the rally stalled once again. Price action remains confined to a broad range between roughly $85,000 and $95,000, a structure that has defined the market since a sharp October sell-off.
That drawdown followed Bitcoin’s all-time high in early October, when prices were up nearly 30% on the year.
Since then, sentiment has shifted. The bitcoin price is now down about 5% from last December, putting it on track for its first annual loss in three years.
“I’d continue to expect exaggerated moves on light flow through New Year’s,” Jasper De Maere, desk strategist at Wintermute, said in a note to Bloomberg.. He cautioned traders against relying too heavily on short-term signals until liquidity returns to normal levels.
The recent price stagnation contrasts with the broader recovery in traditional risk assets. Bitcoin began the year with a strong rally fueled by optimism around crypto-friendly policies under the second Trump administration.
That enthusiasm faded as uncertainty surrounding President Donald Trump’s tariff agenda rattled global markets.
Bitcoin price battling with leveraged traders
While U.S. equities have largely rebounded from those shocks, Bitcoin has struggled to regain momentum. The October downturn was compounded by a wave of liquidations after leveraged positions reached record levels. On Oct. 10, a sharp sell-off flushed out long exposure and reset market positioning.
Demand for spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds has also weakened. According to data by Bloomberg, ETF outflows have reached roughly $6 billion in the fourth quarter, adding steady pressure as Bitcoin failed to reclaim the $90,000 threshold.
Holiday trading conditions have further distorted price action. Earlier this week, the bitcoin price swung sharply around $90,000 during low-liquidity sessions, posting fast gains and losses that lacked follow-through.
Prices briefly rose about 2.6% during thin trading and held above $86,000 over the week, but again failed to sustain levels above $90,000 during Asian hours.
QCP Capital said recent moves reflect a market short on participation. In a note, the firm pointed to a steep decline in derivatives activity following last Friday’s record options expiry. Open interest dropped by nearly 50%, signaling that many traders moved to the sidelines.
That options expiry also altered short-term market dynamics. According to QCP, dealers who were long gamma ahead of the event are now short gamma on the upside. In such conditions, rising prices can force hedging activity that amplifies short-term moves, particularly when liquidity is thin.
A similar setup emerged earlier this month when the bitcoin price briefly approached $90,000. Funding rates climbed quickly as traders crowded into bullish positions, creating short-lived upward pressure.
Deribit’s perpetual funding rate surged above 30% following the latest expiry, up from near-flat levels beforehand. Elevated funding rates often indicate overheated positioning and raise the cost of maintaining long exposure.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin Magazine analysts said the market continues to reject lower levels within a broadening wedge pattern, suggesting downside momentum is weakening. Key resistance sits at $91,400 and $94,000. A weekly close above $94,000 could open a path toward $101,000 and $108,000, though resistance remains heavy.
On the downside, $84,000 remains critical support. A break below that level could send the bitcoin price toward the $72,000 to $68,000 range.
Async Payjoin is the best hope for strong privacy in Bitcoin. Modeled after HTTPS, which enabled secure payments for the web, the Payjoin foundation has been quietly building up this privacy toolkit, which must be adopted by a large number of Bitcoin wallets, to deliver privacy at scale.
Modeled after the Bitcoin and Lightning dev kits — which have become quite popular among wallet developers — and built with the same cryptographic primitives already in Bitcoin core, such that it can be easily integrated into the main Bitcoin implementation, Async Payjoin is designed from the bottom up for mass adoption.
Following in the footsteps of Let’s Encrypt, which in the 2010s led the mass adoption of HTTPS on the web via open source, free software tooling, Async Payjoin looks to solve Bitcoin’s biggest privacy pain points through an open privacy standard. Unlike specific privacy-focused wallets like Samourai Wallet and Wasabi, Async Payjoin is a software library that any bitcoin payments app can integrate, joining an open standard of privacy, similar to HTTPS on the web.
Async Payjoin is also referred to as Payjoin V2 by the Foundation, as it differs from V1, an older implementation that requires both users to be online while they transact for the Payjoin to work. A growing list of Bitcoin wallets support the Payjoin Foundation’s V1 and V2 standards today, including:
Async Payjoin is backwards compatible, such that users with wallets that do not support the standard yet can still send to Payjoin addresses and QR codes without friction to the users. Fans of Bitcoin privacy should ask their favorite wallet providers to integrate this open source standard, which developers can find a technical reference for at Bip 77, alongside their plug-and-play dev kit on GitHub.
The PayJoin Foundation Team
The nonprofit PayJoin Foundation, launched in August 2025 to sustain open-source privacy development, receives funding from OpenSats and Cake Wallet, while Spiral, Human Rights Foundation, Maelstrom, and Brink have supported many of the open-source developers who contributed to the project. Their GitHub shows 37 contributors just on the Rust implementation of Async Payjoin.
Development of the Async Payjoin protocol, also known as Payjoin V2 via Bip 77, is spearheaded by Dan Gould, executive director of the Payjoin Foundation and lead maintainer of the Payjoin DevKit. Dan has pioneered Bitcoin privacy tools since the TumbleBit era, forked Wasabi Wallet for mobile use, and co-authored BIP 77 with Yuval Kogman, advisory board member and Spiral Bitcoin Wizard with over two decades of programming experience. Kogman has done extensive work in the Bitcoin privacy field, such as developing WabiSabi DoS protections and whistleblowing vulnerabilities in various CoinJoin implementations.
Armin Sabouri has also joined the team as R&D lead with prior roles as CTO at Botanix and engineer at Casa, co-winner of the 2021 MIT Bitcoin Hackathon by getting Bip 78 CoinJoin working on Mac OS via Tor, and is a co-author of BIP 347 (OP_CAT).
Gould told Bitcoin Magazine that they are always fundraising and that “none of this work is possible without the funders.” He also went into detail about why they decided to start a Payjoin foundation rather than a for-profit entity, saying that “Bitcoin privacy — for-profits have basically been killed.”
According to Gould, a nonprofit is more sustainable to solve the problem because it aligns the incentives; “I think the for-profits have an incentive to sell something that doesn’t necessarily guarantee privacy because if they make a sale, they earn profit. And we’ve seen on the internet that it was attempted. Phil Zimmerman started a company that developed PGP. But HTTPS was a decentralized nonprofit effort, as was Tor”. Gould says the Payjoin Foundation has applied for 501 (c) (3) status, which is pending approval. Donors can contact him at [email protected].
How does Payjoin work?
Payjoin provides privacy to Bitcoin by breaking a common pattern of normal transactions, where the sender has one input that gets split up into two to make a payment. Of the resulting outputs, one is likely to be the payment and the other the change back to the sender.
Users often have multiple UTXOs (unspent transaction outputs), which are like pockets of coins. If a transaction tries to send more than is in one UTXO, it will pull from another, linking two of these pockets of coins, which up until that point might have had no connection to each other on the chain. This reduces the privacy of users in the eyes of blockchain analysts, who can assume the two UTXO packets belong to the same entity.
Payjoin dissolves the standard input heuristic by facilitating coordination between the sender and the receiver, resulting in transactions that appear to have two inputs and two outputs, where one of the inputs is from the receiver. The receiver gets the same amount he is expecting; both parties simply coordinate on the amounts and co-create the transaction. As a result, what would have been a single-input, two-output transaction now has two inputs and two outputs, confusing on-chain analysts. The more transactions of this type exist, the less reliable the single-input heuristic becomes, resulting in more privacy for all users, as the core assumption of on-chain analysis breaks down.
This process is entirely non custodial, with full control over amounts signed and sent by both parties, it is atomic, if both parties don’t agree, the transaction is not valid.
Gould cautioned about how much information is leaked with normal bitcoin transactions today, referring to organizations like Chain Analysis, which can, in some circumstances, get access to exchange user data to try and identify owners of a given UTXO, “if you snoop on that, you can see who you’ve transferred money to in the past. You can see who someone transfers money to in the future. You can see how much money someone has. You can see how much money someone makes.”
Enhancements to Bitcoin privacy of this sort are crucial to the success of Bitcoin as they enforce the fungibility of the asset, an important quality of sound money. Fungibility means that all coins are considered equal and interchangeable; one is not different from the other based on its history.
Cryptocurrencies that focus on maximizing on-chain privacy, like Zcash or Monero, offer higher default degrees of on-chain privacy by encrypting the amounts transferred among parties. This, however, comes at a high cost; validation of the total supply of coins in these alternative cryptocurrencies is much more complicated. As a result, bugs in the related cryptography could lead to inflation bugs that are undetectable, a risk which undermines scarcity, another critical quality of sound money.
Payjoin in turn provides Bitcoin a higher degree of on-chain privacy without encrypting the amounts transferred between parties, respecting the scarcity of Bitcoin while enhancing fungibility. The main trade-off is that it can not be a protocol-level change; it needs wallet adoption and thus user engagement.
It’s also important to note that fiat-level privacy already protects users from third-party analysis by being a closed private system, or tries to anyway. Government agencies and executives working at banks have much greater visibility into user balances, but organized crime does not. There are also many laws in countries throughout the world defending user financial privacy, which Async Payjoin is looking to elevate Bitcoin to.
Network privacy and the client-server V2 model, the Async part of the protocol.
One of the challenges historically with traditional Payjoin is that it required both parties to be online to coordinate the creation of the transaction. To solve this, Payjoin V2 introduces a blinded directory server to provide asynchronous Payjoin coordination among parties, using the well-known Internet standard, Oblivious HTTP.
Gould told Bitcoin Magazine that “the cool thing is the protocol has the directory server blinded. The directory server is only reachable by oblivious HTTP, which is basically a forced proxy. So the IP addresses (of users) are never leaked to the directory server.” Adding that, “the payload (pre-signed transaction) is actually end-to-end encrypted between the sender and the receiver anyway. So the directory just gets an 8-kilobyte uniform encrypted blob. They don’t see anything.”
In fact, Gould compared the use of OHTTP to Tor, explaining that “The reason we used it is because it’s a web standard. So it’s gone through the rigorous review process. OHTTP is literally supported in the iOS operating system. It’s used in browsers.” adding that “OHTTP it’s kind of like the minimal viable product of Tor where Tor layers encryption and does multiple hops and this is just the most minimal version where you just have one hop. You just have one layer of encryption.” Similar multi-hop network encryption is used in the Lightning network to protect user privacy.
The Payjoin V2 servers provide no financial reward to those who run them, similar to Tor exit nodes, which have sustained these privacy networks on a volunteer basis for decades.
What about compliance?
Regulators and, as a result, exchange operators often have concerns about Bitcoin privacy technologies, as they are perceived to be in conflict with topics of compliance. Gould considers this a misconception, saying that “the reality is that a compliance regime is totally independent from the nature of the chain. If an exchange wants to collect your baby’s name, know the place you live, your phone number, and what source of funds, having privacy by default doesn’t stop them from doing that. Doesn’t stop them from asking for it in order to do business with the user.” Adding that “It just doesn’t give them complete insight into your whole wallet, past, present, and future. So it puts the power to consent to reveal the information about your money in your own hands.”
Prenetics Global Limited said it has ended its bitcoin purchasing program and will redirect its capital and strategic focus entirely toward IM8, its fast-growing consumer health and longevity brand co-founded with David Beckham.
The Nasdaq-listed health sciences company said it ceased daily bitcoin purchases on Dec. 4, following approval from its board of directors, and will not pursue future acquisitions of the cryptocurrency.
The move marks a clear shift away from a strategy the company adopted earlier this year, when several public firms began accumulating bitcoin as a treasury asset during a rising market. That trend has slowed in recent months as cryptocurrency prices weakened and investor focus returned to core operating businesses.
Prenetics said the decision reflects the rapid growth of IM8, which it described as the fastest-growing supplement brand in the industry’s history.
The company said IM8 surpassed $100 million in annualized recurring revenue within 11 months of launch and is projected to generate between $180 million and $200 million in revenue in fiscal year 2026.
“The phenomenal success of IM8 has exceeded all expectations and scaled much faster than our original expectations,” said Danny Yeung, Prenetics’ chief executive officer and co-founder. He said management and the board agreed that concentrating resources on IM8 offered the clearest path to long-term shareholder value.
Prenetics said it remains in a strong financial position, with more than $70 million in cash and cash equivalents, zero debt, and its existing bitcoin holdings intact. The company said that balance sheet strength gives it flexibility to fund IM8’s next phase of growth without relying on external financing.
Under the revised capital allocation strategy, Prenetics said funds will be directed exclusively toward IM8’s operations and expansion.
That includes product development, brand marketing, talent acquisition, working capital, and international growth initiatives. The company framed the shift as an effort to sharpen strategic clarity and reinforce disciplined governance.
IM8 markets an all-in-one nutritional supplement aimed at simplifying daily health routines. The brand has been promoted by Beckham and tennis world number one Aryna Sabalenka, and Prenetics has leaned heavily into celebrity-backed branding as it scales the business globally.
Bitcoin has struggled to regain momentum after a sharp downturn earlier in the year, and several companies that adopted crypto-heavy treasury strategies have seen their share prices come under pressure.
Against that backdrop, Prenetics’ move stands out as a reversion toward a more traditional operating focus.
When the company announced its bitcoin accumulation strategy in June, Yeung spoke about the potential overlap between healthcare innovation and blockchain technology.
Six months later, the company’s tone has shifted, with management emphasizing execution, revenue growth, and consumer demand.
Prenetics said it believes the updated strategy aligns the company more closely with shareholder priorities as IM8 continues to scale. While bitcoin will remain on the balance sheet, the company made clear it will no longer play a central role in its capital deployment plans.
Shares of Prenetics were little changed following the announcement. At time of writing, shares were at $16.42 a share.
Bitcoin is currently trading at $88,626, up 1% over the past 24 hours on $39 billion in volume, with a market cap of about $1.77 trillion.
The price sits near the top of its weekly range, roughly 1% below the seven-day high and 2% above the seven-day low, with nearly 19.97 million BTC currently in circulation.
Metaplanet added 4,279 bitcoin during the fourth quarter of this year, spending about $451 million and lifting its total holdings to 35,102 BTC, the company said Tuesday.
The purchase reinforces the Tokyo-listed firm’s position as one of the largest corporate bitcoin holders in Asia and the fourth largest among publicly traded companies globally.
The bitcoin was acquired at an average price of $105,412 per coin, according to the company. Metaplanet has now spent roughly $3.78 billion accumulating bitcoin at an average cost of about $107,600.
The firm has set an ambitious target of owning 210,000 BTC by the end of 2027, a goal that implies continued reliance on capital markets and credit facilities to fund future purchases.
Metaplanet’s shares ended the year up about 8% at 405 yen, though they remain far below the peak reached in June, when the stock traded near all-time highs.
The gap reflects both the volatility of bitcoin prices and investor unease around balance sheets that are tightly linked to a single asset. For shareholders, the strategy offers leverage to bitcoin’s upside while exposing the company to drawdowns that can move faster than operating income.
Metaplanet’s bitcoin accumulation via consistent revenue
Unlike some bitcoin treasury firms, Metaplanet has paired accumulation with a separate income generation business built around derivatives. The unit aims to produce recurring revenue while supporting long-term bitcoin holdings.
The company expects this business to generate around $55 million in revenue in the coming fiscal year, a figure that helps frame its strategy as more than passive holding.
BREAKING: Japan’s metaplanet just bought 4,279 #bitcoin worth $451 million
During the quarter, Metaplanet reported a BTC Yield of 11.9%, a metric it uses to measure bitcoin accretion on a per-share basis.
Year to date, the company reported BTC Yield of more than 500%, helped by rising bitcoin prices and the pace of purchases.
The fourth-quarter buying spree followed a pause that began in late September, the longest break in Metaplanet’s acquisition program since it adopted a bitcoin treasury strategy.
Funding for recent purchases has included bitcoin-backed credit facilities totaling about $280 million and the issuance of Class B preferred shares convertible into common stock.
The company said proceeds from the preferred share sale will be used largely to buy more bitcoin, with a portion set aside for yield strategies and bond redemptions.
Bitcoin currently trades at $88,590, up 1% on the day, with $36 billion in volume and a $1.76 trillion market cap as it hovers near recent weekly highs.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Metaplanet-Draws-100-Million-Bitcoin-Backed-Loan-to-Buy-More-Bitcoin-7VD8HL.jpg10801920Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-30 14:57:352025-12-30 14:57:35Metaplanet Spends $451 Million on 4,279 Bitcoin in Q4
The bitcoin price continued to swing around the $90,000 level during thin holiday trading, rising and falling in sharp moves that lacked any volume needed for a sustained breakout.
The world’s largest cryptocurrency rose about 2.6% during low-liquidity sessions and held above $86,000 over the week, but was unable to sustain its $90,000 level in Monday’s Asian trading hours, according to market data.
At time of writing, the bitcoin price was trading at $87,465 on Tuesday, with a 24-hour volume of about $52 billion and little change over the past day.
The cryptocurrency sits roughly 3% below its recent day high of $90,230, with a market capitalization of about $1.75 trillion based on a circulating supply of nearly 20 million BTC, according to Bitcoin Magazine Pro data.
QCP Capital said the move lacks the participation required to push prices decisively higher. In a note, the firm pointed to a sharp drop in open interest following last Friday’s record options expiry. Open interest fell by nearly 50%, signaling that many traders stepped to the sidelines.
Options are affecting market positioning
The record options expiry marked a turning point in market structure. Dealers who were long gamma ahead of the event are now short gamma to the upside, QCP said. In this setup, rising prices force dealers to hedge by buying spot bitcoin or short-dated call options.
That dynamic can amplify price moves and create a feedback loop during bitcoin price rallies.
QCP said a similar pattern emerged earlier this month when the bitcoin price briefly traded near $90,000. Funding rates rose quickly as dealers adjusted positions, contributing to short-term upward pressure.
Deribit’s perpetual funding rate climbed to more than 30% following the expiry, up from near flat levels earlier. Elevated funding rates increase the cost of maintaining long positions and often reflect crowded bullish trades.
Heavy activity was seen in the BTC-2JAN26-94K call option during the latest rally attempt. QCP said a move above $94,000 could extend the gamma-driven buying, but stressed that a breakout would require sustained spot demand.
The firm said that without any real volume, upside moves risk fading.
The macro backdrop is adding market volatility
Bitcoin’s recent push toward $90,000 earlier coincided with rising oil prices after renewed attacks on energy infrastructure in Russia and Ukraine dampened hopes for a near-term peace deal. Higher energy prices added to inflation concerns across global markets.
The bitcoin price traded higher in Asian hours as geopolitical uncertainty grew but gave back all gains in early U.S. hours.
Longer term, supporters continue to frame bitcoin as a hedge against fiscal imbalances. U.S. national debt has climbed to about $37.65 trillion, according to official data.
Bitcoin price has critical support at $84,000
According to Bitcoin Magazine analysts, the broader bitcoin market continues to reject lower levels within a broadening wedge pattern, suggesting downside momentum is weakening. Bulls now need to build on this defense by breaking resistance at $91,400 and, more importantly, $94,000 to regain control.
A weekly close above $94,000 could open the door to a move toward $101,000 and potentially $108,000, though heavy resistance is expected along the way.
On the downside, $84,000 remains critical support. A breakdown there would likely send the bitcoin price toward the $72,000–$68,000 range, with deeper losses possible below $68,000.
Short-term liquidity may remain thin during the current holiday period, but large options expiries near $100,000 could influence price action.
Overall sentiment remains cautious, per the analysts, with bulls showing resilience but still needing confirmation.
At the time of writing, the bitcoin price is near $87,000. Over the Christmas holiday sessions, bitcoin bounced between $86,000 and $90,000.
A South Korean crypto exchange employee was sentenced to four years in prison for attempting to recruit a military officer to sell classified secrets to North Korea in exchange for Bitcoin, the Supreme Court ruled on December 28.
The ruling also imposes a four-year ban on the employee from financial sector activities.
Court documents revealed that North Korean hackers paid the exchange staffer $487,000 in Bitcoin to recruit a 30-year-old army captain, who received $33,500 in Bitcoin in return, according to the South Korean media outlet Dailian.
The staffer approached the officer through a Telegram chat, offering cryptocurrency for access to sensitive military data.
The staffer sent a watch-shaped hidden camera and a USB “hacking device” to the captain under hacker instructions. These devices were intended to capture and transmit information from the Korean Joint Command and Control System, a platform used to share intelligence between the U.S. and South Korea.
Military police intercepted the devices before any breach occurred.
“The defendant must have been aware that he was attempting to uncover military secrets for a country hostile to South Korea,” the judge said. “This crime could have endangered the entire country and was committed for personal financial gain.”
The captain, surnamed Kim, was sentenced to 10 years in prison and fined $35,000 for violating the Military Secrets Protection Act.
The U.S. Treasury Department on November 4, sanctioned eight individuals and two entities linked to North Korea’s cybercrime operations, targeting the flow of cryptocurrency stolen by DPRK hackers.
Over the past three years, North Korea-affiliated cybercriminals have stolen more than $3 billion, primarily in digital assets, using malware, ransomware, and social engineering to attack banks, exchanges, and other platforms.
The Treasury said the funds help finance Pyongyang’s nuclear weapons and missile programs.
Among those sanctioned were bankers Jang Kuk Chol and Ho Jong Son, who managed over $5.3 million in cryptocurrency tied to ransomware attacks and DPRK IT workers abroad. Korea Mangyongdae Computer Technology Corp., which runs overseas IT delegations, and its president U Yong Su, were also targeted, alongside Ryujong Credit Bank in Pyongyang and five DPRK banking representatives in China and Russia for laundering millions in global currencies.
In September 2024, the FBI issued a warning that North Korean hackers were targeting U.S. cryptocurrency exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in an attempt to steal digital assets.
According to the agency, the attackers are employing sophisticated social engineering techniques to infiltrate companies linked to these financial products.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Former-Exchange-Employee-Sentenced-to-4-Years-for-Selling-Military-Secrets-to-North-Korea-for-Bitcoin-lBvI69.jpg10801920Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-29 19:51:002025-12-29 19:51:00Former Exchange Employee Sentenced to 4 Years for Selling Military Secrets to North Korea for Bitcoin
Strategy, the largest publicly traded holder of bitcoin, has resumed accumulating bitcoin, purchasing 1,229 coins for approximately $108.8 million during the week ended December 28.
The acquisition was made at an average price of $88,568 per bitcoin and lifts the company’s total holdings to 672,497 BTC, according to a regulatory filing released today. Strategy has now spent roughly $50.44 billion acquiring bitcoin at an average cost basis of $74,997 per coin.
The latest purchase was funded through the sale of 663,450 shares of Class A common stock under the company’s at-the-market (ATM) equity program, generating $108.8 million in net proceeds.
Strategy said it did not sell any preferred securities during the period and retains substantial capacity for future issuances.
Strategy had paused bitcoin purchases the prior week after bolstering its U.S. dollar reserves to roughly $2.2 billion, signaling continued flexibility in timing its market entries.
At press time, bitcoin was trading near $87,200, slightly below Strategy’s most recent purchase price, following a volatile session that saw BTC briefly push above $90,000 before reversing lower. Despite the pullback, Strategy’s bitcoin holdings are valued at nearly $59 billion, leaving the firm with more than $8 billion in unrealized gains.
Shares of Strategy (MSTR) slipped about 1% in premarket trading to around $156.51, mirroring bitcoin’s drop. The stock is now down roughly 45% year-to-date, reflecting both bitcoin’s volatility and investor sensitivity to Strategy’s leveraged exposure to BTC.
According to disclosed data, Strategy recorded a year-to-date bitcoin yield of 23.2% in 2025, reinforcing its long-term accumulation strategy. The company has not reported any bitcoin sales since adopting BTC as its primary treasury reserve asset.
In the first two weeks of December, Strategy sharply ramped up its bitcoin accumulation, executing back-to-back purchases totaling nearly $2 billion as BTC prices pulled back toward the $90,000 level, at the time.
Between Dec. 1 and Dec. 14, the company acquired 21,269 bitcoin across two consecutive weeks, first buying 10,624 BTC for about $963 million at an average price of $90,615, followed by 10,645 BTC for roughly $980 million at an average price of $92,098.
These marked Strategy’s largest weekly purchases since mid-2025.
At the time of writing, the bitcoin price is trading at $87,300 after being up over $90,000 in the last 24 hours.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Strategy-Reloads-on-Bitcoin-Buys-1229-BTC-for-109-Million-8B5oIa.jpg10801920Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-29 14:33:312025-12-29 14:33:31Strategy Reloads on Bitcoin, Buys 1,229 BTC for $109 Million
It’s been a turbulent and volatile fourth quarter for Bitcoin in 2025. BTC has endured a turbulent December, with prices dropping nearly 9% and volatility spiking to levels not seen since April 2025.
In its latest mid-December “ChainCheck” report, VanEck’s digital asset analysts painted a nuanced picture: while on-chain activity remains weak, liquidity conditions are improving, and speculative leverage appears to be resetting, offering cautious optimism for long-term holders.
The firm highlighted the contrasting behaviors between different investor groups. Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs) have been actively buying the dip, accumulating 42,000 BTC — their largest addition since July — bringing aggregate holdings above one million BTC.
This contrasts with Bitcoin exchange-traded product (ETP) investors, who have reduced exposure, underscoring a shift toward corporate accumulation over retail-led speculation.
Analysts at VanEck noted that some DATs are exploring alternative financing methods, including issuing preferred shares rather than common stock, to fund purchases and operations, reflecting a more strategic, long-term approach.
Onchain data also revealed a divergence between medium- and long-term holders. Tokens held for one to five years have seen significant movement, suggesting profit-taking or portfolio rotation, while coins held for more than five years remain largely untouched.
VanEck interprets this as a signal that cyclical or shorter-term participants are offloading assets, whereas the oldest cohorts maintain conviction in Bitcoin’s future.
Bitcoin miners are facing a falling hashrate
Miners, meanwhile, have faced a particularly challenging environment. Network hash rates fell 4% in December, says VanEck — the sharpest decline since April 2024 — as high-capacity operations in regions such as Xinjiang reduced output amid regulatory pressures. Breakeven electricity costs for major mining rigs have also dropped, reflecting tighter profit margins.
Historically, however, VanEck notes that falling hash rates can serve as a bullish contrarian indicator: periods of declining network power have often preceded positive 90- to 180-day forward returns.
The VanEck team frames its analysis within the GEO (Global Liquidity, Ecosystem Leverage, Onchain Activity) framework, designed to assess Bitcoin’s structural health beyond daily price fluctuations.
Under this lens, improving liquidity and the accumulation by DATs provide a counterweight to softer on-chain metrics, including stagnating new addresses and declining transaction fees.
Broader macro trends add complexity to Bitcoin’s outlook. The U.S. dollar has weakened to near three-month lows, rallying precious metals, but Bitcoin and other crypto assets have remained under pressure.
In parallel, the evolving financial ecosystem may offer new support. Market observers point to the rise of “everything exchanges,” platforms aiming to integrate stocks, crypto, and prediction markets, leveraging AI-driven trading and settlement systems.
Just last week, Coinbase made an ‘everything exchange’ like move and launched an expansion of its platform, introducing stock trading, prediction markets, futures, and other features. Companies entering this space — ranging from traditional brokerages to crypto-native firms — are vying for market share, potentially increasing Bitcoin’s liquidity and utility over time, VanEck says.
Bitcoin price volatility
Despite this, volatility remains a defining feature. While Bitcoin has doubled in value over the past two years and nearly tripled over three, the absence of extreme blow-off tops or drawdowns has tempered expectations. Future bitcoin moves may be more measured, with midterm investors likely to see smaller cyclical peaks and troughs rather than the dramatic swings of prior cycles.
VanEck said the broader market is in correction. Short- to medium-term speculative activity is retreating, long-term holders are holding steady, and institutional accumulation is rising. Coupled with signs of miner capitulation, subdued volatility, and macroeconomic dynamics, the firm frames the current environment as one of structural recalibration.
As 2025 draws to a close, Bitcoin may be in a period of consolidation that reflects broader market maturation, VanEck said. This may result in some strong positive price moves in the first quarter of next year.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Despite-a-Volatile-December-For-Bitcoin-Bullish-Signals-Are-Emerging-VanEck-H7bBRe.jpg10801920Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-23 17:33:092025-12-23 17:33:09Despite a Volatile December For Bitcoin, Bullish Signals Are Emerging: VanEck
Technologies tend to have a natural ceiling built into their utility and popularity. Once they’ve solved all the problems they can solve, their growth is effectively capped. As soon as all potato fans own a potato peeler, the peeler market’s growth potential is largely tapped out. Indeed, the big question around AI at the moment is how many problems it will be able to solve. The market could already be overblown, or it could be practically limitless.
What about stablecoins? They’ve grown from practically nothing at the turn of the decade to a market cap in the mid-12 digits and monthly transaction volumes in excess of $1 trillion. Citigroup expects the aggregate stablecoin market cap to hit around $2 trillion by the end of the decade.
If we’re talking trillions, it sounds much more like AI than potato peelers.
But do stablecoins have a natural limit? Is their utility restricted to a certain range of problems? If so, where is it? How far can stablecoins grow, and what might stop them?
In order to find answers to these questions, let’s recall why stablecoins have come so far already, what will limit their future growth, and what that means for their overall utility, i.e. the range of problems they can solve.
Why Stablecoins Gained Market Traction
Three reasons for stablecoins’ current popularity stand out.
Stable Prices, Low Volatility
The first reason is price stability. Many cryptocurrencies are volatile, which makes them valuable for speculation but awkward to use as everyday currencies. The value of stablecoins is, well, stable. By definition. Price stability is their fundamental value proposition.
Price stability is also arguably an advantage relative to other cryptocurrencies whose value is perpetually expected to rise. If your coins’ value will double in five years, you might be reluctant to spend them now. But if your coins will be worth the same or even a little less in five years, you better spend them before they burn a hole in your pocket.
Greater Portability
The second is portability. Exchanging fiat for crypto can be arduous, but exchanging one crypto for another is usually much easier. So many users find it more efficient to convert fiat into stablecoins in bulk, then easily shift value between various cryptocurrencies as needed. USDT is the most traded coin overall because it works so well on the other side of any crypto trade.
In many markets, these first two factors reinforce each other. Many countries’ national currencies depreciate more rapidly than stablecoins’ pegged currencies, so stablecoins give people in those countries a way to protect their wealth from depreciation. And those same countries often use currency controls to prevent capital flight, but their citizens can often access stablecoins to circumvent those artificial barriers.
Tax Optimization
The third reason is simply taxes. Many jurisdictions — including the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Japan, and Australia — classify cryptocurrencies as commodities rather than currencies. As a result, capital gains taxes apply to cryptocurrency price appreciation, so each transaction can be a taxable event. But many users and businesses might want to use crypto for its portability, like payment rails, so stablecoins’ price stability helps them avoid taxable events during routine payments.
You Can’t Copy State Money without State Rules
Fiat currency is the modern state’s crown jewel. Beyond a national currency’s symbolic value, controlling the source of everyone’s money is a very advantageous position. For an impression of what a big deal this can be, rewatch Ridley Scott’s Black Rain (it’s a great rewatch for any reason, not least of which is Michael Douglas rockin’ a killer mullet).
If stablecoins are minting hundreds of billions of fiat equivalents and moving trillions in value each month, the state is going to take a very close interest in what they’re doing and how. You can’t open your own private mint moving that kind of liquidity and hope to stay under the regulatory radar.
Besides, history shows that states will regulate whatever they can. They have to. Any activity they cannot regulate implicitly threatens their claim to authority, and they don’t actually produce anything (besides perhaps regulation), so they need to acquire resources. In order to take their cut from an activity, states have to first quantify and control (i.e. regulate) that activity. This is the kind of argument that led Charles Tilly, one of the last century’s most respected historical sociologists, to call states “protection rackets” and “organized crime.”
Centralized activity is also why states preferred tariffs over taxes until pretty recently. Back when bureaucracies were small and populations were spread out, states found it very hard to tax income. They didn’t have the data to quantify it nor the technology to control it. So they preferred tariffs because there are far fewer ports and bridges than there are households and shops.
In other words, the more centralized an activity is, the easier it is to quantify and control (and skim of course). More concisely: centralization attracts regulation. And the more central an activity is to state power, the more incentive the state has to regulate it, and printing money is about as central as it gets.
Stablecoins are no exception. They are centralized both in terms of the source of their value and in their actual operations, which is why regulators have been busy churning out rules lately. While that regulation might even be necessary and wise, it does and will limit stablecoins’ utility.
Rules, Their Effects, and Extrapolating the Future
The supply of regulation has increased a lot recently, but maybe it’s just meeting demand. In fact, Tether and Circle, the two biggest stablecoin issuers, are getting involved in the regulatory process with different strategies. They’re aware of their position as private USD mints and companies that take large amounts of private deposits and reinvest them (i.e. banks). Mature stablecoin issuers seem to want regulation.
The regulators themselves argue that stablecoin regulation is a good thing because it protects users and gives issuers “more predictable regulatory environments.” Not surprisingly, this is the view of the SEC.
And this reasoning is not without merit. Companies managing hundreds of billions in liabilities should be able to meet those liabilities, and maybe someone should check. But the existing regulations have added some massive obstacles to where and how people can use stablecoins.
Let’s start with Europe, because regulatory legalese is the EU’s official language. The Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) is the key stablecoin regulatory measure in Europe. It became law in 2023, but the consequences only really struck in Q1 2025. Since MiCA requires stablecoin issuers to obtain an e-money license in at least one European state, major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase delisted nine leading stablecoins, including USDT, the biggest stablecoin of all. (Of course, a consortium of nine too-big-to-fail European banks is trying to launch their own euro-pegged stablecoin.)
MiCA was a regulatory nuke, practically banning leading stablecoins and seeking to replace them with astroturfed European alternatives.
Somewhat more friendly to experimentation and innovation, the USA has implemented the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act. GENIUS is a little more permissive in that the Treasury Department can determine that foreign stablecoin issuers are subject to sufficient regulation at home, sparing them the need for a local US presence. It also prescribes a few particulars like reserve requirements and public disclosure.
While the GENIUS Act formally restricts issuers and protects users, it also makes issuers subject to the Bank Secrecy Act to prevent money laundering. As anyone knows who’s ever bought crypto on an exchange, AML and KYC are significant friction, and they effectively restrict how holders can use stablecoins. Eliminating exactly that friction was one of the features that made stablecoins attractive in the first place. Greater consumer protection might increase stablecoins’ utility in the long-term aggregate, but a user who wants to buy and trade USDT right now might disagree.
And while the EU and the USA are arguably the most important markets for stablecoins, many other markets either have regulations in place (e.g. Japan, Canada, Chile) or in the pipeline (e.g. the UK, China, Australia, Brazil, Turkey).
Imagine a giant Venn diagram of all these regulatory regimes, and stablecoins’ utility is in the space where they all overlap and the activity remains economical. How big is that space? And given that stablecoins are pegged to national currencies, which national administrations guard jealously, are these already diverse regulatory regimes likely to converge or diverge in the future?
The denser the jungle of regulations, the smaller and more isolated the clearings where stablecoins can flourish. They will still have a niche, but some niches are more niche than others. It’s unlikely that any stablecoin, based on a national or even regional fiat currency, will satisfy all the regulators in all the markets necessary to become a global currency. That’s probably why real-world stablecoin usage ends up being far more geographically constrained than the “global digital dollars” many hoped for. Even USDT, the most widely used stablecoin, operates at scale in only a few permissive jurisdictions. With roughly 40% of USDT’s market cap and an effectively identical product, USDC faces the same structural limits.
Good as Far as They Go, but Bitcoin Can Go Farther
So stablecoins are centralized fiat tokens. Being centralized and tethered to state fiat means that regulators are grasping them tightly, resulting in cost and friction for everyone involved. This process is already well underway and will continue. Does this mean that stablecoins are doomed?
Probably not. As tokenized fiat, stablecoins are likely to thrive wherever fiat is good enough. In practice, that means conventional payments. I recently defined payments as instructions to clear a debt. Wherever an intermediated quid pro quo describes the interaction, stablecoins will probably work as the quid. Indeed, the potential to capture some of the payment business from other fintech solutions (or to defend their own) is probably why established fintech players like Klarna, PayPal, and Stripe have launched their own stablecoins or stablecoin accounts. Stablecoins are turning into normal payment fintech, but maybe just normal payment fintech.
Normal means subject to state regulations and the functional and geographic limits they impose. It means juicy fees going to intermediaries. It means friction for users.
But there is a whole universe of value that eludes the payment model either because it requires direct, disintermediated transfers, it disregards political geography, there is no debt involved, or all of the above. The potential for value transfer is sometimes hard to see because the balkanized, intermediated payment paradigm is so dominant. We’ve simply lacked the technology to do much else until recently.
Still, whenever you toss some coins to a busker or tip a content creator, you’re pushing value, not clearing debt. Whenever cash moves from hand to hand, the transfer is disintermediated. Now imagine the busker is on the other side of the globe, and you discovered them through an app. The key to perceiving the rest of that value-transfer universe is to bring that directness and borderlessness into our digital world.
Value transfer needs less friction than fiat in both a technical and regulatory sense. But to achieve that, you’d need a currency that is detached from national currencies and decentralized. That’s where bitcoin comes in. Bitcoin is an open, decentralized, neutral monetary network that works for anyone, anywhere, anytime. If stablecoins have to get by in the clearings of the regulatory jungle, bitcoin floats breezily and limitlessly in the sky above.
Bitcoin was built on and for the internet, so it is natively programmable in ways that stablecoins can only vaguely approximate. And far from needing third-party custodians, bitcoin transfers are direct and disintermediated between the millions of users everywhere. The future stablecoins promise without much credibility is already the present for bitcoin.
It’s Easier to Win the Race without Hurdles
Utility is one of the central concepts in economics because it’s the mystic substance of decision making. People choose what they find most useful, and you know what’s most useful because it’s what people have chosen.
People are using stablecoins, which proves their utility. That usefulness isn’t going to go away, but regulation limits it. Stablecoins’ growth will stop where their utility is roughly matched by the friction that regulation induces. And the current state and probable future of regulation suggest that we’re getting pretty close to this equilibrium.
But since Bitcoin is not centralized and does not feed off state-based fiat currency, it is inherently harder to regulate and consequently attracts much less regulation. It’s also digitally native, which makes it a natural fit for a world of global commerce and value that flows frictionlessly across borders from one app anywhere to another. If regulation is what limits stablecoins’ utility and bitcoin is subject to much less regulation, it’s pretty clear who’s going to win the utility race.
This is a guest post by Roy Sheinfeld from Breez. Opinions expressed are entirely their own and do not necessarily reflect those of BTC Inc or Bitcoin Magazine.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/in-search-of-stability-an-overview-of-the-budding-stablecoin-ecosystem-DzzC2K.jpg444800Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-23 16:11:012025-12-23 16:11:01Stablecoins: Evolution, not a Revolution
Arizona state Sen. Wendy Rogers has introduced a package of legislation aimed at reshaping how digital assets are treated under state and local tax law, renewing a broader push by some lawmakers to position Arizona as a jurisdiction with clearer and more favorable rules for cryptocurrencies and blockchain infrastructure.
In bills prefiled with the Arizona Senate, Rogers proposed amending state statutes to exempt virtual currency from taxation (SB 1044), prohibiting counties, cities and towns from taxing or fining entities that operate blockchain nodes (SB 1045), and advancing a constitutional amendment to clarify how digital assets fit into Arizona’s property tax framework (SCR 1003).
The measures take different procedural paths. SB 1045, which focuses on protections for blockchain node operators, could move through the legislature and become law if approved by lawmakers and signed by the governor.
By contrast, SB 1044 and SCR 1003 are tied together and would ultimately require voter approval during the next general election in November 2026.
SCR 1003 proposes amending Arizona’s constitution to explicitly exclude virtual currency from property taxation. SB 1044 would mirror that change in state statutes, adding language that clarifies digital assets are not subject to property tax. Under Arizona law, changes to constitutional tax definitions must be approved by voters, making the ballot measure a central hurdle for the broader tax exemption effort.
SB 1045 addresses a narrower, but increasingly debated issue: the treatment of blockchain nodes at the local level. The bill would bar cities, towns and counties from imposing “a tax or fee on a person that runs a node on blockchain technology,” effectively preventing local governments from singling out node operators through taxes or penalties.
Arizona is one of many states embracing bitcoin and crypto
Arizona’s legislative activity around digital assets builds on earlier efforts that have already placed the state among a small group with crypto-specific laws on the books. Arizona is one of the few U.S. states that allows the government to take custody of digital assets deemed abandoned after three years.
That framework emerged from past attempts by crypto advocates to establish a state-level digital asset reserve and has since become part of a wider debate over how much authority states should have to hold or invest in cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin.
Rogers was previously a co-sponsor of a bitcoin reserve bill that was vetoed by Arizona Governor Katie Hobbs in May. Following the veto, Rogers criticized the decision and said she planned to refile similar legislation in a future session.
Arizona’s proposals arrive as states across the country experiment with different approaches to digital asset policy. New Hampshire and Texas have also enacted laws related to digital asset reserves, while other states have focused on narrower tax questions.
Ohio lawmakers advanced a bill that would exempt cryptocurrency transactions under $200 from capital gains taxes, though it has stalled since June.
In New York, a proposal to impose a 0.2% excise tax on digital asset transactions was referred to committee earlier this year and has not moved forward.
At the federal level, Sen. Cynthia Lummis of Wyoming introduced draft legislation proposing a de minimis exemption for digital asset transactions and capital gains of $300 or less.
Lummis announced on Friday that she plans to retire from the U.S. Senate in January 2027.
Bitcoin is trading at $87,341, down 3% over the past 24 hours. Its 24-hour trading volume is $46 B. The price is 3% below its 7-day high of $90,031 and 1% above its 7-day low of $86,806.
With a circulating supply of 19,966,021 BTC (out of a maximum 21 million), Bitcoin’s market cap stands at approximately $1.74 T, reflecting a 3% drop in the last 24 hours.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Arizona-Introduces-Bill-To-Exempt-Bitcoin-and-Crypto-From-Property-Taxes-9QIYzY.jpg10801920Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-23 16:03:032025-12-23 16:03:03Arizona Introduces Bill To Exempt Bitcoin and Crypto From Property Taxes
The Bank of Russia has set out a new framework to regulate cryptocurrencies, proposing tiered access that would allow everyday investors to buy digital assets alongside professional market participants, while maintaining tight controls on risk and usage.
In a concept paper released Tuesday and submitted to the government for review, the central bank said both qualified and non-qualified investors would be permitted to acquire crypto assets, but under different rules, limits and testing requirements.
The move marks another step in Russia’s gradual shift toward accommodating digital assets as sanctions reshape financial flows and market infrastructure.
Earlier this year, the Bank of Russia moved to allow domestic banks to conduct limited crypto operations under strict oversight. First Deputy Chairman Vladimir Chistyukhin said the central bank, while maintaining a conservative stance on assets like bitcoin, no longer sees a justification for fully excluding banks from such activity.
It was also reported that Russia was using bitcoin to settle some oil trades with China and India, routing payments through intermediaries to bypass Western sanctions.
So with that said, the current proposal maintains the central bank’s long-standing caution toward cryptocurrencies, which it continues to classify as high-risk instruments.
The Bank of Russia warned that crypto assets are not issued or guaranteed by any jurisdiction, are subject to sharp price swings, and carry elevated sanctions and operational risks. Investors, it said, must fully accept the possibility of losing their funds.
JUST IN: Bank of Russia prepares a concept for regulating Bitcoin and crypto.
Under the framework, non-qualified, or retail, investors would be allowed to purchase only the most liquid cryptocurrencies, based on criteria to be defined in legislation.
Access would be conditional on passing a knowledge test, and purchases would be capped at 300,000 rubles (around $3,800) per year through a single intermediary.
Qualified investors would face fewer constraints. They would be permitted to buy any cryptocurrency without transaction limits, provided they pass a test confirming their understanding of the risks. However, anonymous cryptocurrencies—defined as tokens whose smart contracts conceal information about transaction recipients—would remain off-limits.
Digital currencies and stablecoins would be formally recognized as monetary assets under the proposal, meaning they could be bought and sold.
Their use as a means of domestic payment within Russia would remain forbidden, reinforcing the central bank’s position that crypto should not function as an alternative to the ruble in everyday transactions.
Cryptocurrency trading would take place through existing licensed infrastructure. Exchanges, brokers and trustees would be able to offer crypto services under their current authorizations, while additional requirements would apply to specialized crypto depositories and exchangers.
The framework also allows Russian residents to buy cryptocurrencies abroad using foreign accounts and to transfer previously acquired crypto overseas through Russian intermediaries. Such transactions would require notification to the tax authorities.
Beyond cryptocurrencies, the proposal extends to digital financial assets (DFAs) and other Russian digital rights, including utilitarian and hybrid instruments. Their circulation on open networks would be permitted, a move intended to help issuers attract foreign investment and give investors access to DFAs on terms comparable to crypto assets.
The Bank of Russia aims to complete the legislative framework by July 1, 2026. From July 1, 2027, it plans to introduce liability for illegal activity by crypto intermediaries, aligned with penalties for illegal banking operations.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $87,555, with a 24-hour trading volume of $47 billion, down 3% over the past day.
The price stood about 3% below its seven-day high of $90,069 and roughly 1% above its seven-day low of $87,096. Bitcoin’s circulating supply was 19,965,971 coins out of a maximum supply of 21 million, giving the network a global market capitalization of about $1.75 trillion, down 3% from 24 hours earlier.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Russia-Opens-the-Door-to-Bitcoin-and-Crypto-for-Retail-Investors-s78w1a.jpg10801920Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-23 14:02:592025-12-23 14:02:59Russia Opens the Door to Bitcoin and Crypto for Retail Investors
The bitcoin price briefly crossed the $90,000 mark earlier Monday, rallying from $88,000 during Asian trading hours to just above $90,000 in European and US afternoon trading.
The surge didn’t last long as the bitcoin price dropped down near $88,000 by the end of afternoon.
BTC has displayed a pattern in recent weeks of gaining momentum during Asian and European trading hours, only to see those advances fade once U.S. investors re-enter the market.
Data from CoinGlass show that bitcoin futures open interest climbed earlier in the day toward $60 billion across major trading venues including Binance, CME, and Bybit. The increase suggests fresh leveraged positions are entering the market, rather than mere short-covering.
Rising open interest alongside higher prices does not necessarily signal immediate trouble. But it does heighten the stakes. If momentum stalls, crowded long positions could unwind rapidly, prompting steep pullbacks.
Conversely, if the rally holds, leverage could amplify upside potential.
A sustained move and hold above $90,000 could signal a shift away from the pattern of sharp early-day sell-offs that has characterized much of December. A sustained hold above this level would suggest bullish momentum, while failing to do so may indicate the continuation of the market’s tendency toward lower highs and rapid pullbacks.
Bitcoin price technical levels
Support for the bitcoin price remains near $84,000, a level that has proven resilient in recent weeks. Immediate resistance lies at $91,400, with the next key level at $94,000. Beyond $94,000, analysts point to $98,000 and a zone between $101,000 and $108,000 as strong resistance.
Closing above $108,000 could challenge assumptions that bitcoin price’s 2025 peak marks a long-term top, according to Bitcoin Magazine analysis.
Despite the rally, the U.S. macroeconomic environment remains a key influence on bitcoin’s price trajectory. The Federal Reserve’s policy path is uncertain, in part due to delays in key inflation data caused by the recent government shutdown.
Gabriel Selby, head of research at CF Benchmark, toldDLNews that until the Fed receives several months of uninterrupted inflation readings, market participants are unlikely to commit fully to risk assets like bitcoin.
Investors are also monitoring upcoming U.S. economic indicators. GDP figures for the third quarter are due tomorrow, with forecasts pointing to roughly 3.5% annualized growth, slightly below the second quarter’s 3.8% pace. Consumer confidence data and weekly jobless claims will provide additional insights into the labor market, potentially influencing risk appetite.
Potential ‘Santa Rally’
Historical seasonality offers some reason for optimism. The S&P 500 has often rallied during the final five trading days of December and the first two days of January, a pattern known as the “Santa Claus rally.” BTC’s correlation with equities via ETFs means a festive push in stocks could spill over into the crypto market.
Bitcoin’s Santa period performance has been mixed historically. Strong returns of 33% and 46% were recorded in 2011 and 2016, respectively, while other years saw declines. Overall, BTC has averaged a roughly 7.9% gain during the period since 2011.
Gold has been a more consistent performer, delivering a 95% cumulative return over the same window, and its recent record highs above $4,400 an ounce should strong sentiment.
Bitcoin price outlook
For now, sellers remain in control near $89,000, roughly 30% below bitcoin’s October all-time high. Investors pulled nearly $500 million from spot bitcoin ETFs last week, signaling caution amid macro uncertainty.
However, per Bitcoin Magazine data, if bulls maintain support above $84,000 and manage to hold gains above $90,000 during U.S. hours, they may create a foundation for a year-end rally.
The interplay between spot demand, futures leverage, and macroeconomic signals will likely dictate whether the bitcoin price can sustain its push toward the key $94,000 and $101,000 levels in the final weeks of 2025.
BTC was trading at $88,368 at press time, with a 24-hour trading volume of $40 billion. The cryptocurrency’s market capitalization stood at roughly $1.76 trillion, with 19.97 million coins in circulation and a maximum supply capped at 21 million.
Last week, bulls needed to hold closes above $85,000 to stave off the bears, and they managed to do just that. Bitcoin price dropped to support once again last week, and the bulls defended it well, pushing the price back up to close the week out at $88,656. The price on the weekly chart has been rejecting from the lower trend line of the broadening wedge pattern for several weeks now, but the trend line is so low now that the price should push above it this week. If it fails to do so this week, look for the price to take the next leg down into the low $70,000 range.
Key Support and Resistance Levels Now
Bulls will want to continue the push this week, level by level if need be. Initial resistance sits at $91,400, with the next level at $94,000. Above here, we should see very strong resistance at $98,000. Then we should see a fairly strong resistance zone from $101,000 all the way up to $108,000. Closing above $108,000 would start to place severe doubts on the long-term top being in place here.
The $84,000 support level below is proving to be resilient, holding up again this past week. If it is lost, the expected support levels below have not changed. The $72,000 to $68,000 zone should be expected to support the price on a first test at the least. Closing below $68,000 likely leads to a slow grind down to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement support at $57,000.
Outlook For This Week
The bears may be getting a little flustered with their recent failure to break support. This week, look for the bulls to push back a bit harder as they gain some confidence after holding support once again. Market liquidity should be low for Christmas week, so price movement may be lacking. There are some very large long-dated bitcoin options expiring on December 26th, however, with a max pain price of $100,000, so look for the price to try to push closer to the $100,000 level this week.
Market mood: Bearish – Bulls are pushing back a little here, but they still need to prove it to the bears with some positive price action.
The next few weeks Bulls held back the bears from breaking down major support last week. If the bulls can finally manage to take out resistance at $94,000 over the next couple of weeks, they may be able to sustain some upward momentum into the new year as well. So if we see a weekly close above $94,000, look for the price to move towards $101,000. This momentum could continue to $108,000 with a close above $100,000. Resistance becomes extremely thick near this level, though, so a strong rejection near this level should be expected if we can make it there over the coming weeks.
Terminology Guide:
Bulls/Bullish: Buyers or investors expecting the price to go higher.
Bears/Bearish: Sellers or investors expecting the price to go lower.
Support or support level: A level at which the price should hold for the asset, at least initially. The more touches on support, the weaker it gets and the more likely it is to fail to hold the price.
Resistance or resistance level: Opposite of support. The level that is likely to reject the price, at least initially. The more touches at resistance, the weaker it gets and the more likely it is to fail to hold back the price.
Broadening Wedge: A chart pattern consisting of an upper trend line acting as resistance and a lower trend line acting as support. These trend lines must diverge away from each other in order to validate the pattern. This pattern is a result of expanding price volatility, typically resulting in higher highs and lower lows.
Fibonacci Retracements and Extensions: Ratios based on what is known as the golden ratio, a universal ratio pertaining to growth and decay cycles in nature. The golden ratio is based on the constants Phi (1.618) and phi (0.618).
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Federal-Reserve-Cuts-Interest-Rates-by-25-Basis-Points-aFdnQ6.jpg10801920Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-22 19:17:292025-12-22 19:17:29Bitcoin Price Outlook: Bulls Target $94,000 Break for Momentum Into New Year
Hyundai Group evacuated employees from two major offices in Seoul today after receiving a bomb threat email demanding payment in bitcoin, police said.
Authorities later confirmed the threat was a hoax, but the incident added to growing concern over a recent wave of extortion, crypto and non-crypto related, threats targeting South Korea’s largest companies.
According to local reports, a 112 emergency call was received at about 11:42 a.m. The caller relayed the contents of an email sent to Hyundai. The message said an explosive device would be detonated at Hyundai Group’s building in Yeonji-dong, Jongno-gu, at 11:30 a.m.
It added that a second bomb would be taken to Yangjae-dong, Seocho-gu, where Hyundai Motor Group maintains a major office.
The email demanded payment of 13 bitcoins. At current bitcoin prices, the amount is valued at about $1.1 million, or roughly 16.4 billion won.
According to reports, the caller said, “If you don’t give me 13 Bitcoins, I will blow up the Hyundai Group building at 11:30 a.m. and then take a bomb to Yangjae-dong and detonate it.”
Hyundai moved to evacuate staff from both locations. Police dispatched special forces units and bomb squads to conduct searches of the buildings. Officers sealed off parts of the surrounding areas while inspections were carried out. No explosive devices were found at either site.
After several hours, authorities concluded the scam threat lacked credibility. Operations at the buildings gradually returned to normal. Police said no payment was made and no injuries or property damage were reported.
South Korean corporate threats and bitcoin crime
The Hyundai incident comes amid a series of similar threats aimed at major South Korean corporations over the past several days.
On Thursday, posts appeared on Kakao’s customer service bulletin board claiming explosives had been planted at Samsung Electronics’ headquarters in Yeongtong-gu, Suwon, as well as at Kakao’s Pangyo offices and Naver facilities. Those messages also included demands for large cash payments, per reports.
On December 17, another bomb threat was posted through KT’s online subscription application system. The message claimed an explosive device had been installed at KT’s office in Bundang, Seongnam.
Police responded by clearing the building and conducting a search. No explosives were discovered in that case either.
Authorities believe the incidents are part of a pattern of digital extortion attempts that rely on fear rather than using real devices or bombs. Investigations are ongoing to identify the individuals behind the threats and trace the origins of the messages, per the local police.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/E28098Pay-13-Bitcoin-or-We-Blow-It-Up-Hyundai-Crypto-Bomb-Threat-Shakes-South-Korean-Offices-pXgNeJ.jpg10801920Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-19 19:05:082025-12-19 19:05:08‘Pay 13 Bitcoin or We Blow It Up’: Hyundai Bomb Threat Shakes South Korean Offices
The bitcoin price could climb to $143,000 next year as continued adoption through exchange-traded funds and a more accommodating U.S. regulatory backdrop draw new capital into the market, according to a new forecast from Citi.
Analysts at the Wall Street bank set $143,000 as their base-case target for the bitcoin price over the next 12 months. They outlined a bullish scenario that places the price above $189,000, while their bearish case sees the bitcoin price falling to around $78,500 if macroeconomic conditions deteriorate, according to MarketWatch reporting.
The bitcoin price was trading near $88,000 on Friday, down roughly 30% from its late-October peak. The pullback followed a sharp wave of selling after the rally earlier this year, though Citi noted that outflows from spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds have moderated in recent weeks.
“Our forecasts, in particular for bitcoin, rest on an assumption that investor adoption continues with flows into ETFs of $15 billion boosting token prices,” the analysts wrote. The note was led by Alex Saunders, Citi’s head of global quantitative macro strategy.
JUST IN: $2.6 trillion Citi says Bitcoin could hit $189,000 in the next 12 months pic.twitter.com/CgGEZ1XKB1
Citi also pointed to potential regulatory clarity in the United States as a key driver of future demand. The U.S. Senate is negotiating its own version of the House-passed Clarity Act, legislation that would place bitcoin under the oversight of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. The analysts said clearer rules could encourage broader institutional participation.
The bank’s bearish scenario assumes recessionary pressures and weaker appetite for risk assets. The bitcoin price fell to multi-month lows in November as concerns over high technology valuations and broader macro risks weighed on markets.
The cryptocurrency shed more than $18,000 that month, marking its largest dollar decline since May 2021 amid heavy investor withdrawals.
Banks are embracing bicoin
Two weeks ago, the Bank of America told its wealth management clients to allocate 1% to 4% of their portfolios to digital assets, signaling a major shift in its approach to Bitcoin exposure.
The move allowed over 15,000 advisers across Merrill, Bank of America Private Bank, and Merrill Edge to proactively recommend crypto to clients.
Last week, PNC Bank launched direct spot bitcoin trading for eligible Private Bank clients, allowing them to buy, hold, and sell bitcoin natively through its own digital banking platform without using an external exchange. The move was powered by Coinbase’s Crypto-as-a-Service infrastructure.
Bitcoin price analysis
Bitcoin’s latest sell-off underscores a market stuck in consolidation, where positive macro catalysts fail to translate into sustained upside.
After briefly testing $89,000 on cooler-than-expected U.S. inflation data, bitcoin slid back toward the $84,000 range, extending a correction now entering its second month. The pattern has become familiar: sharp, data-driven rallies followed by quick retracements as sellers defend resistance below $90,000.
Macro signals offer mixed support. November CPI eased to 2.7% year over year, with core inflation at 2.6%, strengthening the case for eventual Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026. That backdrop helped spark the intraday rally. Yet rising U.S. unemployment and uneven job growth complicate the outlook, reinforcing expectations that the Fed will move cautiously. Markets appear reluctant to price in aggressive easing.
A key drag remains U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs, which have shifted from consistent inflows to net redemptions. The outflows remove a stabilizing bid that previously absorbed sell pressure, making breakouts harder to sustain even on positive news.
Technically, the bitcoin price is range-bound. Resistance sits just below $90,000, while support near $84,000 is weakening. A decisive break lower could open a move toward the $72,000–$68,000 zone, where analysts expect stronger demand.
Extreme fear readings suggest potential undervaluation, but near-term momentum still favors sellers.
At the time of writing, the bitcoin price is dancing around the $88,000 level.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Bitcoin-Price-Will-Jump-to-143000-Next-Year-Says-Citi-Bank-neKB5g.jpg10801920Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-19 14:35:552025-12-19 14:35:55Bitcoin Price Will Jump to $143,000 Next Year, Says Citi Bank
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has charged Danh C. Vo, founder and CEO of bitcoin mining company VBit Technologies Corp., with defrauding investors out of $48.5 million.
According to the SEC, Vo misused the funds for gambling, cryptocurrency purchases, and gifts to family members, while misleading investors about the operations of his business.
The complaint, filed in the U.S. District Court for the District of Delaware, alleges Vo raised over $95.6 million from approximately 6,400 investors between December 2018 and February 2022.
He sold “hosting agreements,” which promised investors a share of profits from bitcoin mining rigs operated by VBit. Most customers chose this passive investment option rather than purchasing rigs themselves.
Vo misrepresented how many mining rigs were actually operational, effectively selling more hosting agreements than the company could support.
“While some investors received returns, others suffered substantial losses,” the complaint stated. Vo either knew or was reckless in not knowing that the company could not meet the obligations tied to the hosting agreements.
Vo, 37, exercised complete authority over VBit, including its promotional materials, website content, and investor account information.
The SEC said the hosting agreements qualify as securities because investors relied on Vo and VBit’s efforts to generate profits.
SEC: Family members received misappropriated funds
In addition to the misappropriation, Vo allegedly transferred $5 million to family members, including his ex-wife, mother, brother, and sister, the commission said. He reportedly left the U.S. with the remaining misappropriated funds following his divorce in November 2021.
Several family members are named as relief defendants in the lawsuit and have consented to disgorge the funds they received, pending court approval, per the SEC.
VBit was acquired by Advanced Mining Group in 2022 and is now defunct. The action seeks disgorgement of ill-gotten gains, civil penalties, and a ban on Vo from participating in future securities offerings.
The lawsuit also comes as Congress debates federal measures to address cryptocurrency scams. A bipartisan proposal would create a dedicated task force to identify and address fraud in the digital asset sector.
The SEC said they want Vo’s alleged conduct to be a reminder that investors should carefully evaluate claims of passive income from crypto and confirm that operations are transparent and verifiable.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/SEC-Charges-Bitcoin-Miner-for-Duping-Investors-Out-of-48.5-Million-E28HnJ.jpg10801920Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-18 20:53:042025-12-18 20:53:04SEC Charges Bitcoin Miner for Duping Investors Out of $48.5 Million
The bitcoin price dropped sharply today after a brief pump near $90,000, sliding to $84,544 as the price sell-off continued into its second month.
Bitcoin lost 2% over the past 24 hours. It remains 5% below its seven-day high of $89,220 and hovers near the week’s low of $84,596. Trading volume reached $56 billion. Bitcoin’s market capitalization stands at $1.69 trillion. The circulating supply is roughly 19.96 million BTC out of a total 21 million, according to Bitcoin Magazine Pro data.
The drop follows a brief rally that earlier saw the Bitcoin price test $89,000. The surge came after the U.S. released new Consumer Price Index data. Inflation rose 2.7% year over year in November, lower than expected. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, fell to 2.6%, the lowest since early 2021.
Bitcoin jumped from intraday lows near $86,000 to challenge $89,000. Traders viewed the cooler inflation report as a potential signal for looser Federal Reserve policy in 2026. CME FedWatch data suggested slightly higher odds of a rate cut by March, though January moves remain unlikely.
The rally did not last. The bitcoin price failed to break $90,000 and slid to $84,4000. This pattern is familiar: sharp spikes followed by quick retracements.
What’s dragging down the bitcoin price?
A persistent challenge is U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs. These funds, once a major source of demand, have seen net redemptions. The outflows remove institutional support that previously helped stabilize the price. Without consistent ETF inflows, breakouts above $89,000 are harder to sustain.
Other economic indicators add uncertainty. Recent labor market data showed U.S. unemployment rising to 4.6%, its highest since 2021. Job growth remains uneven. The mixed signals complicate Federal Reserve policy, suggesting a cautious approach despite easing inflation.
Political factors add to market complexity. President Donald Trump has publicly urged lower interest rates and suggested nominating a Fed chair favoring aggressive easing. Markets have largely treated the comments as noise, but the statements add a variable to the macro picture.
Technically, the bitcoin price is consolidating rather than trending. Resistance forms just below $90,000. Supply above this level remains strong, held by investors who bought during prior rallies.
Analysts at Bitwise recently suggested Bitcoin could break its historical four-year cycle. The firm noted BTC might reach new all-time highs in 2026 with lower volatility and reduced correlation to equities.
The Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index currently sits at 17/100, signaling extreme fear. Historically, readings in this range have coincided with undervaluation. Contrarian investors see potential buying opportunities, though sentiment remains cautious.
Is $70,000 next?
Technical analysts from Bitcoin Magazine wrote earlier this week that the $84,000 support level is under pressure. If the bitcoin price falls below this point, it could test the $72,000 to $68,000 zone. Initial bounces are expected, but a break below $84,000 could trigger faster declines toward $70,000.
Bitcoin’s price may drop to the $72,000–$68,000 support zone after breaking the $84,000 level, with bears currently in control. A strong bounce is likely from that lower zone, potentially retesting $84,000, though the 4-Year Cycle suggests further downside could occur later in 2026.
Resistance extends from $94,000 to $118,000. Bulls will need substantial buying volume to break above these levels, per Bitcoin Magazine analysts.
Short-term momentum favors sellers. Last week, the Bitcoin price closed the weekly candle in red, failing to sustain gains near $94,000. Bears are well-positioned to push prices lower this week.
At the time of writing, the bitcoin price is $84,812. Trading volume reached $56 billion. Bitcoin’s market capitalization stands at $1.69 trillion. The circulating supply is roughly 19.96 million BTC out of a total 21 million, according to Bitcoin Magazine Pro data.
Ledn, one of the world’s largest bitcoin lenders, announced its Open Book Report, a reserves transparency benchmark designed to expose the kind of risk that caused the 2022 FTX-driven crypto crash.
According to a press release shared with Bitcoin Magazine, “Traditional lenders (including Citi, JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, BNY Mellon, Schwab, and Bank of America) are reportedly entering the space amid a regulatory vacuum in terms of rehypothecation practices and proof of reserves.” With the passing of the GENIUS Act, which greenlit treasury-backed stablecoins, Wall Street now has a road to service the crypto market and even upgrade its own rails and infrastructure.
But there are still those who call for clearer regulatory structure for crypto counter parties, Ledn points out that “Global rules on crypto capital requirements & proof of reserves remain in flux, with the US and UK refusing to implement Basel’s proposed framework,” adding that “IOSCO is pushing regulators to hold crypto custody and lending to the standards of traditional finance, yet almost no institution has disclosed how bitcoin collateral is managed, whether it’s rehypothecated, or what happens in a liquidation scenario.”
John Glover, Chief Investment Officer at Ledn and former Managing Director at Barclays, explained that “If lenders do not have to disclose how they use client collateral, the clients become the leverage. We saw what happened when BlockFi, Celsius, and Voyager operated in the dark. The difference now is that the balance sheets are bigger.” He warned that “This is how we get a 2022-style lending crisis at institutional scale.”
Ledn’s Open Book Report, launched today, showcases “the industry’s longest-running Proof of Reserves,” according to the press release. The report exposes Ledn’s BTC loan book, collateral levels, and aggregate loan-to-value ratios. According to the report, the Network Firm LLP, a U.S.-based certified public accounting firm, independently audited & confirmed that 100% of collateral is held in custody.
The report also reveals “$868 million in outstanding BTC-backed loans, with 18,488 BTC in collateral posted, held 100% BTC in custody; all BTC collateral is held in on-chain addresses and/or custodial accounts.” Ledn’s average loan-to-value ratio stands at 55%, an aggregate LTV well below industry liquidation thresholds. Since 2018, the company has funded “$10.2 billion in lifetime loans across 47,000 originations.”
This framework looks to move the industry past one-off snapshots—starting with monthly disclosures and laying the groundwork for more continuous, real-time transparency over time. Unlike self-reported wallet addresses, Ledn’s approach combines monthly reporting on loan book metrics—including outstanding loans, collateral posted, and average LTV—with reporting from The Network Firm LLP. Ledn also maintains Proof of Reserves attestations on a semiannual basis (every two quarters), confirming that assets exceed client liabilities, with “Merkle tree methodology” enabling clients to confirm their balances were included.
While some companies have announced “proof of reserves” by publishing wallet addresses, Glover argues this falls short. “True transparency requires independent reporting, regular updates, and methodologies anyone can check,” said Glover. “Clients shouldn’t have to take anyone’s word for it.”
Ledn recently received a strategic investment from Tether and has an impeccable track record of protecting client assets across its loan originations, surviving the 2022 crypto lender crisis, and at least one other bear market before that.
The press release warns that “as traditional financial institutions accelerate their entry into bitcoin-backed lending, Ledn’s Open Book Report establishes the baseline against which these new entrants should be held, before regulators mandate it.”
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Ledn-Launches-Private-Wealth-Program-for-Bitcoin-Backed-Lending-zcDCDG.jpg6291200Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-18 15:00:002025-12-18 15:00:00Ledn Publishes Industry-First Monthly Loan Book and Proof of Reserves Data
BitGo, a digital asset infrastructure company, announced it now offers Bitcoin Lightning Network access directly from its qualified custody platform. The move makes it one of the first companies to provide Lightning payments for institutional custody.
The service aims to give clients faster and cheaper Bitcoin transactions while keeping institutional security standards intact. It builds on BitGo’s earlier self-custody Lightning solution.
The new offering is powered through a partnership with Voltage, a Lightning Network infrastructure provider. Clients can now use Lightning without running their own nodes or managing keys. BitGo and Voltage handle infrastructure, channels, liquidity, and key management.
Through simple APIs, clients can create wallets, send payments, generate invoices, and track transactions. The platform integrates fully with BitGo’s existing wallet infrastructure, policies, and permissions.
Enterprises adopting Lightning usually face challenges like maintaining nodes, channels, liquidity, and keys. BitGo removes these hurdles. Institutions can now access Lightning with minimal setup and zero operational overhead.
BitGo, along with Ripple, Circle, Fidelity Digital Assets, and Paxos, received conditional approval from the OCC to become federally chartered national trust banks.
This shift from state to federal oversight allows them to offer nationwide fiduciary and digital asset custody services, enhancing regulatory clarity, institutional confidence, and the mainstream adoption of cryptocurrencies.
Lightning Network hits an all-time high
This move comes as Bitcoin’s Lightning Network hits a new all-time high of 5,637 BTC in capacity, driven largely by institutional inflows even as broader user adoption and node growth lag.
Data from AMBOSS shows the surge, concentrated in November and December, surpasses the previous peak from March 2023, signaling renewed confidence among major exchanges like Binance and OKX, which have added significant BTC to Lightning channels.
Despite rising capacity, the network’s number of nodes and channels remains below historical highs, highlighting a gap between capitalization and widespread use.
The increase coincides with ecosystem developments, including Tether’s $8 million investment in Lightning-focused startup Speed and Lightning Labs’ release of Taproot Assets v0.7, enabling reusable addresses, auditable asset supplies, and larger, more reliable transactions.
These upgrades position the Lightning Network as more than a micropayment system, offering potential for higher-value transfers that leverage Bitcoin’s security, speed, and low fees while expanding real-world financial applications on the network.
“By offering institutional access to Lightning directly from custody, we are allowing our clients to focus on innovation instead of infrastructure,” said Mike Belshe, BitGo CEO and co-founder. “We are combining the speed and lower transaction costs of Lightning with the trusted security of BitGo to make bitcoin practical for everyday payments.”
The bitcoin price (BTC) briefly surged above $90,000 early Wednesday in U.S. trading, only to tumble back below $87,000 within minutes, reflecting a fragile and volatile crypto market.
The largest cryptocurrency rallied from roughly $87,000 to above $90,000 around 10:00 a.m EST before rapidly retracing to the $86,500–$87,500 range.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin price was near $86,000, down over 0.5% over the past 24 hours despite having been higher by more than 3% minutes earlier.
The swift swings triggered more than $190 million in liquidations across crypto derivatives markets, hitting both long positions — bets on rising prices — worth $72 million, and short positions — bets on declines — totaling $121 million, according to CoinGlass data.
Bitcoin price support during an ‘exhausted market’
Market observers point to the sharp losses in AI-focused technology stocks as a primary factor behind Bitcoin’s erratic moves. Shares of Nvidia, Broadcom, and Oracle dropped between 3% and 6%, dragging the Nasdaq down more than 1% in early trading.
Contributing to the deflation in AI sentiment, Blue Owl Capital reportedly withdrew from funding a $10 billion Oracle data center project in Michigan, unsettling traders who had leaned on tech optimism to fuel risk appetite.
“I think we’re now seeing an exhausted market,” Hunter Rogers, co-founder of bitcoin yield protocol TeraHash wrote to Coindesk. “In that environment, even mild selling activity pushes the market lower.”
Shrinking liquidity, particularly over weekend trading periods, amplifies these moves, leaving the bitcoin price vulnerable to sharp whipsaws with limited buy-side support.
Bitcoin price downsides
Technical analysts are closely watching the $80,000–$85,000 range as critical support. Holding this zone could prevent deeper retracement, while a sustained break below it may open the door to further declines.
Short-term caution, however, remains prevalent. Georgii Verbitskii, founder of crypto investment platform TYMIO, warned to DLnews that a prolonged period of consolidation or correction is a likely scenario, with potential downside moves toward $60,000 or $70,000 possible if current levels fail to hold.
Mike McGlone, senior commodity strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, has even suggested Bitcoin could drop as low as $10,000 in 2026, highlighting the divergence of expert opinions on the coming year.
Despite the near-term uncertainty, longer-term narratives remain largely intact. Institutional participation in Bitcoin continues to grow, supported by spot bitcoin ETFs and a more defined regulatory landscape.
Analysts at Bitwise recently released a report suggesting Bitcoin could break away from its historical four-year market cycle, potentially achieving new all-time highs in 2026 while exhibiting lower volatility and reduced correlation with equities.
The Bitwise report argues that Bitcoin’s historical four-year cycle, tied to halvings and marked by gains followed by pullbacks, may no longer hold. Analyst Matt Hougan noted that the traditional drivers — halving effects, interest rate swings, and leverage-driven booms — are weaker now.
He cited diminishing halving impact, expected lower interest rates in 2026, and reduced systemic leverage after October 2025’s record liquidations. Greater regulatory clarity is also seen as reducing the risk of major market crashes, potentially altering the cycle.
The firm also challenged the long-standing criticism that BTC is too volatile for mainstream investors.
According to Bitwise, BTC was less volatile than Nvidia stock throughout 2025, a comparison Hougan says underscores the asset’s ongoing maturation.
Data cited in the report shows bitcoin’s volatility has steadily declined over the past decade as its investor base has diversified and traditional investment vehicles like ETFs have expanded access.
Market in ‘extreme fear’
At the time of writing, the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index sits at 16/100, signaling extreme fear among market participants. This reflects heightened investor anxiety, with many traders potentially overreacting to recent price movements.
Historically, readings in this range have often coincided with undervalued market conditions, suggesting a contrarian buying opportunity for those willing to navigate the emotional volatility.
Yesterday, the market sat near 11/100 despite a higher bitcoin price point. At the time of writing, the bitcoin price is trading below $86,000.
Bhutan has committed up to 10,000 bitcoin to support the long-term development of Gelephu Mindfulness City (GMC), marking one of the most ambitious sovereign uses of bitcoin for national infrastructure and economic development to date.
The Himalayan kingdom unveiled the Bitcoin Development Pledge this week, allocating a portion of its sovereign bitcoin holdings — valued at roughly $860 million to $1 billion at current prices — to back the new special administrative region in southern Bhutan.
Officials emphasized that the allocation is intended to preserve capital over the long term rather than fund near-term spending through asset sales.
Instead, Bhutan is exploring mechanisms such as collateralized lending, treasury and yield strategies, and intentional long-term holding to finance infrastructure and development while maintaining exposure to bitcoin’s potential appreciation.
Final decisions on how the assets will be deployed are expected in the coming months, according to the government.
Gelephu Mindfulness City is central to Bhutan’s broader effort to diversify its economy beyond hydropower and tourism, while remaining aligned with the country’s development philosophy centered on sustainability and social well-being.
The project, launched in 2024, is designed as a future economic hub focused on finance, technology, green energy, healthcare, agriculture, and high-value tourism.
The city spans roughly 1,544 square miles — about 10% of Bhutan’s territory — near the Indian border.
Bitcoin as a commitment to Bhutan’s youth
King Jigme Khesar Namgyel Wangchuck announced the bitcoin commitment during his National Day Address, framing it as a generational investment aimed at creating quality jobs and opportunities for Bhutan’s youth.
“As your King, I must ensure that every Bhutanese is a custodian, stakeholder, and beneficiary of GMC,” he said. “This commitment is for our people, our youth, and our nation.”
A new land policy associated with the project will treat landowners as shareholders in the city’s development, ensuring citizens across all regions share in the economic upside. Since much of the land involved is state-owned, the government says the benefits will be broadly distributed nationwide.
Bhutan’s bitcoin holdings stem from years of state-backed mining operations powered by surplus hydroelectric energy. Beginning around 2019–2020, the country quietly converted excess renewable power into digital assets, positioning itself as one of the earliest sovereign bitcoin miners. Officials say the strategy allows Bhutan to monetize unused energy capacity without increasing environmental impact.
Estimates of Bhutan’s total bitcoin reserves vary by analytics provider, ranging from roughly 6,000 to more than 11,000 BTC, placing the kingdom among the world’s largest sovereign bitcoin holders.
The bitcoin pledge builds on a broader national blockchain strategy already underway. Bhutan has rolled out crypto-enabled payments across its tourism sector through partnerships with DK Bank and Binance Pay, allowing visitors to pay with more than 100 digital assets at hotels, airlines, and local merchants. More than 100 tourism-related businesses now accept crypto payments.
The country has also introduced TER, a sovereign-backed digital token reportedly supported by physical gold reserves, and recently anchored its national digital identity system on Ethereum, enabling nearly 800,000 citizens to access public services through blockchain-based verification.
GMC itself has designated bitcoin and two other crypto as strategic reserve assets, making it one of the earliest jurisdictions to formally hold multiple cryptocurrencies at the municipal or regional level.
Green Digital Ltd., the infrastructure firm leading GMC’s development, is focused on green energy-powered data centers and blockchain infrastructure as part of the city’s long-term vision.
Earlier this month, Bhutan also entered a multi-year partnership with Cumberland DRW to support bitcoin reserve management, sustainable mining expansion, and broader digital asset infrastructure, including potential stablecoin initiatives.
At current bitcoin prices, 10,000 BTC would be worth $877,500,000.
CoinDesk reporting helped with the background of this article.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Bhutan-Pledges-Up-to-10000-Bitcoin-to-Build-Mindfulness-Mega-City-JEJjZY.jpg10801920Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-17 14:47:312025-12-17 14:47:31Bhutan Pledges Up to 10,000 Bitcoin to Build New Mega-City
Hut 8 Corp. announced a sweeping AI infrastructure partnership on Wednesday with AI model developer Anthropic and compute provider Fluidstack, marking a pretty clear signal that the bitcoin miner is pivoting to a large-scale energy and data center developer.
Under the agreement, Hut 8 will develop between 245 megawatts (MW) and up to 2,295 MW of AI-focused data center capacity in the United States, beginning with a flagship project at its River Bend campus in Louisiana.
The partnership is structured across multiple tranches, creating a pathway to scale from an initial deployment to gigawatt-level infrastructure over time.
The first phase centers on a 245 MW IT deployment at River Bend, supported by roughly 330 MW of utility power. Hut 8 will develop the site, while Fluidstack will operate high-performance compute clusters for Anthropic. Construction of the initial data halls is expected to be completed by early 2027.
Beyond the initial phase, Fluidstack has secured a right of first offer for up to an additional 1,000 MW of IT capacity at River Bend, contingent on further power expansion.
A third tranche gives Hut 8 and Anthropic the option to jointly diligence and develop up to 1,050 MW of additional capacity across Hut 8’s broader development pipeline.
Financially, the River Bend project is anchored by a 15-year triple-net lease with Fluidstack valued at approximately $7 billion over the base term, with total contract value rising to roughly $17.7 billion if all renewal options are exercised.
Alphabet-owned Google is providing a financial backstop covering lease payments and certain operating obligations over the base term, underscoring the strategic importance of securing long-term AI compute capacity, per Reuters reporting.
JUST IN: #Bitcoin mining company Hut 8 just announced it partnered with Google for financial backing on a 15-year lease.
Hut 8 shares surged more than 20% in premarket trading following the announcement, extending a rally that has seen the stock rise roughly 80% year-to-date.
Investors appear to be rewarding the company’s pivot toward AI infrastructure at a time when access to power, cooling, and suitable real estate has become a bottleneck for leading model developers.
“Scaling frontier AI infrastructure is, at its core, a power challenge,” Hut 8 CEO Asher Genoot said in a statement, emphasizing the company’s “power-first” development strategy.
He added that the partnership aligns power sourcing, data center design, and compute deployment into a single integrated platform capable of operating at gigawatt scale.
For Anthropic, the deal expands an existing relationship with Fluidstack and provides a new channel for bringing capacity online as demand for advanced models continues to grow.
“Hut 8’s ability to source and deliver infrastructure at scale provides the runway necessary to continue advancing the capabilities of our models,” said James Bradbury, Anthropic’s head of compute.
The agreement also reflects a broader industry shift. Former crypto miners such as Hut 8, CoreWeave, or Bitfarms are increasingly repurposing their energy-heavy infrastructure for AI workloads as demand for Nvidia-powered compute accelerates.
While execution risk remains — particularly around power delivery timelines and construction— Hut 8’s latest deal positions it among a small but growing group of firms bridging the worlds of energy, AI, and large-scale digital infrastructure.
Hut 8 recently reduced some of its bitcoin holdings by 389 BTC during the last month, standing out among a small group of miners and corporates trimming exposure.
While some firms added modest amounts and ETF flows turned positive, the data points to a split market in which Hut 8 and a few others acted as sellers amid pressure, contrasting with disciplined treasury buyers and programmatic accumulation elsewhere.
At the time of writing, Hut 8 shares are up 17%. Earlier in pre-market trading, shares were up over 25% at times. The price per share is currently $43.75.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Bitcoin-Miner-Hut-8-Secures-Google-Backed-Deal-to-Build-Up-to-2.3-GW-of-AI-Capacity-QozhDz.jpg10801920Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-17 14:22:122025-12-17 14:22:12Bitcoin Miner Hut 8 Secures Google-Backed Deal to Build Up to 2.3 GW of AI Capacity
Hood River County, Oregon – December 16th, 2025 – This month last year, Abundant Mines quietly began to launch a feature that would go on to change how the bitcoin mining industry defines performance. Today, the company is celebrating the one-year anniversary of Hashrate Redirect, a pioneering system that ensures clients continue earning bitcoin even when their machines are offline.
For too long, mining providers have misled customers with uptime metrics that measure whether a facility has power, not whether a machine is actually hashing. A rig could be powered off, broken, or awaiting repairs and still count toward a provider’s claimed “98% uptime.” The result is lost bitcoin, lost revenue, and lost trust.
Abundant Mines set out to correct this.
“When we introduced Hashrate Redirect a year ago, we didn’t make a big announcement. We simply built the solution we wished had existed when we were clients,” said Beau Turner, Co-Founder and CEO of Abundant Mines. “Twelve months later, the results speak for themselves: our clients continue earning even when their machines are offline, and the industry standard for uptime is shifting toward truth and transparency.”
A Year of Real Results: Uptime That Actually Means Performance
Instead of measuring uptime by whether a building has power or not, Abundant Mines measures rig uptime – the percentage of time an individual machine is hashing and producing bitcoin. When a rig goes offline for repairs, RMA, or maintenance, Hashrate Redirect replaces the lost hashrate with hash from Abundant Mines’ operational fleet.
The loss of hash is tracked immediately, and the redirection happens within days, not at the end of the month or year. The result is a continuous bitcoin revenue stream for clients, even during downtime.
Over the past year, Hashrate Redirect has:
Protected clients from hours of lost earnings
Redirected hashrate for machines without interruption
Preserved significant bitcoin rewards that would otherwise have been missed.
“Hashrate Redirect is simple but powerful,” said Turner. “We give you hash, not cash. Because you’re not mining for credits or refunds, you’re here to earn bitcoin and help secure the network.”
Why Timing Matters: Capturing Bitcoin’s Full Value
Bitcoin’s value is time-sensitive. Block rewards are issued every 10 minutes, and once they’re gone, they’re gone forever. If a rig is offline during a price surge or halving cycle, the lost opportunity can compound into significant missed revenue.
By replacing hashrate continuously, not with delayed end- of -year credit, or even end-of-month credit, Abundant Mines ensures that clients capture the full earning potential of every block, especially during high-value market windows.
“With bitcoin’s price climbing and the network becoming more competitive, uptime precision isn’t just a technical detail. It is the difference between winning and falling behind,” said Turner. “Hashrate Redirect makes sure our clients stay ahead.”
Why Weekly Hashrate Matters More Than One-Time Credits
Most mining providers only offer compensation for downtime once or twice a year, often in the form of a one-time hashrate allocation or bill credit. On paper, this may seem like a fair solution. In reality, it is too little and far too late.
Bitcoin rewards are not static. They are distributed every 10 minutes, and their value changes constantly based on market price and network difficulty. If your machine is offline for weeks or months, those missed rewards cannot be recreated later – even if a provider offers you a lump sum or short burst of extra hashrate at the end of the year.
Abundant Mines takes a different approach. With Hashrate Redirect, we replace any downtime with hashrate from our personal fleet. This means you continue earning bitcoin on a rolling basis, staying aligned with market conditions and capturing opportunities in real time.
This approach matters because:
Missed blocks are missed forever. Once they’re mined, they cannot be recreated later.
Network difficulty volatility impacts rewards. Weekly redirection ensures you maximize bitcoin earnings, so that you are not punished for hashing later when difficulty has risen significantly.Compounding matters. Bitcoin earned earlier can be held, deployed, or compounded, creating significantly greater long-term value.
“Timing is everything in bitcoin mining,” said Turner. “By replacing hashrate weekly instead of issuing delayed payouts, we ensure our clients never miss the most valuable moments to earn.”
Setting a Higher Standard
One year after launch, Hashrate Redirect has become more than a feature. It is a new benchmark for performance and a reflection of Abundant Mines’ commitment to transparency, accuracy, and client protection.
“Mining should mean performance, not just power,” Turner said. “Hashrate Redirect has proven that principle for a full year, and we are only getting started.”
About Abundant Mines
Abundant Mines is a premium bitcoin mining and energy infrastructure company based in Oregon. Committed to transparency, reliability, and impact, Abundant Mines designs, builds, and operates advanced mining facilities that align energy abundance with digital value creation. Its mission is to make bitcoin mining more accessible, more dependable, and more profitable for individuals and institutions worldwide.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Abundant-Mines-Featured-Image-NZhQRw.jpg10801920Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-17 02:45:102025-12-17 02:45:10Celebrating One Year of Hashrate Redirect™: How Abundant Mines Redefined Uptime and Protected Millions in Client Bitcoin Rewards
American Bitcoin Corp. (Nasdaq: ABTC) has entered the top 20 publicly traded bitcoin treasury companies by holdings after growing its strategic reserve to approximately 5,098 BTC as of December 14, according to company disclosures.
The Miami-based firm said its bitcoin was accumulated through a combination of in-house mining and strategic market purchases. The total includes bitcoin held in custody as well as BTC pledged as collateral for miner purchases under a supply agreement with hardware manufacturer Bitmain, per the company release.
Based on rankings from BitcoinTreasuries.net, the milestone places American Bitcoin among the largest public bitcoin holders globally, just over three months after its Nasdaq listing.
As part of its treasury reporting, the company also highlighted growth in its proprietary Satoshis Per Share (SPS) metric, which measures the amount of bitcoin attributable to each outstanding common share. As of December 8, SPS stood at 507 satoshis per share, representing a more than 17% increase in just over one month.
American Bitcoin is also introducing a new disclosure metric, Bitcoin Yield, which tracks the percentage change in SPS over a defined period. The company said the combined metrics are intended to give investors clearer insight into both per-share bitcoin exposure and how that exposure evolves over time.
“I am incredibly proud of our tremendous growth,” said Eric Trump, co-founder and chief strategy officer of American Bitcoin. “In just over three months since our Nasdaq listing, we have surged past dozens of companies — propelling us into the top 20 publicly traded bitcoin treasury companies.”
Earlier this month, American Bitcoin reported adding roughly 416 BTC in a single week, lifting holdings from approximately 4,783 BTC as of December 8.
The company said its accumulation strategy prioritizes long-term bitcoin exposure over short-term price movements, supported by an operating model designed to maximize BTC retention.
JUST IN: Trump family backed American #Bitcoin increases its BTC holdings to 5,098 BTC.
In early December, the American Bitcoin stock (ABTC) plunged more than 50% shortly after markets opened, triggering multiple trading halts and erasing months of speculative gains.
The stock fell to an intraday low of $1.75 before recovering slightly, though it remained down over 35% at the time of writing.
The sell-off followed a broader downturn in crypto markets, with bitcoin sliding into the mid-$85,000 range. Nearly $1 billion in leveraged crypto positions were liquidated the day before, worsening already fragile market conditions.
Now, with Bitcoin trading above $87,000, $ABTC shares trade down at $1.61 per share.
Bitcoin treasury companies have been hit hard by Bitcoin’s disappointing price action throughout 2025. Publicly traded firms holding significant BTC reserves are suffering the most, with leaders like (Micro)Strategy pushing aggressive accumulation amid headwinds—yet most now trade below net asset value, creating a rare opportunity for risk-tolerant strategic investors.
Figure 1: Tracking BTC holdings of the top public Bitcoin Treasury Companies. View live chart.
The Bitcoin Treasury Companies Landscape
Not all Bitcoin treasury companies are created equally. Strategy stands apart as the industry standard-bearer, the “Bitcoin among treasury companies,” as it were. The company has maintained its accumulation discipline even as its stock has suffered, recently announcing a $1.44 billion USD reserve specifically designed to pay dividends and debt obligations without forcing Bitcoin sales.
This capital buffer theoretically eliminates the need for excessive dilutive share issuance or forced BTC liquidation, a critical distinction from weaker competitors. Many will likely face shareholder pressure and potential forced selling as their stock prices decline, creating a cascade of supply pressure that could paradoxically benefit the strongest players like MSTR.
Valuation Dynamics of Bitcoin Treasury Companies
The most compelling aspect of current treasury company valuations is that they now trade below net asset value on a per-share basis. In practical terms, you can currently purchase one dollar’s worth of Bitcoin for less than one dollar through treasury company stock. This represents an arbitrage opportunity for investors, though one accompanied by elevated volatility and company-specific risks.
Figure 2: Bitcoin Magazine Pro’s top 20 public Bitcoin Treasury Company HODLboard. View live table.
Strategy currently sits at a net asset value premium of less than 1, meaning the company’s market capitalization is below the value of its Bitcoin holdings alone. The upside scenario is striking. If Bitcoin reclaims its previous all-time high around $126,000, Strategy continues accumulating toward 700,000 BTC, and the market assigns even a modest 1.5x to 1.75x net asset value premium, Strategy could approach the $500 region per share.
From Weak to Strong: The Future of Bitcoin Treasury Companies
Examining Strategy’s performance during the previous Bitcoin bear market and overlaying it onto the current cycle reveals eerie alignment. The bar patterns suggest current price levels represent reasonable support, with only a catastrophic final flush justified by Bitcoin weakness providing reason to expect substantially lower levels.
As weaker treasury companies face forced selling, a consolidation thesis emerges, that Strategy and similar strong-positioned players will potentially accumulate cheap Bitcoin from distressed sellers, further concentrating holdings in the most disciplined accumulators. This dynamic mirrors Bitcoin’s own consolidation process, weaker hands sell, stronger hands accumulate, and the asset becomes more concentrated among conviction holders.
Conclusion: Opportunity in Bitcoin Treasury Companies
Bitcoin treasury companies have for the most part delivered disappointing returns in 2025, but this performance has created a window of exceptional opportunity for disciplined investors. At current valuations, Strategy is essentially selling one dollar of Bitcoin for approximately 90 cents, a discount that becomes even more attractive if Bitcoin experiences one final capitulation flush. The probability of this scenario combined with Strategy’s positioned upside creates asymmetric risk-reward worthy of small, carefully-sized positions within aggressive portfolios.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.
President Donald Trump said he’ll review the case of Keonne Rodriguez, co-founder of Samourai Wallet, as questions mount over the federal conviction of the Bitcoin privacy software developer.
When asked about Rodriguez’s upcoming prison sentence, Trump said, “I’ve heard about it. I’ll look at it.”
“I don’t know anything about it,” President Trump said. “But we’ll take a look.”
Rodriguez publicly acknowledged Trump’s sentiment, tweeting “Your continued noise is working. Thank you to everyone pushing @realDonaldTrump to pardon Bill and me. Let’s get this over the line. #pardonsamourai”
Rodriguez, along with co-founder William “Bill” Hill, was convicted of conspiracy to operate an unlicensed money transmitting business, a charge stemming from Samourai Wallet, a Bitcoin privacy tool that allowed users to mix coins and maintain financial anonymity without giving up custody of their funds.
JUST IN: President Trump says he will consider a pardon for the CEO of privacy-focused Bitcoin wallet Samourai.
The case, which began under the Biden administration and continued through the Trump Justice Department, culminated in Rodriguez receiving a five-year sentence and Hill four years, though Hill’s age and recent autism diagnosis led to a reduced sentence.
Critics of the prosecution argue the case represents a dangerous precedent for the cryptocurrency industry. The U.S. Department of Justice claimed that Samourai Wallet facilitated over $2 billion in unlawful transactions and laundered more than $100 million from criminal sources. However, only the “unlicensed money transmission” charge survived a high-profile trial, raising questions about the strength of the case.
Samourai Wallet’s mixing services, Whirlpool and Ricochet, were designed to obscure the origin of criminal proceeds from activities including drug trafficking, darknet marketplaces, fraud, cybercrime, and murder-for-hire operations.
Court documents reveal the developers actively encouraged criminal use, describing the service as “money laundering for bitcoin” and promoting its tools on darknet forums.
The Department of Justice framed the case as part of a broader crackdown on crypto mixing services. Rodriguez had requested a light sentence, but the court imposed the statutory five-year maximum.
Trump’s comments come amid his campaign promises to defend the right to self-custody and financial privacy. During the 2024 Bitcoin Conference in Nashville, he pledged to end what he described as the “anti-crypto crusade” of the prior administration.
With Rodriguez set to report to prison on December 18 and Hill already sentenced, the Trump administration faces a high-profile decision that could shape the future of financial privacy, software development, and cryptocurrency regulation in the United States.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Trump-Says-He-Will-Consider-A-Pardon-for-Samourai-Bitcoin-Wallet-Co-Founder-xF1RPF.jpg10801920Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-15 22:20:112025-12-15 22:20:11Trump Says He Will Consider A Pardon for Samourai Bitcoin Wallet Co-Founder
Bitcoin price endured another grim weekend, bleeding from the low-$92,000 range on Thursday to weekend lows near $87,000 as thin liquidity and sell pressure weighed on risk appetite.
The move below $90,000 came during typically illiquid Sunday trading, amplifying downside volatility as traders positioned cautiously ahead of a dense slate of U.S. economic data and central bank events this week.
At the lows, the bitcoin price was down roughly 7% on the month, continuing a choppy consolidation that has defined price action since October’s all-time high, per Bitcoin Magazine Pro data.
Broader crypto markets showed little sign of strength.
Major altcoins including Solana, XRP, Dogecoin and Cardano continued to slide, extending double-digit monthly losses and reinforcing bitcoin’s dominance near 57% of total crypto market capitalization. Volumes remained muted, reflecting a lack of conviction rather than outright capitulation.
Macro overhangs remain front and center. In the U.S., traders are bracing for employment data, inflation prints, PMI readings and Fed commentary that could reshape rate expectations.
Globally, attention is turning to Japan, where the Bank of Japan is widely expected to raise rates later this week — an event that could pressure yen-funded carry trades that have helped support risk assets, including bitcoin, over the past year.
Technically, analysts are watching the mid-$80,000s closely. A sustained break below that zone could invite a deeper correction, while holding it would reinforce the idea that the bitcoin price remains range-bound rather than entering a new bear phase.
How low will the Bitcoin price go?
Despite the uneasy backdrop, some of the loudest bearish calls are running far ahead of the data. Bloomberg Intelligence strategist Mike McGlone warned this week that the bitcoin price could collapse as much as 90% from its peak, potentially revisiting $10,000 in a future deflationary downturn.
The forecast echoes prior bearish calls and comes as leveraged long positions continue to unwind, with roughly $230 million in bitcoin longs liquidated over the past 24 hours.
On-chain data, however, tells a far more nuanced story.
Bitcoin Magazine Pro’s Price Forecast Tools — built on network fundamentals rather than sentiment — suggest the market is trading below fair value, not on the brink of structural collapse.
Aggregated indicators such as CVDD, Balanced Price and the Bitcoin Cycle Master currently point to a fair market value near $106,000, with long-term downside risk clustering closer to the $80,000 range rather than anywhere near five figures.
Historically, these metrics have aligned closely with cycle tops and bottoms, offering a framework that cuts through short-term noise.
While macro conditions will continue to dictate volatility, on-chain signals suggest the current drawdown looks more like late-cycle consolidation than the start of a generational unwind.
At the time of writing, the bitcoin price is $89,317.
Strategy, the world’s largest publicly traded bitcoin holder, added nearly another $1 billion worth of BTC last week, marking its second consecutive mega-purchase as bitcoin prices pulled back toward the $90,000 level.
The company acquired 10,645 bitcoin for approximately $980.3 million, paying an average price of $92,098 per BTC, according to a filing released Monday.
Strategy now holds 671,268 bitcoin, purchased for a total of $50.33 billion, giving it an average acquisition cost of $74,972 per coin.
As with recent purchases, the acquisition was funded primarily through equity issuance. The company raised $888.2 million through sales of common stock, with the remainder coming from sales of its STRD preferred shares.
Despite ongoing concerns around shareholder dilution, the company has aggressively leaned on equity markets to increase its bitcoin exposure.
The latest buy comes amid a broader pullback in bitcoin, which dipped below $90,000 over the weekend before stabilizing near $89,600. MSTR shares were flat in premarket trading Monday.
The purchase stands out not only for its size, but for its timing. While Strategy has been a steady buyer throughout 2025, most of its weekly acquisitions in recent months were relatively modest due to fundraising constraints.
Over the past two weeks, however, Executive Chairman Michael Saylor has ramped up purchases, signaling renewed conviction despite volatility in both bitcoin and Strategy’s stock.
Strategy ($MSTR) stays on the Nasdaq 100
Separately, MSTR confirmed it will remain a constituent of the Nasdaq 100, maintaining its position in the index under the technology category.
The company has also pushed back against proposals from index provider MSCI, which is reviewing whether to exclude bitcoin treasury companies from its benchmarks.
In the letter, Strategy argued that their proposed digital asset threshold is “misguided” and would have “profoundly harmful consequences.”
MSCI is expected to make a final decision in January.
The company, formerly known as MicroStrategy, pivoted from enterprise software to a bitcoin-focused treasury strategy in 2020. The model has since been replicated by dozens of firms, though critics argue these companies increasingly resemble bitcoin investment vehicles rather than operating businesses.
Still, Saylor has remains unapologetic and bold in his purchasing decisions. As of December 14, 2025, Strategy reports a year-to-date BTC yield of 24.9%, showing its commitment to accumulating bitcoin regardless of short-term market or equity price pressures.
At the time of writing, bitcoin is trading near $89,650.
Coinbase is reportedly preparing to launch its own prediction markets, powered by U.S.-based operator Kalshi, in a move that could expand the types of assets available on the exchange amid cooling investor interest in cryptocurrencies, according to reporting from Bloomberg and CNBC.
The announcement is expected to come next week, coinciding with Coinbase’s “Coinbase System Update” showcase on Dec. 17. While the exchange declined to confirm specifics, it encouraged users to tune into the livestream for updates.
Rumors of the new prediction markets have been circulating for nearly a month. In mid-November, tech researcher Jane Manchun Wong shared a screenshot of what appeared to be Coinbase’s prediction markets dashboard.
The Information first reported the planned launch on Nov. 19, and Bloomberg later cited a source saying the event would also feature the rollout of tokenized stocks.
Coinbase as an ‘everything’ exchange
Coinbase’s moves align with CEO Brian Armstrong’s long-stated vision of building an “everything exchange” — a single platform offering access to crypto tokens, tokenized equities, and event-based contracts.
Armstrong told investors in May that Coinbase aims to become a leading financial services app within the next decade.
The exchange is accelerating these initiatives amid rising competition from firms such as Robinhood, Gemini, and Kraken
Over the past year, these platforms have expanded tokenized stock offerings outside the U.S. and explored prediction markets, reflecting growing demand for alternative trading instruments.
The timing also comes as investor sentiment toward digital assets has cooled. A wave of liquidations in highly leveraged positions in mid-October triggered a crypto market pullback, prompting some investors to shift capital into safer assets.
For Kalshi, the partnership marks another step in its strategy to integrate event contracts into mainstream trading platforms.
Earlier this year, the company embedded its prediction markets into Robinhood, and it is reportedly in discussions with other brokers, including those in crypto, to expand its reach.
Prediction markets let users speculate on outcomes ranging from elections to sports games, and they have grown increasingly popular over the past year. Traditional exchanges and crypto platforms alike are now exploring them as a new way to engage traders.
Gemini recently received approval to roll out its own prediction markets, while Crypto.com has partnered with the Trump Media & Technology Group on similar initiatives.
Coinbase’s planned in-house tokenized stock offerings would put it on par with competitors like Robinhood and Kraken, which currently offer similar products outside the U.S.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Coinbase-is-About-to-Launch-Prediction-Markets-and-Tokenized-Stocks-Report-QBgsjf.jpg10801920Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-12 20:00:562025-12-12 20:00:56Coinbase is About to Launch Prediction Markets and Tokenized Stocks: Report
The bitcoin price was trading in the $92,000 range earlier today but has now dropped back toward $90,000, reflecting continued volatility despite the U.S. Federal Reserve’s 25-basis-point rate cut.
After briefly spiking above $93,000 yesterday, the crypto fell below $90,000 and stabilized around $90,600 at the time of writing.
The pullback comes amid mixed signals from the Fed. While the rate cut to 3.50%–3.75% was widely anticipated, Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s cautious remarks and a 9–3 split among FOMC members — one favoring a deeper 50-basis-point cut and two opposing any reduction — tempered enthusiasm for risk assets, including BTC.
Analysts described the decline as a “sell the fact” reaction, since markets had already priced in the move.
On top of this, Vanguard Group has begun allowing clients to trade spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), marking a notable expansion in access to crypto products for the $12 trillion asset manager’s investors.
Yet, Vanguard’s senior leadership emphasized that its fundamental view of BTC and other cryptocurrencies remains skeptical.
John Ameriks, Vanguard’s global head of quantitative equity, said Thursday at Bloomberg’s ETFs in Depth conference that Bitcoin is better seen as a speculative collectible than a productive asset.
Comparing it to a viral plush toy, Ameriks highlighted that BTC lacks income, compounding potential, and cash-flow generation — the core attributes Vanguard looks for in long-term investments.
“Absent clear evidence that the underlying technology delivers durable economic value, it’s difficult for me to think about Bitcoin as anything more than a digital Labubu,” he said, according to Bloomberg.
Despite this caution, Vanguard’s decision to allow trading of BTC ETFs on its platform was influenced by the growing track record of such products since the first BTC ETF launched in January 2024.
Ameriks said the firm wanted to ensure these ETFs accurately reflect their advertised holdings and perform as expected.
Banks engaging with bitcoin
Earlier this week, PNC Bank became the first major U.S. bank to offer direct spot bitcoin trading to eligible Private Bank clients through its digital platform, using Coinbase’s Crypto-as-a-Service infrastructure.
The launch follows a strategic partnership announced in July and reflects a growing trend among U.S. banks to integrate bitcoin into wealth management services.
Also last week, the Bank of America urged its wealth management clients to allocate 1% to 4% of their portfolios to digital assets, signaling a major shift in its approach to Bitcoin exposure.
As of today, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $90,115.85, with a circulating supply of nearly 19.96 million BTC and a market cap of $1.81 trillion.
Prices have fluctuated modestly over the past week, reflecting the broader market’s volatility.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Bitcoin-Falls-Below-90000-As-Vanguard-Exec-Struggles-With-Bitcoin-Value-v9CjTT.jpg10801920Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-12 19:29:022025-12-12 19:29:02Bitcoin Falls Below $90,000 As Vanguard Exec Struggles With Bitcoin Value
The U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) has granted conditional approvals for five digital asset firms — Ripple, Circle, Fidelity Digital Assets, BitGo, and Paxos — to become federally chartered national trust banks, marking a major milestone in the integration of cryptocurrency into traditional finance.
Once finalized, these institutions will join roughly 60 other national trust banks regulated by the OCC, gaining the ability to offer fiduciary and custody services nationwide.
Unlike larger national banks, trust banks cannot accept cash deposits or make loans, but they can hold and manage customers’ digital assets.
‘Huge news’ for crypto
Circle, issuer of the $78 billion USDC stablecoin, said the charter would enhance the safety and regulatory oversight of its reserves while enabling fiduciary digital asset custody for institutional clients.
CEO Jeremy Allaire emphasized that the federal charter would provide “greater clarity and confidence” to institutions building on Circle’s platform as stablecoins gain mainstream adoption.
Paxos, known for PYUSD and the consortium-backed Global Dollar (USDG), said federal oversight would allow businesses to issue, custody, trade, and settle digital assets with clarity and confidence.
The firm, which has operated under a New York Department of Financial Services (NYDFS) charter since 2015, first applied for a federal charter in 2020.
BitGo, a South Dakota–based crypto custodian, said the federal charter would allow it to expand services nationwide, including trading, staking, stablecoin, and treasury offerings for institutions. BitGo has also filed to go public, reporting $4.19 billion in revenue for the first half of 2025, up from $1.12 billion during the same period in 2024.
The approvals reflect a broader trend toward federal oversight of digital assets, coming after Anchorage Digital became the first federally chartered crypto bank in the U.S. Other firms, including Coinbase, Bridge (owned by Stripe), and Crypto.com, have also applied for federal charters.
OCC Comptroller Jonathan V. Gould emphasized that new entrants into the federal banking sector benefit consumers, foster competition, and promote innovation.
“The OCC will continue to provide a path for both traditional and innovative approaches to financial services to ensure the federal banking system keeps pace with the evolution of finance and supports a modern economy,” Gould said.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Five-Crypto-Firms-Win-Conditional-Approvals-as-National-Trust-Banks-Including-Fidelity-and-BitGo-2C7LKc.jpg10801920Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-12 18:28:182025-12-12 18:28:18Five Crypto Firms Win Conditional Approvals as National Trust Banks, Including Fidelity and BitGo
The Bitcoin Magazine Pro Price Forecast Tools chart provides a comprehensive framework for identifying potential price floors during bear cycles and forecasting upside targets based on on-chain fundamentals and network-derived data points. By aggregating multiple metrics, this methodology has historically called Bitcoin market cycle peaks and bottoms with remarkable accuracy. Can these tools continue to provide a basis for reliable BTC price forecasting over the next 12 months and beyond?
The Cumulative Value Days Destroyed (CVDD) metric has historically called Bitcoin price cycle lows almost to perfection across every cycle since Bitcoin’s inception. This metric begins with Coin Days Destroyed, a measure that weights Bitcoin transfers by the duration they were held before movement. For example, holding 1 Bitcoin for 100 days produces 100 coin days destroyed when transferred, while holding 0.1 Bitcoin for the same result requires 1,000 days of holding. Large spikes indicate that the network’s most experienced long-term holders are transferring significant amounts of Bitcoin.
Figure 1: The convergence of the CVDD and Balanced Price with BTC price has historically aligned with bear market lows.View Live Chart
The CVDD takes this one step further by measuring the USD valuation at the time of transfer rather than just the coin days destroyed quantity alone. This value is then multiplied by 6 million to produce the final metric. When examined across Bitcoin’s entire history, the CVDD has indicated bear market lows with accuracy extending across every cycle. Currently, the CVDD sits at approximately $45,000, though this level trends upward over time as the metric naturally evolves with new transfers and Bitcoin’s price appreciation.
The Balanced Price metric complements this downside projection by subtracting the Transferred Price (its calculation methodology is explained later) from the Realized Price, the cost basis or average accumulation price for all bitcoin holders, providing another historically accurate bear cycle low signal.
The Top Cap metric begins with the all-time average cap, the cumulative sum of Bitcoin’s market capitalisation divided by the number of days Bitcoin has existed. This all-time weighted moving average is then multiplied by 35 to produce the Top Cap. Historically, this metric has been remarkably accurate for calling bull market peaks, though in recent cycles it has exceeded actual price action, currently projecting to a seemingly unattainable ~$620,000.
The Delta Top refines this approach by using the realized cap. The realized cap currently stands at approximately $1.1 trillion. Delta Top is calculated by subtracting the average cap from the realized cap and multiplying by 7. This metric has been accurate historically, though it was slightly off during the 2021 cycle, and it is looking more likely that it will not be reached in the current cycle, currently sitting at approximately $270,000.
Figure 2: Delta Top and Terminal Price metrics have frequently aligned with market tops.View Live Chart
The Terminal Price metric provides another layer of sophistication. It calculates the Transferred Price, the sum of Coin Days Destroyed divided by the Circulating Bitcoin Supply, and multiplies this by 21 (the maximum Bitcoin supply). This produces a price level based on the fundamental assumption of total network value distributed across all 21 million Bitcoins. Historically, the Terminal Price has been one of the most accurate top-calling tools, marking previous cycle peaks nearly to perfection. This metric currently sits at approximately $290,000, not too far above Delta Top’s current value.
Bitcoin Cycle Master: Aggregated Bitcoin Price Fair Value Framework
Integrating all these individual metrics into a unified framework produces the Bitcoin Cycle Master chart, which combines these on-chain forecast tools for confluence. This has helped to identify where Bitcoin may be in a cycle, either close to bull or bear market highs, or oscillating around its ‘Fair Market Value’.
Figure 3: The Bitcoin Cycle Master currently indicates a Fair Market Value of approximately $106,000.View Live Chart
Examining the past two cycles demonstrates the utility of this framework. When Bitcoin trades above the Fair Market Value band, bull markets have historically entered exponential growth phases. When beneath this band, Bitcoin typically signals bear market conditions where defensive positioning and aggressive accumulation become appropriate strategies.
By extracting raw data from the price forecast tools and projecting the slope of both the CVDD and Terminal Price forward to the end of 2026, two scenarios emerge. The CVDD, which has moved at a predictable rate of change over the past 90 days, projects to approximately $80,000 by December 31, 2026. This level could represent a potential bear cycle floor, though Bitcoin has already traded beneath this level during recent downward moves, suggesting current prices may already offer compelling value.
Figure 4: Extrapolating the CVDD and Terminal Price metrics across 2026 provides a considerable range for potential BTC price action.
The Terminal Price, extrapolating its current upward trend, could reach over $500,000 by the end of 2026, though this projection could only be a realistic outcome with a bullish macro environment with significant liquidity injections and broad realization of Bitcoin’s fundamental value proposition.
Conclusion: What Bitcoin Price Forecast Tools Are Signaling for 2025–2026
These Bitcoin price forecast tools, formulated using on-chain fundamental and network-derived data points rather than psychological levels or traditional technical analysis applicable to equities and commodities, have historically provided exceptional accuracy in calling market cycle peaks and bottoms. Forecasting based on their current values suggests a potential bear cycle floor in the $80,000 range by the end of 2026, with upside targets potentially reaching over $500,000, depending on macro conditions and capital flows.
While these projections represent extrapolations of current trends rather than certainties, the historical accuracy and on-chain foundation of these metrics warrant serious consideration. Investors and traders should continue monitoring both the raw price forecast tools and the aggregated Bitcoin Cycle Master framework to identify fair valuation levels, extreme overvaluation warnings, and attractive accumulation zones within the current cycle. However, all projections change daily as new data emerges, making reactive analysis superior to long-term prediction.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.
A major rule change is being considered by MSCI, one of the most influential index providers in global markets. If adopted, it would materially alter how public companies that hold digital assets—particularly Bitcoin—are classified and included in major equity indexes.
For companies, investors, asset managers, and anyone who depends on index-based benchmarks, this proposal raises fundamental questions about how markets define operating businesses and what role balance sheets should play in index eligibility.
Join the call for MSCI to withdraw its digital asset exclusion rule.
Here’s what’s at stake—and why it matters.
1. MSCI Is Proposing a New 50% Balance-Sheet Threshold
At the center of the proposal is a simple rule:
If digital assets make up 50% or more of a company’s total assets, that company would be excluded from MSCI’s Global Investable Market Indexes.
MSCI’s rationale is that crossing this threshold allegedly changes the company’s “primary business,” making it more fund-like rather than operational.
This single ratio would override all other indicators of what the company actually does.
2. The Proposal Misclassifies Operating Companies as Investment Funds
The core objection is straightforward: holding Bitcoin on a balance sheet does not transform an operating company into an investment fund.
Operating companies generate revenue from products and services
They employ people, invest in R&D, and serve customers
Treasury assets exist to support long-term capital strategy
By contrast, investment funds exist solely to manage portfolios for return.
Treating these two structures as equivalent—based on a balance-sheet ratio alone—collapses a distinction that has long been foundational to corporate and securities law.
If your organization relies on clear, fundamentals-based definitions of operating companies, this misclassification matters. Bitcoin For Corporations is asking MSCI to withdraw the proposal and engage on a more principled framework. You can add your name to the open letter here.
3. Treasury Strategy Does Not Redefine Core Business Activity
A company can change how it stores excess capital without changing what it does.
A manufacturer that holds cash remains a manufacturer
A software firm holding foreign currency remains a software firm
A company holding Bitcoin as treasury reserve remains an operating company
Treasury allocation is a capital management decision, not a change in business model.
4. This Would Be a Radical Departure From Decades of Index Practice
Historically, index classification has been driven by operational reality, not asset composition alone.
Primary business determination has relied on:
Revenue sources
Earnings contribution
Ongoing commercial activity
This proposal replaces that holistic approach with a single market-price-driven metric on the asset side of the balance sheet—something never applied consistently across asset classes before.
5. Digital Assets Are Being Singled Out—Uniquely
Under the proposal:
A company with 51% of assets in Bitcoin → excluded
A company with 51% in real estate → included
A company with 51% in equities or commodities → included
No equivalent rule exists for other treasury assets.
This lack of neutrality directly conflicts with the principles that global indexes are supposed to uphold.
6. The Proposal Conflicts With Core Index Principles
MSCI’s benchmarks are built on three foundational ideas:
Neutrality – no asset-class favoritism
Representativeness – reflecting real economic activity
Stability – avoiding unnecessary churn
A rule that reclassifies companies based on volatile market prices undermines all three.
7. The Rule Would Introduce Structural Instability Into Indexes
Consider a company with:
45% of assets in digital form → eligible
No operational change
Normal market appreciation pushes it to 51%
Under the proposal, that company would suddenly be excluded—despite:
No change in revenue
No change in operations
No change in business strategy
This creates a scenario where companies could flip in and out of indexes purely due to price movement, forcing unnecessary rebalancing, costs, and tracking error for index-linked funds.
This kind of mechanical instability would impose real costs on index-tracking funds, issuers, and long-term investors—without improving market clarity. That’s why companies and market participants are urging MSCI to withdraw the proposal and revisit it with industry input. Join the call for MSCI to withdraw this rule proposal, and add your signature to the open letter here.
8. A More Robust Alternative Already Exists
The issue is not classification—it’s how classification is done.
A principles-based, multi-factor framework would evaluate:
Revenue and earnings mix
Legal and regulatory status
Core corporate activities (employees, R&D, capex)
Public disclosures and stated strategy
This approach reflects the entire business, not a single fluctuating ratio.
9. The Coalition’s Ask Is Clear and Constructive
Market participants are calling for a two-step solution:
Withdraw the current proposal due to its structural flaws
Engage with the market to develop a neutral, principles-based framework that preserves index integrity
The goal is not special treatment—but consistent treatment aligned with long-standing market norms.
Why This Matters
Indexes are not academic exercises. They:
Guide trillions of dollars in capital allocation
Shape passive investment flows
Influence cost of capital for public companies
If index rules become arbitrary, unstable, or asset-specific, they stop reflecting the real economy—and start distorting it.
Final Thought
If your organization depends on fundamentals-based equity benchmarks, this proposal affects you—whether or not you hold digital assets today.
Indexes only work when they remain neutral, stable, and grounded in operating reality. Market participants are asking MSCI to withdraw the proposed digital asset rule and work toward a principles-based alternative.If you or your organization depend on fair and consistent equity benchmarks, adding your signature to the open letter helps ensure those standards are preserved.
Index integrity relies on clear principles, not price-driven thresholds.
Engagement now helps ensure global benchmarks remain neutral, stable, and representative for everyone who relies on them.
Disclaimer: This content was prepared on behalf of Bitcoin For Corporations for informational purposes only. It reflects the author’s own analysis and opinion and should not be relied upon as investment advice. Nothing in this article constitutes an offer, invitation, or solicitation to purchase, sell, or subscribe for any security or financial product.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/9-Ways-MSCIs-Proposed-Digital-Asset-Rule-Could-Undermine-Index-Neutrality-X4WC3U.webp6301200Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-12 12:53:362025-12-12 12:53:369 Ways MSCI’s Proposed Digital Asset Rule Could Undermine Index Neutrality
Bitcoin is no longer just a grassroots monetary revolution. It’s in the process of moving from the periphery of finance into its centre. The rise of Bitcoin treasury companies is a major force behind this shift. These are firms that accumulate bitcoin not as a side bet, but as a core balance sheet holding. In doing so, they provide access to capital markets, offer yield-bearing instruments, and reshape how companies think about monetary preservation.
This article explores what Bitcoin treasury companies are, how they operate, and why their emergence matters, for both corporate finance and Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory.
Key Takeaways
Bitcoin treasury companies hold bitcoin as a long-term treasury reserve, often replacing fiat cash or short-term bonds.
These companies expand bitcoin’s investable capital base by enabling access through public equity or corporate debt.
Public treasury firms may trade at a premium to their bitcoin holdings due to market access, regulatory arbitrage, and capital efficiency.
Some companies issue bitcoin-backed financial products such as yield notes or strategic reserves.
What is a Treasury Company?
A Bitcoin treasury company business model, whereby a business integrates bitcoin into its treasury management framework. This approach prioritizes monetary certainty over fiat liquidity. The company treats bitcoin as a base-layer reserve asset superior to sovereign currency, rather than a hedge or speculative position.
Treasury companies may be public or private. Public companies often use their regulatory status to issue stock or debt, which is then converted into bitcoin. Private firms generally rely on retained earnings. Regardless of structure, the key factor is that bitcoin becomes the foundation of the corporate treasury, not a side asset.
These companies use bitcoin to manage long-term purchasing power, defend against monetary debasement, and unlock investor access in regions or structures where direct exposure is restricted. The treasury strategy shapes their business identity and capital allocation, often attracting shareholders who value monetary independence.
For a deeper look at the three operating models—pure play, hybrid operator, and strategic holder—see this breakdown from Michael Saylor.
What Purpose Does It Serve?
Bitcoin treasury companies restructure their balance sheets to reflect a predictable monetary strategy championing absolute scarcity over fiat stability. Holding bitcoin allows them to escape the inflationary decay of sovereign currency while signaling long-term capital discipline.
The strategy serves two core purposes:
it defends shareholder value by shifting reserves into a scarce, non-counterparty asset.
it creates financial access for investors who cannot hold bitcoin directly. Through their equity or debt instruments, treasury companies channel restricted capital into the Bitcoin ecosystem.
These firms also develop financial products around their holdings. Bitcoin-backed notes, interest-bearing instruments, and convertible structures create yield opportunities. In these cases, the treasury company acts as a financial services platform as well as a capital allocator.
Expanding Bitcoin’s Capital Base
Bitcoin treasury companies serve as access points to the asset for capital that would otherwise remain on the sidelines. As Steven Lubka put it, they are “fundamentally expanding the amount of capital that can flow into bitcoin… They are not competing for the same pool of dollars; they are making the pool larger.”
Most institutional allocators are still trapped inside structures that prohibit direct bitcoin exposure. Their mandates require them to hold equities, bonds, or fund shares—not bearer assets. Treasury companies bypass that restriction. By holding bitcoin and offering tradable equity or fixed income products, they act as financial bridges that translate bitcoin exposure into forms institutions can legally hold.
This approach allows adoption to scale without waiting for regulatory charters or compliance approval. This is infrastructure that routes around the choke points.
Mechanics: How It Works
While each company operates within its own legal, regulatory, and financial constraints, most follow a similar operational structure. The details may vary, but the following components form the backbone of how they operate.
Acquisition – The company acquires bitcoin using excess cash or proceeds from capital raises. This is typically done through over-the-counter (OTC) trading desks or institutional-grade exchanges. Some firms that operate in the mining space may allocate mined bitcoin directly to treasury, removing market exposure altogether.
Custody – Firms must decide between self-custody and third-party custodians. Institutional custodians like Fidelity Digital Assets, Anchorage, or Coinbase Custody offer compliance and insurance options, while self-custody provides sovereignty at the cost of internal security complexity. Custody decisions affect not just risk, but also regulatory posture.
Accounting – Under current US GAAP rules, bitcoin is classified as an intangible asset. Impairments are recognized if market value drops below the acquisition cost, but gains are not recorded unless realized through a sale. This creates an asymmetric treatment that can distort quarterly earnings and force conservative reporting, even if treasury value increases.
Reporting – Public treasury companies are required to disclose bitcoin holdings and changes in treasury structure through filings, earnings reports, and shareholder updates. Some choose to go further, publishing regular updates or dedicating resources to explaining their bitcoin strategy in detail.
Security – Private key management is without question, a critical part of the operation. Companies typically use multisignature wallets, geographic key separation, cold storage, and internal controls to secure holdings. Firms with large positions may employ Shamir’s Secret Sharing or multiple independent signers to ensure redundancy and resilience.
Governance – Policies must define how bitcoin is acquired, secured, and reported. This includes buy thresholds, custody control frameworks, access rights, key management protocols, and recovery plans. Strong governance ensures the strategy survives beyond the initial executive vision and becomes embedded in company operations.
Bitcoin treasury companies operate within a regulatory environment where public firms enjoy broader access to capital markets than individuals or funds. This creates a structural advantage. A public company can issue equity or debt, raise fiat capital efficiently, and convert it to bitcoin. In contrast, many institutional investors face custodial, legal, or charter-based constraints that prevent them from holding bitcoin directly.
This dynamic creates a form of regulatory arbitrage. The company acts as a wrapper for bitcoin exposure, allowing capital to enter the market through familiar financial instruments like stocks and bonds. Investors gain indirect access to bitcoin, often through vehicles they are already authorized to hold.
This mechanism is similar to financial innovations of the past. In the 1980s, Salomon Brothers restructured the bond market by slicing and repackaging fixed-income assets to match investor demand. Other sectors used wrappers to route capital around institutional constraints. Bitcoin treasury companies apply the same principle: they turn capital markets into a funnel and aim it at a harder monetary asset.
Regulatory Arbitrage: Why These Companies Even Exist
Bitcoin treasury companies operate in a unique zone of regulatory asymmetry. As Lubka notes on p39, of issue 39 of Bitcoin Magazine, “What bitcoin treasury companies are doing is engaging in regulatory arbitrage.”
Public companies can access large pools of capital through stock and debt issuance. They can then deploy that capital into bitcoin. Retail investors, pension funds, and even many hedge funds cannot hold bitcoin directly—but they can buy shares in public companies.
This is not a technicality. It’s a structural end-run around the gatekeepers of capital. While a retirement fund can’t buy spot bitcoin, it can buy shares in a firm like MicroStrategy. That dynamic turns treasury companies into Trojan horses—pulling bitcoin exposure into portfolios that would otherwise be prohibited from touching it.
Background and Origins
The treasury model gained serious traction in August 2020, when MicroStrategy ($MSTR) allocated $250 million of its reserves to bitcoin. CEO Michael Saylor framed the move as a rational response to fiat debasement and falling real yields. The firm continued raising capital through debt and equity issuance to expand its position, ultimately acquiring over 650,000 BTC.
Other public companies followed. Tahini’s began stacking bitcoin a mere days after MicroStrategy. Tesla ($TSLA) added $1.5 billion in bitcoin to its treasury in early 2021. Square ($SQ), now Block, also made an allocation, citing long-term purchasing power as the key motivation. These high-profile moves signaled that bitcoin was gaining legitimacy as a treasury reserve among large-cap firms.
To support institutional adoption, MicroStrategy, in partnership with BTC Inc launched Bitcoin for Corporations, an annual event aimed at guiding CFOs, legal teams, and boards through the process of integrating bitcoin into treasury strategy. The event helped normalize bitcoin discussions inside traditional corporate structures.
A major barrier to adoption—accounting treatment—began to shift in 2023. The FASB approved new rules allowing companies to report bitcoin holdings at fair market value. This replaced the outdated impairment model and removed one of the most cited objections among public company CFOs. The change went into effect in 2025.
MicroStrategy ($MSTR) is the most established treasury company in the market. It has redefined its corporate identity around bitcoin accumulation and capital efficiency. The company has raised billions through convertible notes and direct equity issuance, with proceeds allocated to bitcoin. Shareholders now view the firm as a long-term access vehicle to bitcoin’s monetary appreciation.
MetaPlanet ($3350.T) is a Japanese firm that executes a similar game plan to Strategy. Operating within Japan’s distinct regulatory environment, it adapts the treasury playbook to fit regional constraints. MetaPlanet illustrates how treasury adoption can be localized without losing strategic focus.
Smarter Web Company ($MCP), based in the UAE, blends infrastructure development with bitcoin accumulation. Its jurisdiction allows more flexibility in treasury construction, enabling a hybrid model that integrates operational revenue with bitcoin reserves.
Nakamoto Holdings ($NAKA), a subsidiary of KindlyMD, has built a vertically integrated treasury strategy that includes internal capital management and structured products. The firm was profiled by Steven Lubka as an example of how smaller organizations can implement bitcoin treasury models with institutional rigor.
Evaluating a Treasury Company and Measuring Success
The success of a bitcoin treasury company depends on more than just the size of its holdings. Investors should evaluate how efficiently the company acquires bitcoin, whether it increases bitcoin per share over time, and how effectively it monetizes its position.
A key metric is mNAV, or multiple of net asset value. This measures the company’s market capitalization relative to its bitcoin holdings. A high mNAV suggests that the market values not just the bitcoin, but also the company’s capital efficiency, access, and ability to grow its holdings faster than the open market.
Companies that compound bitcoin holdings through accretive financing deserve to trade at a premium. This premium reflects future expectations of value creation. However, poorly managed firms can destroy per-share bitcoin by issuing too much equity or overpaying for marginal gains.
Evaluating treasury companies requires examining their capital structure, acquisition timing, product issuance, and accounting treatment.
Bitcoin treasury companies operate within a set of structural risks that are distinct from simple asset volatility. These risks are operational, regulatory, reputational and political. There’s also a fifth opposing risk, which is the risk of not holding or having exposure to bitcoin at all.
Operational Risk
Managing a bitcoin treasury introduces technical and procedural risks. Custody is not a service you can outsource without trust tradeoffs, and self-custody requires enterprise-grade key management practices. Multisignature configurations, geographic key separation, internal access controls, and incident recovery protocols must be implemented with precision. Any compromise in key security, whether from internal error or external attack, can result in unrecoverable losses. For companies holding hundreds of millions or billions in bitcoin, this becomes a single point of existential failure.
Regulatory Risk
Bitcoin exists outside the traditional financial system, and many jurisdictions still lack a clear legal framework for its treatment. Treasury companies must navigate unclear tax rules, evolving securities classifications, cross-border restrictions, and ambiguous corporate governance expectations. Regulatory risk is amplified for public companies, which face additional scrutiny from auditors, exchanges, and shareholders. In many regions, bitcoin remains classified as a speculative asset, limiting how it can be reported or deployed within treasury operations.
Reputational Risk
Corporate media, ESG pressure groups, and risk-averse investors typically view bitcoin adoption as speculative or irresponsible, especially during periods of price drawdown. Even competent treasury execution can be framed as reckless if narrative conditions turn. Leadership teams must be prepared to defend the strategy publicly and educate stakeholders who may not yet grasp the long-term monetary thesis.
Political Risk
One of the most insidious risks facing treasury companies is the growing institutional pushback from legacy finance. In 2025, MSCI, BlackRock, and Goldman Sachs’ Datonomy index excluded MicroStrategy and Coinbase from digital asset classifications, despite bitcoin representing a majority of their balance sheet exposure.
These companies were strategically removed because their alignment with bitcoin poses a structural threat to the existing banking order. Their inclusion in major indexes would legitimize bitcoin as a competing monetary system and weaken the financial establishment’s control over capital allocation.
This index engineering reduces investor access and protects legacy institutions. It is designed to suppress entities that store capital in an asset that cannot be debased, seized, or rehypothecated.
Monetary Risk of Not Holding Bitcoin
A more widespread risk facing corporate treasuries is the cost of continuing to rely on fiat-based strategies. Inflation erodes capital over time by reducing purchasing power. Treasury strategies that depend on short-term government bonds or bank deposits are exposed to monetary policy decisions that guarantee devaluation over time. Choosing to avoid bitcoin leads to long-term capital deterioration and the progressive weakening of the balance sheet. For companies that operate in inflation-prone environments or that sit on large fiat reserves, this becomes structural loss.
Holding cash yields nothing. The U.S. M2 money supply has grown by more than 7 percent annually since 1971, with recent years far exceeding that rate. A company holding idle dollars is losing 7 percent of purchasing power each year.
U.S. Treasuries yield between 1 and 3 percent in most cycles. Compared to 7 percent monetary expansion, this results in a real loss of 4 to 6 percent per year. These figures may widen as governments and central banks continue expanding credit to support growing debt obligations.
Stock buybacks are often framed as shareholder-friendly but rely on equity valuations inflated by the same monetary expansion that devalues cash. Once the capital is spent, it cannot be reallocated or used to defend the balance sheet. Buybacks might boost earnings per share but do nothing to preserve long-term monetary value.
Bitcoin provides a structurally different outcome. It has no issuer, no credit risk, and a fixed supply of 21 million. It is the only asset that has consistently outpaced M2 expansion over time. Michael Saylor projects a 29 percent annual return over the next 20 years. If that projection proves accurate, a modest allocation to a bitcoin treasury could fully offset fiat debasement.
As little as 2 percent in bitcoin may be enough to break even in real terms. With regular rebalancing, an allocation between 5 and 30 percent could preserve or grow purchasing power while still maintaining fiat liquidity. This is a strategic hedge against fiat decay and should be evaluated as a treasury defense mechanism, not a speculative bet.
Bitcoin ETF – A regulated investment product that tracks the price of bitcoin. ETFs offer simplicity but no direct control over bitcoin custody or strategic usage.
Bitcoin Strategic Reserve – A deliberate long-term allocation of bitcoin used to defend against fiat dilution and preserve capital over time. Treasury companies typically build this into their core strategy.
Further Reading
For readers looking to explore this topic in greater depth, two standout resources offer high-signal material:
BitcoinForCorporations.com – A curated collection of articles, videos, and resources tailored for executive teams, CFOs, and corporate strategists evaluating bitcoin treasury models.
Bitcoin treasury companies do more than store reserves in a the worlds best money. They restructure balance sheets around monetary certainty, offer regulated access to bitcoin, and create financial instruments anchored to absolute scarcity.
As inflation accelerates and fiat-based finance becomes more unstable, treasury companies may become lifeboats for capital seeking long-term preservation.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/image-13-HofFaw.png8401500Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-12 09:35:592025-12-12 09:35:59What is a Bitcoin Treasury Company?
Just weeks after announcing a stablecoin, Swedish fintech giant Klarna is taking another step into crypto. The company has teamed up with Privy, a wallet infrastructure platform owned by Stripe, to explore digital asset solutions for its users.
The partnership will focus on research and development of crypto wallet features, the company said. The two aim to make it easier for everyday users to store, use, and send digital assets. The move builds on the company’s recent launch of KlarnaUSD, a U.S. dollar-backed stablecoin issued on the Tempo blockchain.
“Millions already trust Klarna to manage everyday spending, saving, and shopping,” said Sebastian Siemiatkowski, CEO and co-founder. “That puts us in a unique position to bring crypto into the financial lives of normal people, not just early adopters. With Privy, we plan to build products that feel as intuitive as any other Klarna feature.”
KlarnaUSD was launched with Tempo and Bridge, a Stripe-backed stablecoin infrastructure provider.
The token is live on Tempo’s testnet and expected to launch on mainnet in 2026. The fintech giant said the stablecoin could reduce global cross-border payment costs, currently estimated at $120 billion annually.
JUST IN: Fintech giant Klarna to develop #Bitcoin and crypto wallet features within its financial products.
Privy powers over 100 million accounts for more than 1,500 developers. The platform supports crypto-native applications like OpenSea and Hyperliquid.
Henri Stern, CEO and co-founder of Privy, said the partnership will allow users to hold a wide variety of digital assets, trade safely, and transact with friends anywhere in the world.
“We’re proud to partner with world-class fintechs like Klarna, providing the secure, enterprise-ready infrastructure they need,” Stern said. “Privy aims to be the backbone for any business that wants to harness the exciting capabilities crypto and stablecoins offer.”
The initiative reflects a growing trend. Traditional fintechs are now testing ways to integrate crypto tools into everyday consumer finance. The company said any future wallet or crypto product would require the necessary regulatory approvals before launch.
Venture capital firm a16z estimates that 716 million people globally hold cryptocurrencies. Between 40 million and 70 million transact with crypto each month. That figure grows by roughly 10 million users a year.
Klarna’s push into crypto marks a sharp turn for the company. CEO Siemiatkowski was once a vocal skeptic of digital currencies.
He said the market’s maturity and Klarna’s global reach now justify this entry. Klarna serves 114 million customers and processes $112 billion in annual gross merchandise volume.
The company plans to explore further crypto initiatives. A blog post on Thursday hinted at a new announcement “in a week or so,” suggesting more developments are coming soon.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Klarna-Partners-With-Privy-to-Explore-Use-of-Crypto-Wallets-cDIH7L.jpg10801920Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-11 14:58:562025-12-11 14:58:56Klarna Partners With Privy to Explore Use of Crypto Wallets
Satsuma Technology (LSE: SATS) sold nearly half its bitcoin treasury and announced major board changes as it prepares for a planned uplisting to the London Stock Exchange’s main market.
The U.K.-based company sold 579 BTC out of its 1,199 BTC holdings, raising about £40 million ($53 million) in net proceeds, according to a Thursday announcement. The move leaves Satsuma with 620 BTC and roughly £90 million in cash.
The sale is designed to ensure the company has enough liquidity to repay £78 million in convertible loan notes due on Dec. 31, 2025.
Some noteholders have not yet committed to converting their debt into equity once Satsuma publishes its prospectus for the uplisting. The company said it wants to hold sufficient cash in case those conversions do not occur.
Alongside the treasury move, Satsuma proposed appointing Ranald McGregor-Smith as Chair and Clive Carver as Senior Independent Director. Both would join upon completion of the uplisting.
McGregor-Smith spent his career advising FTSE100 and FTSE250 firms and co-founded corporate broker Whitman Howard. He also sits on the board of Sabien Technology Group. Carver, a chartered accountant, has chaired and served as a non-executive director at several listed companies over the past decade and will also chair Satsuma’s Audit Committee.
Current Chair Matt Lodge will step down after the uplisting but remain on the board. Non-executive director Darcy Taylor resigned immediately as part of the restructuring.
CEO Henry K. Elder said the board changes bring stronger PLC governance at a key transition point. He also said the bitcoin sale positions the company for “stability and growth” as it advances its broader strategy.
Satsuma shares edged up to 1.05 pence following the announcement. The stock remains down nearly 30% over the past month.After the sale, Satsuma ranks as the 61st largest publicly traded bitcoin holder.
The report, covering 100+ companies, shows large treasuries like Strategy and Strive dominated net purchases, while early signs of selling emerged, led by Sequans.
Quarterly accumulation slowed but remains steady, with Q4 2025 on track for ~40,000 BTC added. Mining companies now hold 12% of corporate BTC.
Public and private treasuries bought over 12,644 BTC in November, bringing total holdings past 4 million BTC. Global diversification and disciplined buying continue despite volatility.
Corporate Bitcoin treasuries faced mark-to-market losses in November, according to an exclusive Corporate Adoption Report from Bitcoin Treasuries.
The report, covering more than 100 companies, offers a systematic look at how last month’s price drop affected public company holdings.
Bitcoin briefly fell below $90,000 in late November. The decline pushed many 2025 buyers into the red. Of the 100 companies for which cost basis is measurable, about two-thirds now sit on unrealized losses at current prices, per the report.
Despite the volatility, large balance sheets continued to dominate net Bitcoin buying. Strategy, Strive, and a small cohort of high-conviction buyers accounted for most net additions.
Public Bitcoin treasury equities remain weak versus BTC and broad indices. Still, a minority of companies delivered at least 10% gains over the past 6–12 months.
Early signs of corporate Bitcoin selling also emerged. At least five companies reduced BTC exposure in November. Sequans led the group, selling roughly one-third of its holdings. While small in aggregate, these moves suggest some management teams are willing to crystallize losses or de-risk when volatility spikes.
Quarterly Bitcoin accumulation is slowing, but not collapsing. Q4 2025 is on track for roughly 40,000 BTC in net additions to public company balance sheets. This is below the last four quarters but broadly in line with Q3 2024, as companies normalize to a slower, more selective accumulation pace.
In November, public and private treasuries purchased, added, or disclosed over 12,644 BTC in November and the total BTC held across all tracked entities surpassed 4 million by month’s end.
Bitcoin purchases
Big treasuries know for their bitcoin buying continue to dominate purchases. Strategy added 9,062 BTC across three transactions in November, per the report.
Its largest buy, 8,178 BTC, came on Nov. 17. Strategy ended the month with 649,870 BTC, worth about $59 billion. Currently, the company has 660,624 after some December purchases.
Strive added 1,567 BTC at an average price of $103,315 per BTC in November. The purchase brought its month-end holdings to 7,525 BTC, or $684 million. The company funds its Bitcoin strategy primarily through perpetual preferred equity.
Mining companies remain significant players. Cango and Riot added 508 BTC and 37 BTC, respectively, from mining operations. American Bitcoin added 139 BTC through combined purchase and mining strategies.
Per the report, mining companies now account for 12% of public company BTC holdings.
Bitcoin selling and rebalancing
Sales were limited but notable. As mentioned earlier, Sequans sold nearly one-third of its holdings, to reduce convertible debt. Hut 8 reduced holdings by 389 BTC. KindlyMD and Genius Group also trimmed exposure.
Some companies added small amounts even amid the downturn. DDC Enterprise Limited picked up 100 BTC during the pullback.
Metaplanet continued “additional purchase” filings on the Tokyo exchange. ETF flows returned to net inflows after a month of redemptions.
The data suggests a barbell pattern: small distressed sellers versus programmatic buyers and disciplined treasuries. Investors see BTC increasingly used as collateral or for cash flow, rather than just as a speculative asset.
Global trends and future outlook
Corporate Bitcoin holdings are increasingly global. U.S. companies dominate the top 20, but Japan, China, Europe, and other regions are growing.
Non-U.S. public company holdings rose 3,180 BTC from two months prior, now representing about 9% of all public company BTC. Analysts say this geographic diversification reduces regulatory risk.
Despite November’s volatility, corporate adoption of Bitcoin continues. Large treasuries are still buying aggressively. The quarterly pace of accumulation is slower than earlier in 2025, the report noted, but steady growth persists.
Those interested in reading the full report can do so below:
American Bitcoin Corp. (Nasdaq: ABTC) continued to expand its BTC treasury, adding roughly 416 BTC over the past week and lifting total holdings to about 4,783 BTC as of Dec. 8, according to a company update released Wednesday.
The latest additions bring American Bitcoin’s reserve to one of the largest among U.S.-listed companies focused on BTC accumulation. The holdings were built through a mix of in-house mining and strategic market purchases, the company said.
The total also includes BTC held in custody or pledged as collateral for miner purchases under a supply agreement with hardware manufacturer Bitmain.
American Bitcoin, which listed on Nasdaq earlier this year, also reported an increase in its proprietary “Satoshis Per Share” metric, or SPS.
As of Dec. 8, SPS stood at 507, up more than 17% in just over a month. The measure reflects the amount of BTC attributable to each outstanding common share and is intended to give equity investors clearer visibility into their indirect exposure to BTC through the company’s stock.
Eric Trump, American Bitcoin’s co-founder and chief strategy officer, said the pace of accumulation reflects the company’s operating model and cost structure.
In comments included with the update, Trump said the firm has built “one of the largest and fastest growing bitcoin accumulators” within three months of listing, supported by margins designed to favor long-term value creation rather than short-term price moves.
JUST IN: Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr. backed American Bitcoin, acquires an additional 416 BTC.
Shares of ABTC were modestly higher in early Wednesday trading, though the stock remains well below recent highs following a sharp selloff earlier this month.
On Dec. 2, ABTC shares fell roughly 50% in a session after pre-merger private placement shares became freely tradable, increasing supply and pressure on the stock.
Anthony Pompliano’s ProCap Financial buys more Bitcoin
American Bitcoin’s expansion comes as other newly listed firms also grow their BTC reserves. ProCap Financial (Nasdaq: BRR), led by Anthony Pompliano, said this week it increased its holdings to 5,000 bitcoin, adding 49 BTC following the completion of its SPAC merger.
ProCap said the purchase was structured to realize a tax loss that could offset future gains, a strategy the firm framed as shareholder-friendly capital allocation.
Pompliano described the move as part of a broader plan to maximize long-term BTC accumulation while maintaining balance-sheet flexibility. ProCap reported holding more than $175 million in cash, which it said provides capacity for additional purchases and operations.
Despite recent buying activity, shares of both companies remain under pressure. BRR stock has fallen more than 60% over the past several days.
According to data from bitcointreasuries.net, ProCap and American Bitcoin now rank among the top publicly traded companies holding BTC, placing 21st and 22nd, respectively.
The Samourai Wallet matter raises a fundamental question about how the United States treats non-custodial software and the developers who create it. Keonne Rodriguez and William Lonergan Hill did not operate a financial service or handle customer assets. They wrote and maintained software that allowed users to construct collaborative Bitcoin transactions in a privacy-preserving way. Throughout the tool’s entire lifecycle, users controlled their own keys, initiated their own transactions, and never relied on Samourai or its developers to transmit or safeguard value. The distinction between a custodial service and a non-custodial tool is not a technicality; it is the core boundary that the Bank Secrecy Act, FinCEN guidance, and decades of regulatory practice use to distinguish software authors from regulated financial intermediaries.
This point was reinforced by FinCEN itself. In an internal analysis, the agency concluded that Samourai’s architecture did not constitute money transmission because no third party took possession or control of user funds. That conclusion was never disclosed to the defense while the prosecution advanced a theory that required the opposite: that building software which users employ for privacy is functionally equivalent to operating a financial institution. When that analysis finally surfaced, it confirmed what has long been understood across the industry and within the regulatory community—that non-custodial tools fall outside the BSA’s money-transmitter framework because there is no transfer of value by a third party. The case ultimately treated the developers as if they were responsible for the independent actions of users, even though they had no role in executing, intermediating, or approving any transaction. Some individuals did misuse the tool, as happens with any privacy or security technology, but the law has never equated misuse with liability for the creators. We do not treat the authors of encryption libraries, VPN protocols, or email clients as participants in unlawful activity simply because bad actors rely on those tools. Collapsing the distinction between developing a tool and operating a service would introduce an untenable level of risk for anyone building privacy-enhancing or security-critical software.
There is also an important speech component. Courts have consistently recognized that code is expressive, and publishing open-source software is an act of communication. When publication is treated as evidence of “operation,” the legal boundary between authorship and conduct becomes blurred in a way that threatens a wide range of legitimate technologies. Any precedent suggesting that developers are responsible for unforeseeable downstream use would have immediate consequences for cryptography, cybersecurity research, and open-source work more broadly.
Rodriguez and Hill ultimately accepted plea agreements in the face of substantial sentencing exposure, even though government records undermined the central regulatory theory of the case. Their convictions now rest on a framework that is at odds with established guidance and with the direction in which federal policy has since moved. A pardon would bring the legal outcome back into alignment with the underlying facts: this was software development, not money transmission, and the individuals involved should not bear criminal liability for writing code that users executed independently.
This case has already had a measurable chilling effect on developers working on privacy and security tools in the United States. Leaving the convictions in place would discourage responsible innovation and push critical work to jurisdictions that do not share our commitment to open research and transparent development. A pardon would correct a clear misapplication of federal law, protect the integrity of long-standing distinctions in financial regulation, and reaffirm that publishing non-custodial software is not—and should not become—a criminal act.
Disclaimer – This is a guest contribution by Zack Shapiro, originally published by the Bitcoin Policy Institute (BPI). The views and opinions expressed are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of BTC Inc or Bitcoin Magazine.
Strive, a publicly traded bitcoin treasury and asset-management firm, said it has arranged a $500 million at-the-market offering to help fund more bitcoin purchases.
The company plans to sell Variable Rate Series A Perpetual Preferred Stock, known as SATA. The offering allows Strive to issue shares into the market at prevailing prices rather than through a single sale. The structure gives the firm flexibility to raise capital as demand allows.
SATA carries a 12% dividend and an effective yield near 13%. The preferred stock is modeled on Strategy’s STRC perpetual preferred equity, which has been used as a funding tool for bitcoin accumulation.
SATA currently trades around $91, below its $100 par value.
Strive said proceeds may be used for a range of purposes. These include buying bitcoin, purchasing income-generating assets, supporting working capital, repurchasing common shares, or pursuing acquisitions.
JUST IN: Vivek Ramaswamy’s Strive to raise $500 million to buy more #Bitcoin
The company did not specify how much of the raise would be allocated to bitcoin purchases.
The 14th-largest corporate bitcoin holder
Strive currently holds about 7,525 bitcoin, valued at roughly $695 million at recent market prices. That positions the firm as the 14th-largest publicly traded corporate holder of bitcoin.
The company has leaned into a bitcoin-focused treasury strategy following a public reverse merger earlier this year.
The company was co-founded in 2022 by entrepreneur and political figure Vivek Ramaswamy. Since launching its first exchange-traded fund in August 2022, Strive Asset Management has grown to oversee more than $2 billion in assets, according to company disclosures.
The firm markets itself as an alternative asset manager with a focus on aligning capital with long-term investment themes.
In September, Strive agreed to acquire Semler Scientific, a transaction that increased the combined entity’s bitcoin exposure. The move placed the company among a growing group of public companies that use equity markets to build large bitcoin positions, a strategy popularized by Michael Saylor’s Strategy.
Shares of its common stock, ASST, trade near $1 today.
Strive calls out MSCI on bitcoin beliefs
The company has also taken an active role in market structure debates tied to bitcoin treasury firms. Earlier this month, Strive called on index provider MSCI to avoid excluding companies with large digital asset holdings from major equity benchmarks.
MSCI is reportedly consulting investors on whether firms with balance sheets dominated by crypto assets should remain eligible for inclusion.
The company argued that such exclusions would limit investor choice and reshape capital flows across passive funds. The review could have broad implications for companies that hold bitcoin as a core treasury asset.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Strive-Plans-500-Million-Stock-Sale-to-Fund-More-Bitcoin-Buys-NCmA6X.jpg10801920Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-10 13:45:212025-12-10 13:45:21Strive Lines Up $500 Million Stock Offering to Buy More Bitcoin
At the Bitcoin MENA conference, Bilal Bin Saqib, CEO of the government-backed Pakistan Crypto Council and chief advisor to Pakistan’s finance minister, delivered a message that framed bitcoin not as a speculative asset, but as a practical solution to structural economic problems facing millions of people in Pakistan.
One of Bin Saqib’s most striking takeaways was how grounded his argument in lived reality. In Pakistan, bitcoin is less about ideology and more about necessity.
Bitcoin as a financial relief
As Bin Saqib put it, for many Pakistanis “bitcoin is not theory, it’s a relief,” a response to problems traditional financial systems have failed to solve for decades.
He pointed first to savings. Pakistan’s currency has lost more than half its value over the past five years, eroding purchasing power for ordinary citizens. In that environment, Bin Saqib argued, people are not looking for explanations of monetary theory. They are looking for protection.
Bitcoin, he said, provides a way to store value outside inflation driven by political decisions, money printing and currency mismanagement. “You don’t need a lecture,” he noted. “You need a hedge.”
Access was the second pillar of his case. Despite Pakistan being home to roughly 240 million people, more than 100 million remain unbanked.
JUST IN: Minister of State Bilal Bin Saqib says, “#Bitcoin gives people a way to store value outside politics, printing and inflation.”
For this population, traditional finance has simply never arrived. Bitcoin, according to Bin Saqib, offers a financial identity without the need for permission, paperwork or intermediaries that may never open the door.
That permissionless access, he argued, is especially powerful for young people encountering true financial ownership for the first time.
The third pillar was cross-border earnings. Pakistan has one of the largest freelance workforces in the world, yet freelancers often struggle to receive international payments quickly, cheaply and transparently.
Bitcoin and blockchain-based payment rails enable Pakistani workers to get paid globally without friction, delays or excessive fees. For many, this has meant a direct connection to the global economy for the first time.
Bin Saqib tied these grassroots use cases to a broader national strategy. Pakistan, he said, is not trying to “chase the future” but to build a new one. With roughly 70% of the population under the age of 30, the country cannot rely on outdated economic models.
Digital assets, and bitcoin in particular, are being viewed as infrastructure rather than speculation—new financial rails for the Global South.
He outlined his mandate since being appointed seven months ago: to transform one of the world’s largest unregulated crypto markets into a compliant, investment-friendly ecosystem.
Pakistan has already moved to establish a virtual asset regulatory framework, issue provisional licenses for exchanges, and develop regulatory sandboxes for mining, tokenization and fintech.
The goal, Bin Saqib said, is to bring activity onshore rather than push it underground, protecting users without suffocating builders.
Bin Saqib’s discussion of energy
Energy played a central role in the discussion. Pakistan paradoxically suffers from both power shortages and massive excess capacity, paying for electricity that goes unused.
Bin Saqib described bitcoin mining and artificial intelligence as tools to convert that “wasted economic oxygen” into productive output.
Every unused megawatt, he argued, could be turned into bitcoin mining or AI compute, effectively transforming stranded energy into digital exports.
In that framework, bitcoin mining becomes less about consumption and more about industrial renewal.
Rather than exporting only commodities or labor, Pakistan could export compute—what Bin Saqib called one of the most valuable resources of the 21st century. He framed this not as a narrow energy policy, but as part of a broader industrial rebirth.
Looking ahead, Bin Saqib predicted that the next wave of bitcoin adoption will not be led by Wall Street, but by emerging markets where economic pain is real and the upside is massive.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Bitcoin-Is-a-Relief-Not-a-Theory-Pakistans-Case-for-Crypto-Adoption-wKmVK2.jpg10801920Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-09 15:01:082025-12-09 15:01:08Bitcoin Is a Relief, Not a Theory: Pakistan’s Case for Crypto Adoption
Bitcoin miner hash rate has experienced a significant decline since mid-October, falling sharply despite years of near-uninterrupted growth. This pullback reflects genuine bitcoin miner capitulation driven by deteriorating profitability in the face of Bitcoin’s recent price weakness. However, could this bitcoin miner shift actually provide a golden opportunity?
Bitcoin Miner Profitability
The Bitcoin network’s total computational hash rate has entered a notable downtrend since October 18th, reversing what has otherwise been a consistent multi-year climb. The hash ribbons indicator, which compares the 30-day moving average of hash rate against the 60-day moving average, has turned red, indicating miner capitulation. When the longer-term moving average crosses above the shorter-term one, it signals that miners are withdrawing computational power from the network, typically because profit margins have become too thin to justify continued operations at previous levels.
The Puell Multiple, which measures daily USD earnings for miners relative to their 365 day moving average, recently collapsed to approximately 0.67. This means miners are earning only two-thirds of their yearly average revenue. The metric reveals a concerning trend, as Bitcoin has matured and the network has grown, mining economics have become increasingly compressed.
Bitcoin Miner Revenue Under Pressure
A deeper issue lies in the composition of miner revenue. Bitcoin miners derive income from two sources: block subsidies and transaction fees. The current block subsidy stands at 3.125 BTC per block, representing the lion’s share of miner revenue. However, transaction fees, which could theoretically offset declining subsidies over time, have entered a long-term downtrend throughout this cycle. When measured in USD terms, miner fee revenue is now practically negligible compared to the block subsidy.
This creates an uncomfortable math problem. The block subsidy decreases by 50% every four years at the halving. For miner revenue to remain constant, Bitcoin’s price must reliably double every four years. This requirement becomes increasingly unrealistic as Bitcoin matures and approaches tens or hundreds of trillions in market capitalization. Within 20-30 years, the halvings would require Bitcoin prices of tens of millions of dollars per unit merely to maintain current revenue levels for miners.
Structural Hurdles for Bitcoin Miners
When block subsidies eventually decline toward zero over the coming decades, transaction fees must theoretically fill that gap. Yet the current cycle demonstrates that fee revenue is moving in the opposite direction and declining as users migrate to more efficient layer-two solutions like the Lightning Network and as on-chain transaction volume stagnates.
Layer-two scaling solutions are good for Bitcoin’s utility and lower users’ costs. Similarly, fewer on-chain transactions reducing congestion and fees is positive for accessibility. But these developments and improvements that make Bitcoin more practical as a payments layer simultaneously reduce the revenue available to secure the base layer long-term.
Conclusion: Bitcoin Miner Capitulation as Opportunity
Bitcoin miners are undoubtedly capitulating, driven by declining price action and deteriorating profit margins. For tactical traders and accumulation-minded investors, this represents a favorable window to scale into positions, particularly once the hash ribbons reversal signal emerges. History suggests such periods rarely persist without eventually producing sharp Bitcoin rallies.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission announced the launch of a U.S. digital assets pilot program that will allow bitcoin, ethereum and the stablecoin USDC to be used as collateral in regulated derivatives markets, marking another major policy shift in how U.S. regulators approach tokenized assets.
The move includes new guidance for tokenized collateral, a limited no-action framework for futures commission merchants (FCMs), and the withdrawal of legacy restrictions that the agency said are no longer relevant following passage of the GENIUS Act.
Acting CFTC Chair Caroline Pham said the program is designed to expand the use of digital assets in regulated markets while maintaining oversight and customer protections.
“Americans deserve safe U.S. markets as an alternative to offshore platforms,” Pham said in a statement. “Today, I am launching a U.S. digital assets pilot program for tokenized collateral that establishes clear guardrails to protect customer assets and provides enhanced CFTC monitoring and reporting.”
Bitcoin and other crypto as a pilot
Under the pilot, FCMs will be temporarily allowed to accept a narrow set of digital assets like Bitcoin as customer margin, according to a CFTC announcement.
During the first three months of participation, firms will be required to submit weekly reports to the CFTC detailing the total amount of digital assets held in customer accounts, broken out by asset and account class.
Companies must also notify regulators of any material incident involving the use of digital collateral.
The agency said the reporting requirement is intended to give staff real-time insight into operational risks while allowing firms controlled access to tokenized collateral.
Last week, the CFTC allowed federally regulated spot crypto trading in the U.S. for the first time, with Bitnomial set to launch its exchange next week under CFTC oversight.
Pham said CFTC-registered venues will list spot crypto products, enabling retail and institutional traders to access spot, futures, options, and perpetuals on a single regulated platform.
Alongside the pilot program, the CFTC’s Market Participants Division, Division of Market Oversight and Division of Clearing and Risk issued formal guidance on how tokenized assets should be evaluated within existing regulatory frameworks.
The guidance emphasizes that CFTC rules are “technology neutral” and that tokenized assets should be assessed individually under existing policies rather than treated as a separate asset class.
The framework applies to tokenized real-world assets such as U.S. Treasuries and money market funds. It outlines standards for legal enforceability and things like custody and control.
The agency also issued a no-action position for FCMs that accept non-securities digital assets as margin, including payment stablecoins.
The relief allows firms to incorporate qualifying digital assets into customer accounts while clarifying how capital and segregation rules apply under the new regime.
Crypto industry applause
The CFTC formally withdrew Staff Advisory No. 20-34, which previously restricted how virtual currencies could be held in customer accounts. The advisory had been in place since 2020 and had limited the operational use of digital assets as collateral.
The agency said developments in digital markets and the enactment of the GENIUS Act made the advisory obsolete.
Crypto and fintech firms quickly welcomed the decision, saying the changes offer long-awaited regulatory certainty.
Coinbase Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal said the move confirms the industry’s belief that stablecoins and digital assets can reduce risk and improve efficiency in financial markets, according to a CFTC announcement.
Circle President Heath Tarbert also chimed in and said the changes would reduce settlement risk and friction in derivatives trading by enabling near real-time margin settlement.
Crypto.com CEO Kris Marszalek said the announcement would allow tokenized collateral to be used in U.S. markets for the first time at scale, adding that it would support 24/7 trading in regulated derivatives products.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/CFTC-Launches-Pilot-Program-Allowing-Bitcoin-To-Be-Used-as-Collateral-In-Derivatives-Markets-yAslvb.jpg10801920Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-08 22:12:492025-12-08 22:12:49CFTC Launches Pilot Program Allowing Bitcoin To Be Used as Collateral In Derivatives Markets
The bitcoin price climbed above $92,000 over the weekend, off of lows near $88,000. The bitcoin price reached $92,203 at its seven-day high.
Bernstein analysts argue that recent price movements signal a structural shift in Bitcoin’s market cycle. In a note to clients, the firm said the traditional four-year cycle—historically peaking every four years—has broken.
Bernstein sees Bitcoin entering an elongated bull cycle, fueled by persistent institutional buying that offsets retail selling.
Despite a roughly 30% correction, ETF outflows have remained minimal, under 5%.
The bank raised its 2026 price target to $150,000, projecting the cycle could peak in 2027 around $200,000. Bernstein maintains a long-term 2033 target of roughly $1 million per BTC.
JUST IN: $779 billion Bernstein says, “#Bitcoin cycle has broken the 4-year pattern and is now in an elongated bull-cycle” pic.twitter.com/PUHyyvTqnA
Meanwhile, Wall Street bank JPMorgan remains bullish over the next year. Its analysts maintain a gold-linked, volatility-adjusted BTC target of $170,000 over the next six to twelve months, factoring in price fluctuations and mining costs.
Strategy and the Bitcoin price
Strategy (MSTR), the largest corporate Bitcoin holder, remains central to institutional market dynamics. The company owns roughly 660,624 BTC, with an enterprise-value-to-Bitcoin holdings ratio (mNAV) of 1.13.
JPMorgan notes this ratio above 1.0 is “encouraging,” suggesting Strategy is unlikely to face forced sales of its holdings.
Strategy has also built a $1.44 billion U.S. dollar reserve to cover dividend payments and interest obligations for at least 12 months, with plans to extend coverage to 24 months. Bernstein maintained its Outperform rating on MicroStrategy but lowered its price target from $600 to $450, reflecting the recent market correction.
Just today, Strategy said they bought 10,624 BTC last week for about $963 million, paying an average of $90,615 per coin. This brings its total holdings to 660,624 BTC, acquired at an average cost of $74,696 per bitcoin, with a current market value near $60.5 billion and unrealized gains of roughly $11 billion.
The purchase marks Strategy’s largest recent buying spree as market volatility eased. Its shares rose about 3% in early trading Monday, rebounding from a Dec. 1 low near $155, though they remain over 50% below their six-month peak.
As of right now, the bitcoin price trades at $90,886, up 3% in the past 24 hours, with a 24-hour trading volume of $46 billion.
The cryptocurrency’s market capitalization now stands at $1.82 trillion, with a circulating supply of 19.96 million BTC and a maximum supply capped at 21 million.
Strategy, the largest publicly traded holder of bitcoin, said it acquired 10,624 BTC last week for about $962.7 million, returning to a scale of purchases not seen since mid-year as market volatility steadied.
The company paid an average price of $90,615 per bitcoin during the Dec. 1–7 period, according to a regulatory filing and a statement from Executive Chairman Michael Saylor. The purchase lifts Strategy’s total bitcoin holdings to 660,624 coins, accumulated for roughly $49.35 billion at an average cost of $74,696 per bitcoin.
At current prices near $94,000, Strategy’s bitcoin stash is valued at about $60.5 billion, leaving the firm with an estimated $11 billion in unrealized gains.
Shares of Strategy (MSTR) were modestly higher in premarket trading Monday, rising about 2% alongside a small advance in bitcoin. The stock rebounded from a low near $155 on Dec. 1, reached during a sharp selloff across crypto-linked equities, but remains down more than 50% over the past six months.
Strategy’s largest purchase in 6 months
The acquisition marks Strategy’s largest weekly bitcoin purchase since July. In recent months, the company continued to add bitcoin almost every week, though in smaller amounts, as falling equity prices limited its ability to raise capital.
Last week’s transaction suggests improved access to funding, even as investor sentiment toward crypto-related stocks remains mixed.
Strategy said the purchase was funded primarily through its at-the-market equity sales program. The company raised $928.1 million from the sale of 5.13 million shares of MSTR common stock and an additional $34.9 million from selling 442,536 shares of its STRD preferred stock. Net proceeds totaled about $963 million.
The firm retains significant remaining issuance capacity across multiple securities. Strategy reported unused at-the-market capacity of about $13.45 billion in common stock and more than $26 billion across several preferred and structured offerings, including STRK, STRF, STRC, and STRD.
Saylor also highlighted the company’s “BTC Yield” metric, which he said reached 24.7% year-to-date in 2025. The measure is intended to reflect the growth in bitcoin held per diluted share, rather than changes in dollar value, and has become a core part of Strategy’s investor messaging as it positions itself as a bitcoin-focused treasury and structured finance business.
The latest purchase comes as Saylor attends the BTC Conference in Abu Dhabi. In public comments, he said he has spent the past week meeting with sovereign wealth funds, banks, family offices, and hedge funds across the Middle East to discuss bitcoin and capital markets. Strategy did not disclose whether those meetings resulted in any financing commitments.
You can listen to Mr. Saylor’s interview and other BTC Conference content on Bitcoin Magazine’s social media and YouTube.
JUST IN: Michael Saylor says he is meeting with all the sovereign wealth funds in the Middle East to talk about #Bitcoinpic.twitter.com/PkiO5SIKx2
Bitcoin rose about 3% over the past 24 hours and roughly 1.5% on Monday morning, recovering from recent weakness that pushed prices into the low $80,000s. Some analysts attribute the bounce to expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates this week, which could support risk assets after the recent pullback.
The backdrop remains unsettled for Strategy. Investors continue to debate whether the company’s aggressive use of equity issuance to buy bitcoin amplifies both upside and downside for shareholders. The firm raised nearly $2 billion two weeks ago, largely to build a cash buffer to cover preferred dividend obligations, before tapping markets again last week to fund bitcoin purchases.
Strategy’s MSCI concerns
At the same time, Strategy faces uncertainty around index inclusion. MSCI is reviewing whether companies with large digital-asset holdings should remain in traditional equity benchmarks. JPMorgan analysts have warned that exclusion could trigger billions of dollars in passive outflows from Strategy if index funds are forced to sell.
Saylor has pushed back on those concerns, arguing that Strategy is an operating company with a sizable software business and a growing Bitcoin-backed credit operation, not a fund or trust. He has said index classification debates do not alter the firm’s long-term approach.
For now, the company is pressing ahead with that strategy. With more than 660,000 bitcoin on its balance sheet and continued access to capital markets, Strategy remains the most visible corporate proxy for bitcoin exposure in public equities, even as volatility in both crypto prices and its own shares shows little sign of fading.
Strive Asset Management is pushing back against MSCI’s latest proposal. The index provider suggested removing companies with bitcoin holdings over 50% of total assets from major equity benchmarks.
In a letter to MSCI CEO Henry Fernandez, Strive warned the plan could create uneven results worldwide. Companies report bitcoin differently under U.S. GAAP and IFRS accounting standards. Strive said this could lead to inconsistent outcomes for firms with similar exposure.
The Nasdaq-listed firm urged MSCI to rely on optional “ex-digital-asset treasury” index variants instead of redefining eligibility for broad benchmarks. These custom indexes already exist for sectors like energy and tobacco.
Strive is the 14th-largest public corporate bitcoin holder, with more than 7,500 BTC on its balance sheet. Its executives argued that the proposal would “depart from index neutrality” and asked MSCI to “let the market decide” how bitcoin-heavy firms are treated.
Co-founded by Vivek Ramaswamy and Anson Frericks in 2022, Strive has a mission to “depoliticize corporate America.”
MSCI’s ruling affect on companies like Strive and Strategy
The rule change could affect major players like Strategy, which holds 650,000 BTC. JPMorgan estimates MSCI’s exclusion could trigger $2.8 billion in passive outflows from Strategy alone. If other index providers follow suit, the total could rise to $8.8 billion.
Strive’s letter criticized the 50% threshold as “unjustified, overbroad and unworkable.” Many bitcoin treasury companies operate real businesses.
These include AI data centers, structured finance, and cloud infrastructure. Miners such as MARA, Riot, Hut 8, and CleanSpark are pivoting into renting excess power and compute capacity.
The firm drew comparisons to other industries. Indexes do not exclude energy companies with large oil reserves or gold miners whose value depends on metals. Applying a bitcoin-specific rule, Strive argued, imposes an investment judgment on benchmarks meant to remain neutral.
Executives also highlighted market volatility and accounting differences. Bitcoin’s price swings could push companies in and out of eligibility from quarter to quarter. Derivatives or structured products further complicate exposure calculations.
Strive warned that strict rules could push innovation abroad. U.S. markets may face penalties, while international companies benefit from IFRS treatment. The firm believes the proposal may stifle new bitcoin-backed financial products.
MSCI plans to announce its decision on January 15, 2026, before the February index review. Strive is among several firms lobbying against the proposal. Its argument centers on fairness, neutrality, and market choice rather than restricting investor access.
Last week, Strategy’s Michael Saylor disputed MSCI index disputes and clarified that Strategy is a publicly traded operating company with a $500 million software business and a treasury strategy using Bitcoin, not a fund, trust, or holding company.
Bitcoin price plunged to $88,000s on Friday, down over 4% in the past 24 hours. The cryptocurrency is trading near its seven-day low of $88,091, and about 4% below its seven-day high of $92,805.
The global market capitalization for Bitcoin now stands at $1.77 trillion, with a 24-hour trading volume of $48 billion.
Despite the recent drop, Wall Street bank JPMorgan remains bullish on the Bitcoin price over the long term. The bank continues to maintain its gold-linked volatility-adjusted BTC target of $170,000 over the next six to twelve months.
Analysts say the model accounts for fluctuations in price and mining costs.
One key factor in the market is Strategy (MSTR), the largest corporate Bitcoin holder. The company owns 650,000 BTC. Its enterprise-value-to-Bitcoin-holdings ratio, known as mNAV, currently stands at 1.13.
JPMorgan analysts describe this as “encouraging.” A ratio above 1.0 indicates Strategy is unlikely to face forced sales of its Bitcoin.
JUST IN: JPMorgan says it is sticking to its Bitcoin vs gold model target, which would see BTC hit $170,000 over the next year pic.twitter.com/PNt9ojpBRv
Strategy has also built a $1.44 billion U.S. dollar reserve. The reserve is designed to cover dividend payments and interest obligations for at least 12 months. The company aims to extend coverage to 24 months.
Bitcoin mining pressure
Mining pressures continue to weigh on Bitcoin. The network’s hashrate and mining difficulty have fallen. High-cost miners outside China are retreating due to rising electricity costs and declining prices. Some miners have sold Bitcoin to remain solvent.
JPMorgan now estimates Bitcoin’s production cost at $90,000, down from $94,000 last month. Falling hashrates can push production costs lower, but the short-term effect is sustained selling pressure from miners.
Institutional investors also show caution. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust, or IBIT, has recorded six consecutive weeks of net outflows. Investors pulled more than $2.8 billion from the ETF over this period, according to Bloomberg.
The withdrawals highlight subdued appetite among traditional investors, even as Bitcoin prices stabilize. Analysts note that the trend marks a reversal from the persistent inflows seen earlier in the year.
The broader market is still recovering from the October 10 liquidation event. That crash wiped out over $1 trillion in crypto market value and pushed Bitcoin into a bear market.
Although the Bitcoin price has recovered some ground this week, momentum remains fragile.
JPMorgan analysts now say Bitcoin’s next major move depends less on miner behavior. Instead, it depends on Strategy’s ability to hold its Bitcoin without selling. The mNAV ratio and reserve fund provide confidence that the company can weather market volatility.
Other potential catalysts remain. The MSCI index decision on January 15 could impact Strategy’s stock and, indirectly, Bitcoin. Analysts say a positive outcome could trigger a strong rally.
Last week, Strategy’s Michael Saylor disputed MSCI index disputes and clarified that Strategy is a publicly traded operating company with a $500 million software business and a treasury strategy using Bitcoin, not a fund, trust, or holding company.
He emphasized the firm’s recent activity, including five digital credit security offerings totaling over $7.7 billion in notional value.
Bitcoin price analysis
Bitcoin Magazine analysts believe that the bitcoin price correlation with Gold has recently strengthened mainly during market downturns, offering a clearer view of its purchasing power when analyzed against Gold instead of USD.
While USD charts show a 2025 peak, Bitcoin measured in Gold peaked in December 2024 and has fallen over 50%, suggesting a longer bear phase.
Historical Gold-based bear cycles indicate potential support zones approaching, with current declines at 51% over 350 days reflecting institutional adoption and constrained supply rather than cycle shifts.
Indiana lawmakers are taking a bold step toward embracing bitcoin. A new proposal would let the state invest in digital assets like Bitcoin through regulated funds while blocking local governments from restricting crypto companies.
The measure, House Bill 1042, reflects growing political and financial interest in crypto. Digital assets once seen as fringe now have backing from top U.S. leaders, including President Donald Trump, and major financial institutions.
Congress also passed its first major crypto bill earlier this year.
Indiana wants in. Lawmakers gave HB 1042 an early hearing as they juggle redistricting, signaling the issue is a top priority for Republicans.
“Digital assets are quickly becoming part of everyday finances, and Indiana should be ready to engage in a smart, responsible way,” said bill author Rep. Kyle Pierce, R-Anderson. “This bill gives Hoosiers more investment choices while establishing guardrails and helping us explore how blockchain and digital asset technology can benefit communities across our state.”
A cautious bitcoin and crypto approach
The Indiana bill would let public investment funds gain exposure to digital assets, but only indirectly. It does not allow direct crypto purchases.
Instead, it authorizes cryptocurrency exchange-traded funds, or ETFs. These funds track crypto prices and operate under federal oversight.
ETFs offer more stability than holding tokens directly, but risks remain. The SEC has warned that crypto markets still lack strong safeguards and are vulnerable to fraud and manipulation.
That concern surfaced in testimony from Tony Green, deputy executive director of the Indiana Public Retirement System. He said INPRS was neutral on the bill but would want clear disclaimers about volatility. He also noted members have shown little interest in crypto options.
Under the bill, several major programs in Indiana must offer at least one crypto ETF. That list includes the 529 education savings plan, the Hoosier START plan, and retirement systems for teachers, public employees, and lawmakers.
Other state funds would also gain authority to invest in crypto ETFs. The state treasurer could place assets in stablecoin ETFs as well.
Guardrails and a task force
The bill goes beyond investments. It would restrict how Indiana state agencies and local governments regulate digital assets. Pierce said the aim is fairness. The measure bars local rules that target crypto use, mining operations, or self-custody.
It also protects private keys as privileged information.
The proposal creates a Blockchain and Digital Assets Task Force. The group would study potential government and consumer uses of the technology. It would also recommend pilot projects across the state.
Bitcoin is a national trend
States are increasingly exploring crypto in pension funds and public accounts. The push comes as Bitcoin gains traction as a potential store of value for governments. Some federal proposals have even floated using Bitcoin reserves to offset national debt.
Last week, Texas became the first U.S. state to purchase Bitcoin through a spot ETF, buying $5 million worth via BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust, according to Texas Blockchain Council President Lee Bratcher.
The acquisition is the state’s first move under its new Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, created by legislation signed in June.
Texas plans to eventually self-custody its BTC but used IBIT for the initial allocation while the procurement process continues. The purchase highlights rising state and institutional interest in Bitcoin as a reserve asset.
Harvard University recently tripled its IBIT holdings to $442.8 million, while Emory University and Abu Dhabi’s Al Warda Investments have also boosted exposure.
Texas had previously explored a Bitcoin reserve proposal that called for cold storage, resident donations, and annual audits.
Meanwhile, New Hampshire approved a $100 million Bitcoin-backed municipal bond, the first of its kind globally, requiring borrowers to over-collateralize with BTC.
At the time of writing, the bitcoin price is flirting with $90,000.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Indiana-Lawmakers-Push-Bill-to-Make-State-a-Bitcoin-Leader-8PauvX.jpg10801920Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-05 16:08:352025-12-05 16:08:35Indiana Lawmakers Push Bill to Make State a Bitcoin Leader
Bitcoin has struggled to maintain a sustained correlation with Gold, recently only moving in unison during market downturns. However, examining Bitcoin’s price action through the lens of Gold rather than USD reveals a more complete picture of the current market cycle. By measuring Bitcoin’s true purchasing power against comparable assets, we can identify potential support levels and gauge where the bear market cycle may be approaching its conclusion.
Bitcoin Bear Market Officially Begins Below Key Support
Breaking beneath the 350-day moving average at about $100,000 and the significant psychological 6-figure barrier marked the functional entry into bear market territory, with Bitcoin declining approximately 20% immediately thereafter. From a technical perspective, trading beneath The Golden Ratio Multiplier moving average has historically indicated Bitcoin entering a bear cycle, though the narrative becomes more interesting when measured against Gold rather than USD.
Figure 1: BTC breaking beneath the 350DMA has historically coincided with the start of bear markets.View Live Chart
The Bitcoin versus Gold chart tells a notably different story than the USD chart. Bitcoin topped out in December 2024 and has since declined over 50% from that level, whereas the USD valuation peaked in October 2025, significantly beneath the highs set the prior year. This divergence suggests that Bitcoin may have been in a bear market for considerably longer than most observers realize. Looking at historical Bitcoin bear cycles when measured in Gold, we can see patterns that suggest the current pullback may already be approaching critical support zones.
Figure 2: When priced in Gold, BTC dropped beneath its 350DMA back in August.
The 2015 bear cycle bottomed at an 86% retracement lasting 406 days. The 2017 cycle saw 364 days and an 84% decline. The previous bear cycle produced a 76% drawdown over 399 days. Currently, at the time of this analysis, Bitcoin is down 51% in 350 days when measured against Gold. While percentage drawdowns have been diminishing as Bitcoin’s market cap grows and more capital flows into the market, this trend reflects the rising tide of institutional adoption and lost Bitcoin supply rather than a fundamental change in cycle dynamics.
Figure 3: Plotting BTC’s value in Gold reveals a cycle pattern that suggests we could already be 90% of the way through this bear market.
Rather than relying solely on percentage drawdowns and time elapsed, Fibonacci retracement levels mapped across multiple cycles provide greater precision. Using a Fibonacci retracement tool from bottom to top across historical cycles reveals striking levels of confluence.
Figure 4: In previous cycles, bear market bottoms have aligned with key Fibonacci retracement levels.
In the 2015-2018 cycle, the bear market bottom occurred at the 0.618 Fibonacci level, which corresponded to approximately 2.56 ounces of Gold per Bitcoin. The resulting price action marked the bottom with remarkable clarity, far cleaner than the equivalent USD chart. Moving forward to the 2018-2022 cycle, the bear market bottom aligned almost perfectly with the 0.5 level at approximately 9.74 ounces of Gold per Bitcoin. This level later acted as meaningful resistance-turned-support once Bitcoin reclaimed it during the subsequent bull market.
Translating Bitcoin Bear Market Gold Ratios Back to USD Price Targets
From the previous bear market low through the current bull cycle high, the 0.618 Fibonacci level sits at approximately 22.81 ounces of Gold per Bitcoin, while the 0.5 level rests at 19.07 ounces. Current price action is trading near the midpoint of these two levels, presenting what may be an attractive accumulation zone from a purchasing power perspective.
Figure 5: Applying Fibonacci levels to predict market lows for BTC versus Gold and subsequently pricing these back into USD, illustrates where Bitcoin’s price may bottom.
Multiple Fibonacci levels from different cycles create additional confluence. The 0.786 level from the current cycle translates to approximately 21.05 ounces of Gold, corresponding to a Bitcoin price around $89,160. The 0.618 level from the previous cycle aligns near $80,000 again. These convergence zones suggest that if Bitcoin were to decline further, the next meaningful technical target would be around $67,000, derived from the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level at approximately 15.95 ounces of Gold per Bitcoin.
Conclusion: The Bitcoin Bear Market May Be 90% Complete Already
Bitcoin has likely been in a bear market for substantially longer than USD-only analysis suggests, with purchasing power already declining significantly since December 2024, when measured against Gold and other comparable assets. Historical Fibonacci retracement levels, when properly calibrated across multiple cycles and converted back into USD terms, point toward potential support confluence in the $67,000 to $80,000 range. While this analysis is inherently theoretical and unlikely to play out with perfect precision, the convergence of multiple data points across time horizons and valuation frameworks suggests the bear market may be approaching its conclusion sooner than many anticipate.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Bitcoin-Bear-Market-R5U4J4.jpg7201280Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-05 14:16:242025-12-05 14:16:24Why The Bitcoin Bear Market Is Almost Finished
Bitcoin treasury firm Twenty One Capital will start trading on the New York Stock Exchange on December 9. The company will use the ticker symbol XXI.
Twenty One Capital is the result of a merger with Cantor Equity Partners (CEP). CEP shareholders approved the deal, clearing the way for the transaction to close around December 8. The merged entity will operate under the Twenty One Capital name.
The company will launch with about 43,514 BTC. At current prices, that is roughly $4 billion. This will make Twenty One Capital the largest BTC treasury company listed on the NYSE. Globally, it will be the second-largest corporate BTC holder after Strategy.
The firm was first announced in April as a joint venture between Tether, Bitfinex, SoftBank, and Cantor Fitzgerald. The name refers to Bitcoin’s total supply of 21 million coins, of which about 19.95 million have been mined.
Jack Mallers, CEO and co-founder of Twenty One Capital, posted on X, “Game on. See you at the NYSE on Tuesday.”
In July, the company added 5,800 BTC from Tether to its treasury. Combined with initial holdings, Twenty One Capital will hold more than 43,000 BTC at launch. The firm plans to continue growing its BTC holdings as part of its core strategy.
Pre-merger, Cantor Equity Partners raised $585 million through Private Investment in Public Equity (PIPE) financing. Twenty One Capital also sold $100 million in convertible notes. Part of these funds were used to increase the Bitcoin treasury.
Direct bitcoin exposure on Wall Street
Twenty One Capital’s model focuses on giving investors direct exposure to BTC through its corporate balance sheet. The company will introduce a metric called Bitcoin Per Share.
It shows the amount of BTC held per share. The measure relies on on-chain proof-of-reserves. This gives investors a verifiable reference to track Bitcoin holdings in real time.
The company aims to differentiate itself from other digital asset treasury firms. While competitors like Strategy and Metaplanet operate multiple businesses, Twenty One Capital is designed to focus solely on Bitcoin accumulation and related services.
Tether and Bitfinex remain majority shareholders and support the firm’s public listing. Cantor Fitzgerald provides expertise in investment banking and capital markets.
CEP offered the SPAC vehicle to complete the merger and bring the company to the NYSE.
Upon its debut, Twenty One Capital will become a key player in publicly listed BTC treasuries. Its treasury, trading structure, and Bitcoin Per Share metric aim to provide a new model for investors seeking exposure to BTC.
The company plans to expand services connected to Bitcoin, including payments and infrastructure. CEO Jack Mallers has said his main goal is to increase Bitcoin per share, reinforcing shareholder value.
Shares of Twenty One Capital are expected to start trading on December 9 under the ticker XXI, one day after the merger closes.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Bitcoin-Treasury-Twenty-One-Capital-to-Start-Trading-on-NYSE-Next-Week-With-4-Billion-BTC-Treasury-iw0JEd.jpg10801920Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-04 20:54:142025-12-04 20:54:14Bitcoin Treasury Twenty One Capital to Start Trading on NYSE Next Week With $4 Billion BTC Treasury
Italy’s Economy Ministry has ordered a detailed review of current protections against crypto risks, officials said on Thursday.
The review will focus on safeguards for both direct and indirect investments in crypto-assets by retail investors, regulators added.
The decision came during a meeting of the Committee for Macroprudential Policies. The committee includes the heads of the Bank of Italy, market watchdog Consob, insurance and pension regulators, and the Treasury’s director general, according to Reuters reporting.
Committee members warned that risks from crypto-assets could rise. Growing connections between crypto and the wider financial system, along with inconsistent international regulations, could heighten vulnerabilities, they said.
The committee said Italy’s economic and financial conditions remain generally stable. At the same time, global uncertainty continues to pose challenges for financial stability.
The review will examine how existing rules protect investors and the financial system. Officials said they aim to identify gaps and recommend measures to strengthen safeguards, per Reuters.
Italy has increasingly monitored digital assets in recent years. Authorities have raised concerns over investor protection, market integrity, and potential spillovers into the broader financial system. The new review signals a more cautious approach to crypto adoption in the country.
Italy’s cold-shoulder to crypto
Last year, Italy proposed a steep tax hike on crypto trades, aiming to raise the rate on digital asset gains from 26% to 42% as part of its October budget plan.
The measure was designed to boost public finances but quickly drew criticism from the crypto industry, which warned that such an aggressive increase would damage the country’s competitiveness — especially with the EU preparing to roll out its Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework later this year.
The government backed down from its proposal after sharp criticism from Italy’s crypto industry. Under the revised budget plan, the capital-gains tax on digital asset trades is now expected to rise to 33% starting in the 2026 financial year, per reports.
Last week, Bitizenship launchedBTC Italia and The Bitcoin Dolce Visa, a Bitcoin-aligned pathway for obtaining Italy’s Investor Visa through a €250,000 startup investment.
The Milan-based venture operates as an “Innovative Startup” focused on Bitcoin Layer-2 yield generation and treasury management, giving applicants exposure to a Bitcoin-native business while staying within Italy’s regulatory framework.
The initiative comes as Italy posts strong economic performance, including record exports, a €46 billion trade surplus, stabilizing public debt, and a stock market that has doubled since 2020. With capital-market reforms on the horizon and competitive tax incentives, the country has become an increasingly attractive destination for foreign investors.
Under the program, applicants receive visa approval before committing funds. BTC Italia maintains its treasury in Bitcoin, uses non-custodial Layer-2 staking for operations, and offers redemption windows every 24 months.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Italy-Launches-Review-of-Crypto-Safeguards-Due-to-Rising-Risks-T1MTl2.jpg10801920Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-04 20:11:142025-12-04 20:11:14Italy Launches Review of Crypto Safeguards Due to Rising Risks
The bitcoin price is trading near $93,000, with roughly $81 billion changing hands in the past 24 hours. The price is up 3% on the day, holding just 1% below today’s high of $93,929 and about 3% above the weekly low near $90,837.
Nearly 19.96 million BTC are in circulation, inching toward the fixed 21 million cap. The move pushed Bitcoin’s global market value to $1.86 trillion, also up 3% over the same period.
According to analysts, the Bitcoin price briefly dipped under its Metcalfe-based fair value for the first time since 2023, signaling what analysts say is a classic late-cycle reset. The move came during a sharp 36% drawdown that dragged the Bitcoin price towards $80,000 last week, erased excess leverage and flushed out speculative positions.
According to network economist Timothy Peterson, periods when bitcoin trades below its fundamental network value have historically produced strong forward returns. Twelve-month gains have averaged 132%, with positive performance occurring 96% of the time, according to CoinDesk reporting.
The network’s internal dynamics have also shifted. Long-term holders accumulated roughly 50,000 BTC over the past ten days, reversing months of steady distribution.
Coins are maturing from short-term traders into long-term storage, reducing sell pressure at a moment when bitcoin is attempting to reclaim higher levels. Bitcoin recovered back above $90,000 this week and traded at highs of $93,978 on Wednesday.
Bitcoin price and macro conditions
Macro conditions are now converging with on-chain signals. The Federal Reserve just ended Quantitative Tightening, with markets pricing a December rate cut as nearly certain.
Historically, each QT reversal has coincided with major bitcoin rallies. The pattern dates back to 2010 and includes the explosive 2013 cycle and the post-2019 surge that eventually carried the bitcoin price to $67,000.
Business-cycle indicators may also be turning. The copper-to-gold ratio, a leading gauge for U.S. manufacturing sentiment and future PMI strength, appears to be bottoming.
Bitcoin’s recent stagnation despite expanding global liquidity suggests investors have been reacting more to weakening economic confidence than to crypto-specific factors. A recovery in risk appetite would likely benefit bitcoin after months of consolidation.
The short-term picture remains fragile. A bearish November close confirmed a monthly MACD cross, a signal that often precedes multi-month periods of slower momentum.
Key levels near $85,000 and $84,000 continue to act as support, while analysts warn that a breakdown could open the door to a deeper test of $75,000.
Bitcoin price remains down sharply from its $126,000 record set in October, though volatility has eased as liquidations subside.
Institutional participation continues to grow despite turbulence. BlackRock increased internal exposure to its IBIT ETF, JPMorgan introduced a structured note tied to the product, and Strategy Inc. expanded its bitcoin holdings while setting aside a $1.4 billion reserve to reassure investors it will not be forced to sell.
Earlier today, Charles Schwab said it also wants to offer Bitcoin trading in early 2026.
Also earlier today, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink said he was “wrong” about Bitcoin, marking a sharp reversal from his past skepticism.
Speaking at the NYT DealBook Summit, Fink called Bitcoin “an asset of fear,” bought during times of geopolitical stress, financial insecurity, or currency debasement. He warned it remains volatile and by leverage but said it can act as meaningful portfolio insurance.
““If you’re buying it as a hedge against all your hope, then it has a meaningful impact on a portfolio… the other big problem of Bitcoin is it is still heavily influenced by leveraged players,” Fink said.
JUST IN: BlackRock CEO Larry Fink says he was wrong to be a Bitcoin critic and changed his views
BlackRock CEO Larry Fink has shifted his perspective on Bitcoin — and he openly acknowledged the change.
Speaking at the NYT DealBook Summit on Wednesday, Fink stated that he now sees potential in Bitcoin. Fink was once a vocal critic who famously labeled Bitcoin “an index for money laundering,”
Today, Fink described Bitcoin as “an asset of fear,” elaborating that investors frequently purchase it in response to concerns about financial security, geopolitical instability, or the ongoing debasement of traditional assets caused by growing deficits.
“If you bought it for a trade, it’s a very volatile asset, you’re going to have to be really good at market timing, which most people aren’t,” Fink said. “If you’re buying it as a hedge against all your hope, then it has a meaningful impact on a portfolio… the other big problem of Bitcoin is it is still heavily influenced by leveraged players.”
Fink, speaking alongside Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong, noted that market movements — like a recent 20–25% drawdown in Bitcoin — often reflect broader events, such as trade agreements with China or potential settlements in Ukraine.
Despite all this, Fink still suggested it can serve as meaningful portfolio insurance for those holding it as a hedge rather than for short-term trading.
Fink emphasized that his perspective has evolved through years of client interactions and discussions with policymakers, calling his change of heart a “very glaring public example” of the need to reassess strong opinions.
Meanwhile, BlackRock, the $13.5 trillion asset manager Fink helped build, now offers several crypto products, including a major Bitcoin ETF, marking a stark contrast to his earlier skepticism.
“There is no chance” that Bitcoin goes to zero, said Mr. Armstrong, who sat beside Fink. Fink also shared an optimistic view for the asset: “I see a big, large use case for Bitcoin,” he said.
JUST IN: BlackRock CEO Larry Fink says he was wrong to be a Bitcoin critic and changed his views
Back in October, BlackRock said they were developing technology to tokenize a wide range of assets, including real estate, equities, and bonds.
Fink said at the time that global digital wallets held over $4.5 trillion across crypto, stablecoins, and tokenized assets. He noted much of this capital was outside the U.S., presenting opportunities to reach new investors.
Fink said tokenization could allow crypto entrants to access traditional long-term products, like retirement funds. He described Bitcoin and crypto as serving a similar purpose to gold.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/BlackRock-CEO-Larry-Fink-Says-He-Was-Wrong-About-Bitcoin-Reveals-a-E28098Big-Shift-in-His-View-Xe4B82.jpg10801920Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-03 18:30:082025-12-03 18:30:08BlackRock CEO Larry Fink Says He Was Wrong About Bitcoin, Reveals a ‘Big Shift’ in His View
Dubai, UAE – December 1, 2025 — Mining pool Neopool reported a record 169 BTC (approximately $15 million USD) in payouts to its global miner network for November 2025.
This volume reflects Neopool’s expanding market presence and operational performance since its inception earlier this year. Independent data from miningpoolstats.stream continues to rank Neopool as the most efficient mining pool worldwide.
“Reaching $15 million in monthly payouts is a direct result of the trust our mining partners place in us,” stated Andrei Kapeikin, CEO of Neopool. “We built Neopool to offer more than just scale; we deliver the efficiency, transparent FPPS payouts, and dependable daily settlements that directly enhance miner profitability.”
The pool’s growth has been rapid, breaking into the global top-15 within months. This performance is driven by proprietary optimization technology, a low-latency global routing infrastructure, and a foundational commitment to transparency.
The November record was set during a period of increased Bitcoin network difficulty, demonstrating how Neopool’s technical focus provides a competitive edge.
“Other pools often prioritize hash rate volume,” Kapeikin noted. “We’ve shown that technical excellence and transparency are what ultimately drive value. Our miners’ daily results — and this monthly record — are the proof.”
Neopool remains focused on advancing its infrastructure and optimization algorithms, strengthening its position as an independent, high-performance alternative for the global mining community.
For details on performance metrics and mining solutions, visit neopool.com.
About Neopool
Neopool is a next-generation Bitcoin mining pool, rapidly achieving a top-15 global ranking and the #1 spot for daily PPS efficiency. Founded by a team with over a century of combined experience in mining and IT, we combine proprietary algorithms, robust infrastructure, and transparent FPPS payouts. We serve miners worldwide with automated daily settlements, a low 0.001 BTC payout threshold, and 24/7 support.
Disclaimer: This is a sponsored press release. Readers are encouraged to perform their own due diligence before acting on any information presented in this article.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/CHI-2276-2-JyVSBr.jpg17032560Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-03 17:47:552025-12-03 17:47:55Neopool Reports Record $15+ Million in Bitcoin Payouts to Miners in November 2025
The United Kingdom has officially written crypto into its legal framework as a distinct form of property.
On Tuesday, the Property (Digital Assets etc.) Act 2025 received Royal Assent from King Charles III, completing its passage through Parliament and creating a third, legally recognized category of property specifically for digital assets. The act passed both houses without amendment.
The new classification places assets such as bitcoin, stablecoins and NFTs into a bucket separate from traditional “things in possession,” like physical objects, or “things in action,” like contractual rights. Policymakers say the reform was needed to modernize property law for the digital era.
“A third category of property now exists, and it finally gives legal protection to the sats you hold,” said Susie Ward, CEO of Bitcoin Policy UK. Her group’s Chief Policy Officer, Freddie New, called the act potentially “the biggest change in English property law since the Middle Ages.”
The reform stems from a 2023 recommendation by the Law Commission, which argued that digital assets did not fit neatly into existing legal categories. The bill was introduced in the House of Lords in September 2024 before moving swiftly through Parliament.
While U.K. courts had already been treating crypto as property in rulings over the past several years, the approach relied on case-by-case judgments.
Trade association CryptoUK said codifying the principle in statute offers much clearer legal pathways in matters involving theft, fraud, insolvency and estate planning.
“This gives digital assets a much clearer legal footing — especially for things like proving ownership, recovering stolen assets, and handling them in insolvency or estate cases,” CryptoUK said in a statement on X.
Lawmakers also framed the legislation as a boost to consumer and investor protection.
“By recognizing digital assets in law, the U.K. is giving consumers clear ownership rights, stronger protections, and the ability to recover assets lost through theft or fraud,” Gurinder Singh Josan, co-chair of the Crypto and Digital Assets All Party Parliamentary Group, told CoinDesk.
The Royal Assent was formally announced in the House of Lords around 2:30 p.m. Tuesday, marking the moment the bill became law.
UK’s bitcoin ETN ban lift
Earlier this year, the U.K. lifted its four-year ban on retail access to bitcoin and crypto ETNs, allowing firms to offer the products on FCA-approved exchanges.
After the ban, BlackRock then launched its fully backed iShares Bitcoin ETP (IB1T) on the London Stock Exchange.
Meanwhile, the UK government is reportedly weighing a ban on crypto donations to political parties as it drafts its upcoming Elections Bill, according to people familiar with internal discussions and POLITICO reporting.
The move would directly affect Nigel Farage’s Reform UK, which became the first British party to accept digital asset donations and has already received several.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/UK-Passes-Bill-Formally-Recognizing-Crypto-as-a-New-Category-of-Property-PMeb3t.jpg10801920Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-03 14:25:042025-12-03 14:25:04UK Passes Bill Formally Recognizing Crypto as a New Category of Property
Colombian Bitcoin and crypto mining company Horeb Energy reveals 2.5 cents per kWh of green biogas energy in the North Santander region of the Latin American country. The company has achieved energy prices 50% lower than the North American average of 3.5 to 6 cents per kwh for Bitcoin mining operations, through a strategic alliance with multinational energy company Veolia.
Authorized in 1853 by Napoleon III to help build out public water works infrastructure in France, Veolia is a global leader in environmental services focused on water, waste, and energy solutions. Today in Norte de Santander, Colombia, the company operates critical facilities dedicated to biogas valorization and solid waste management — a common problem in Colombia and Latin America in general, known for massive landfills. Veloia also operates the “Centro Inteligente de Gestión Ecológica” – CIGE Guayabal landfill, a pioneer in biogas systems development in the region.
Horeb Energy — the Bitcoin mining arm of the operation — specializes in technological solutions for biogas treatment and renewable energy production from waste. “It’s collaboration with Veolia in this pilot project sets a milestone for new sustainable business models in the global cryptocurrency mining sector,” the company said in a press release, adding that “The project aims to reduce the region’s carbon footprint significantly and demonstrates Veolia’s strong commitment to accelerating the ecological transformation of local territories.”
Through this pilot project, biogas generated at the CIGE Guayabal landfill by Veolia is transformed into electricity to supply a secure, standalone data center dedicated to cryptocurrency mining. Horeb Energy oversees advanced biogas filtration and energy conversion processes, and the Bitcoin mining dimension, which unlocks new economic models for energy infrastructure development in the region.
One year after its launch, the program boasts tangible results with the production of “nearly 1,000 kWh of 100% renewable energy”, powering an entirely off-grid Bitcoin container and mining system. This unique approach in the Colombian market provides an alternative use for methane gas — a byproduct of waste decomposition that poses environmental challenges for landfills.
Humberto Posada Cifuentes, General Manager of Veolia in Norte de Santander, said in a press release that this pilot “demonstrates that with innovation and strong local leadership, we can turn waste into value and contribute meaningfully to the clean energy transition.”
Arley Lozano, Operations Manager of Horeb Energy, told Bitcoin Magazine that they had achieved 2.5 cents a kWh in green energy, adding that “we are proud that this project has been developed by local talent in partnership with Veolia. Our goal is to replicate this model in other municipalities across Colombia and throughout Latin America.”
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/photo_2025-12-01_12-10-13-K4KZXq.jpg9931280Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-03 14:00:002025-12-03 14:00:00Horeb Energy and Veolia Are Mining Bitcoin At 2.5¢/kWh With Colombian Landfil Biogas
Bitcoin-linked stocks surged on Tuesday as the broader crypto market staged a sharp recovery and Bitcoin reclaimed the $91,000 level.
Strategy was the standout mover, rising faster than both Bitcoin itself and most major tech names at times. MSTR shares climbed 8.66% at times to $186.26, lifted by heavy trading volume that exceeded 4.4 million shares.
MSTR is currently trading at $182.74.
The move slightly outpaced Bitcoin’s rebound to $91,000 and signaled renewed appetite for high-beta exposure to the digital asset through equities.
Other crypto-adjacent stocks also advanced, including the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF, which gained more than 7%, and smaller firms such as Smarter Web Company and Metaplanet Inc., which posted mid–single-digit gains.
Capital B saw the largest percentage move of the group, trading more than 10% higher at times today.
The surge in Bitcoin equities came as institutional demand accelerated across the market. Trading desks reported strong flows into Bitcoin ETFs, a trend that has intensified as major Wall Street firms open the door to regulated crypto products.
Le reiterated that Strategy has no plans to sell Bitcoin except as a last resort and said the company remains firmly committed to paying dividends on its preferred shares.
He argued that maintaining the dividend helps prevent uncertainty from spreading through the company’s capital structure, adding that the goal is to pay it “in perpetuity,” even though the board retains the ability to pause payments.
Le addressed concerns about leverage, pushing back on the idea that the company is overextended. He said Strategy’s leverage ratio stands at roughly 12%, or 27% when preferred shares are included — far below levels seen in typical U.S. corporations.
The company recently raised $1.44 billion in equity in just over a week, enough to cover nearly two years of dividend obligations.
Le said Strategy also now holds multiple years of dividend capacity in its Bitcoin reserves, reducing the risk that it would need to liquidate holdings during market stress.
The company is building a cash reserve designed to cover two to three years of dividend payments, a buffer Le expects to maintain for at least the next five to ten years.
He again rejected the view that Strategy should be treated like a closed-end fund or ETF, arguing that the firm is a fully operational Bitcoin-focused company with employees, products and revenue, not a passive investment vehicle.
He said the company has begun educating MSCI and other index providers on the distinction as they review whether digital-asset treasury companies should remain in major indices.
Strategy might start lending Bitcoin
Le also said MicroStrategy is evaluating opportunities to participate in Bitcoin lending once large U.S. banks fully enter the space.
Discussions are already taking place with institutions preparing to offer custody and lending services. He emphasized that traditional banks bring the kind of scale and balance-sheet strength MicroStrategy wants in potential partners.
Bitcoin’s own rebound was decisive. The asset traded near $91,100 late Tuesday, rising 8% in 24 hours as volume approached $78 billion, one of the strongest sessions in weeks.
The move lifted Bitcoin above its seven-day high and kept it comfortably above last week’s low near $84,000.
The bounce came just as several major financial institutions made their most aggressive moves yet into Bitcoin investment products.
Bank of America announced that its 15,000 wealth advisers will be permitted to recommend crypto exposure for the first time. Beginning January 5, the bank will support allocations of 1% to 4% through a select group of Bitcoin ETFs, ending years of internal restrictions.
In a separate reversal, Vanguard opened its platform to Bitcoin ETFs and crypto-linked mutual funds for the first time.
The decision gives more than 50 million brokerage clients access to regulated Bitcoin exposure, marking a major shift for a firm that previously dismissed Bitcoin as too speculative for long-term investors.
Bank of America is urging its wealth management clients to consider placing a small but deliberate slice of their portfolios into digital assets.
The bank now recommends a 1% to 4% crypto allocation, marking a significant shift in how one of the country’s largest financial institutions approaches Bitcoin exposure.
The guidance applies across Merrill, Bank of America Private Bank, and Merrill Edge, according to a Yahoo Finance report.
It also unlocks crypto recommendations for more than 15,000 advisers who were previously restricted from initiating conversations about digital assets unless a client asked for it directly.
The change takes effect Jan. 5, when the bank’s chief investment office begins formal research coverage of four bitcoin ETFs. Those funds include Bitwise’s BITB, Fidelity’s FBTC, Grayscale’s Bitcoin Mini Trust, and BlackRock’s IBIT.
Chris Hyzy, chief investment officer for Bank of America Private Bank, said the bank is taking a measured approach. A small allocation may suit investors seeking exposure to thematic innovation, he said, but only through regulated products. He also emphasized the need for clear expectations about volatility.
JUST IN: Bank of America says its wealth management clients should start getting some crypto exposure in their portfolios.
The bank said the lower end of the 1% to 4% range may better fit conservative clients, while the higher end may appeal to those with stronger risk tolerance.
Bitcoin is getting more and more appealing to wealthy investors
The policy change reflects rising interest in Bitcoin from wealthy clients. Nancy Fahmy, head of the bank’s investment solutions group, said demand has grown noticeably over the past year. Many clients previously turned to platforms outside the bank to gain exposure to Bitcoin ETFs.
The shift puts Bank of America in line with peers that have already integrated Bitcoin exposure into their wealth strategies. Morgan Stanley recommended a 2% to 4% allocation for suitable clients in October, describing Bitcoin as “digital gold” and crypto as a speculative but maturing asset class.
The firm also encouraged ETF-based exposure with disciplined rebalancing.
BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, has argued that a 1% to 2% allocation can improve long-term portfolio efficiency. Fidelity has long maintained a broader 2% to 5% range, with higher suggested allocations for younger investors.
Meanwhile, distribution channels continue to open. Bloomberg reported Monday that Vanguard — long resistant to offering any Bitcoin-linked products — will allow select crypto ETFs and mutual funds on its platform starting today. That move follows earlier approvals from Morgan Stanley, Charles Schwab, Fidelity, and JPMorgan Chase.
The institutional shift comes during a volatile period for Bitcoin. The asset has fallen roughly 10% over the past year after retracing from record highs above $126,000 reached in October. Still, major banks maintain bullish long-term views.
JPMorgan recently set a $170,000 price target, while Standard Chartered reiterated its call for Bitcoin to approach $200,000.
At the time of writing, bitcoin is trading at $89,046.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Bank-of-America-Backs-4-Crypto-Allocation-for-Wealth-Clients-as-Wall-Street-Embraces-Bitcoin-3n6LTA.jpg10801920Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-02 15:02:262025-12-02 15:02:26Bank of America Backs 4% Crypto Allocation for Wealth Clients as Wall Street Embraces Bitcoin
As the Federal Reserve prepares to end Quantitative Tightening (QT), the bitcoin price stands at a critical macroeconomic inflection point. With odds for a December rate cut now pricing it in as almost a certainty, the stage is set for a potential shift in monetary policy that could fundamentally alter the trajectory of Bitcoin and broader risk assets. History suggests that when the Fed’s balance sheet stops contracting, Bitcoin typically experiences significant bullish catalysts.
Balance Sheet Reversals and the Bitcoin Price
The Fed balance sheet versus Bitcoin chart reveals a compelling pattern. Over Bitcoin’s history, there have been only three previous instances where QT ended and the federal balance sheet began flatlining or expanding. The first occurred on October 27, 2010, followed almost immediately by a massive Bitcoin bull rally. The second instance on September 26, 2012, again resulted in an explosive rally into the 2013 double-peak cycle. The third signal came in 2019, though this one was complicated by the COVID-19 pandemic and initial market crash—yet it eventually drove Bitcoin from around $3,000 to over $67,000.
Business Cycle Impact on Bitcoin Price
Bitcoin’s recent stagnation despite rising Global M2 suggests that monetary liquidity alone isn’t driving prices. Instead, the asset appears increasingly correlated with traditional business cycle indicators, particularly the U.S. Purchasing Managers Index (PMI). This metric measures manufacturing confidence and economic activity, and its correlation with S&P 500 yearly returns is striking: when PMI rises, equities typically deliver outsized returns; when PMI falls, markets enter periods of underperformance or recession.
A leading indicator for PMI trends is the copper-to-gold ratio. This relationship is nearly perfectly correlated, but copper often leads, bottoming ahead of PMI rallies and topping before PMI declines. Currently, the Copper/Gold ratio appears to be bottoming out, aligning with the historical timeline of Fed balance sheet reversals. This suggests the traditional business cycle may be about to turn favorable again after a period of economic softening.
Conclusion: Next Move for Bitcoin Price
The end of QT, combined with a resurgent Copper/Gold ratio and historical precedent spanning Bitcoin’s entire existence, suggests that monetary conditions are about to become materially more favorable. While Bitcoin has recently lagged traditional assets, this underperformance appears tied to deteriorating economic confidence rather than fundamental weakness in Bitcoin itself. As both monetary policy and business cycle indicators potentially turn positive, the confluence of these forces could mark the beginning of a significant trend reversal. Bitcoin stands positioned to benefit from this dual tailwind, making the coming weeks and months critical for monitoring whether these historical signals finally translate into sustained price appreciation.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.
https://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/A-Pivotal-Moment-for-Bitcoin-Price-zpznvX.jpg7201280Bitcoin Developerhttps://bitcoindevelopers.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/loho_hor_1-300x108.pngBitcoin Developer2025-12-02 14:52:372025-12-02 14:52:37A Pivotal Moment for Bitcoin Price
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